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Expires:201402032100;;380152
FPUS51 KBTV 031105
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
605 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014

VTZ006-032100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
605 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES THIS MORNING...THEN
PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 2 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOWS
AROUND 15. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW. ADDITIONAL MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR
100 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION. LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 15 TO 20. LOWS
ZERO TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. 
.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 20S. 
$$

Expires:201402031200;;381335
ASUS41 KBTV 031130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON FEB 03 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-031200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    22  16  78 NW8       30.21R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    22  17  81 N3        30.18S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     21  17  84 MISG      30.14S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      21  15  78 NW3       30.15R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    MIX PCPN  26  24  95 NW6       30.17R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    27  19  74 N5        30.15R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    29  17  61 VRB3      30.15R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      18   9  65 N8        30.23S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      19  14  81 N9        30.17R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY   N/A N/A N/A CALM      30.14R                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     14 N/A N/A N13         N/A  WCI   0          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     19  14  79 N3          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     23  16  74 N15         N/A  WCI  10          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     25  19  80 N20         N/A  WCI  11          
$$

Expires:No;;380594
FXUS61 KBTV 031111
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
611 AM EST MON FEB 3 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
CLOUD COVER FROM AN EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER THE 
AREA FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE DAY...CLEARING BY TONIGHT AS HIGH 
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION AND REMAIN THROUGH TUESDAY. A STORM 
SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE AREA FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE 
WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 611 AM EST MONDAY...UPDATED ISSUED TO KEEP PRECIP IN
FORECAST THRU THE MORNING HRS. CLD COVER WILL PERSIST DURING THIS
TIME AND SOME OBS STILL SHOWING FLURRIES/--SW SO WILL KEEP IN
FORECAST WITH GENERAL CLRING TREND THRU THE DAY. REST OF FORECAST
ON TRACK.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THE NORTH COUNTRY REMAINS UNDER CLDY SKIES 
THIS MORNING AS MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH EXITING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SLOW TO CLR THE AREA. EXPECTING SLOW CLRING TREND THRU THE DAY AS
SFC RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE MIDWEST REGION. LOOKING FOR
--SW...BASED ON CURRENT OBS...OVER THE AREA FOR A FEW MORE HRS
THIS MORNING WITH NO ACCUM EXPECTED. CLD COVER OVER AREA WILL
ALLOW FOR STEADY TEMPS THRU THE DAY DESPITE NORTHERLY FETCH OVER
THE AREA. OVERALL HIGHS IN THE 20S FOR THE AREA. GOING INTO
TONIGHT...CLRING SKIES WITH ABATING WINDS W/ SFC RIDGE
APPROACH...WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP BLW NORMAL BY A FEW DEGREES.
GOING FOR LOWS RANGING IN SINGLE NUMBERS ABV/BLW ZERO...WITH SOME
LOW TEENS IN CVLY/SC VT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 353 AM EST MONDAY...NICE DAY ON TAP FOR TUESDAY WITH HIGH 
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST REGION. EXPECTING SUNNY/MSUNNY SKIES
ABOUND WITH NEAR NORMAL HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S(SOUTH).
GOING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...INCR CLD COVER FROM THE S/SW DUE TO
APPROACHING WINTER STORM. CURRENT MDL TRACK/TIMING...EXPECTING
NORTHERN EDGE OF LGT SNOW TO WORK INTO AREA AFT 06Z
WED...OVERSPREADING CWA BY 12Z-15Z WED. BASED ON CURRENT TRACK OF
THIS STORM...WHICH IS EASTERLY OVER THE SOUTHERN NEW ENG
REGION...HIGHEST POPS/SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL OCCUR OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AFTNOON/EARLY EVENING.
MDL QPF WILL RANGE FROM 0.25-0.50" GIVING SNOWFALL TOTALS RANGING
FROM 2-4" IN THE ST LAW VALLEY...AND 4-8" EAST OF THERE WITH
HIGHEST AMTS OVER SC VT(HIR TRRN). EXPECTING PRECIP TO TAPER OFF
FROM W TO E AS EVENING HRS APPROACH. BASE DON EXPECTED SNOWFALL.
HAVE ISSUED WINTER STORM WATCH FOR DACKS EASTWARD AS ST LAW VALLEY
WILL BE ON OUTER FRINGES OF STORM AND NOT LIKELY TO REACH
ADV/WARNING AMTS. HIGHS WEDNESDAY IN THE 20S WITH TUESDAY NIGHT
LOWS IN THE TEENS TO L20S.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 314 AM EST MONDAY...RELATIVELY QUIET WX EXPECTED DURING THE
THU-SAT PERIOD WITH CONTINUED GOOD CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE
GFS/ECMWF. LIKEWISE...THE SPREAD OF THE 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
IS LESS THAN AVERAGE...SUGGESTING LESS THAN NORMAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY THRU AT LEAST SAT...FOLLOWED BY SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE
UNCERTAINTY ON SUNDAY.
SFC LOW EXITS QUICKLY SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH
LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN VT GENERALLY ENDING BY
MIDNIGHT. SFC RIDGE AXIS ALREADY BUILDING ACROSS NRN NY BY 12Z
THURSDAY SUGGESTS GOOD RADIATIONALLY COOLING LATE...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN EXPECTED FRESH SNOWPACK. SHOULD SEE LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO IF CLEARING TAKES PLACE AS EXPECTED. 
SFC RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE THU-SAT WITH DRY WEATHER AND TEMPS
SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE LEVELS. GENERALLY LOOKING FOR PARTLY
CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S AND LOWS IN THE
5-14F RANGE. 
THE 00Z ECMWF CONTINUES TO SHOW ANOTHER SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WITH SFC LOW TRACKING EWD FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO
NEAR THE 40N 70W BENCHMARK BY 00Z MONDAY. THIS TRACK SPREADS LIGHT
SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING SUNDAY. THE 00Z GFS HAS
BACKED OFF THIS SOLN WITH A SLOWER...CLOSED 700-500MB LOW AND 
ASSOCIATED SFC SYSTEM ACROSS THE SERN STATES...AND PREVAILING SFC
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. AGAIN...FORECAST SPREAD
INCREASES HERE IN 00Z GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS...SO THERE IS SOME
UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING WHICH SOLN IS MORE CORRECT. WILL STAY
CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FCSTS INDICATING A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SNOW ON SUNDAY...WHICH IS MORE REFLECTIVE OF THE 00Z ECMWF SOLN.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...OVC THRU 12Z WITH CIGS 4-5KFT EXCEPT LOCALLY
MVFR AT SLK/RUT WITH CIGS 1-2 KFT. A FEW FLURRIES WILL PERSIST AT
SLK AND POSSIBLY AT PBG...WITH VSBY OCCASIONALLY DOWN TO 3-5 SM.
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES BUILDS EWD ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS BRINGING LOW LEVEL DRYING. THIS
ALLOWS LOW CLOUDS TO GRADUALLY DISSIPATE WITH VFR CONDITIONS
AREAWIDE AFTER 14Z. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT NORTH AND THEN LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT WITH SKC. A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR VSBY IN HZ/BR IS
POSSIBLE AT SLK AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING (09-12Z).
OUTLOOK 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...VFR 12Z TUESDAY THRU 06Z
WEDNESDAY. LIGHT WINDS TUESDAY...BECOMING E-SE TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE TRACKING THROUGH THE UPR OHIO VALLEY AND LEADING WARM
FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS AND ALLOW SNOW TO OVERSPREAD
THE REGION 09-12Z WEDNESDAY. GENERALLY LIFR IN SNOW THRU THE
DAYLIGHT HRS WEDNESDAY...WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION
CAUSING IMPACT FOR AIRPORT GROUND OPERATIONS. CLRING TREND WITH
VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING FOR THURSDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
QUICKLY EXITS EAST OF NEW ENGLAND DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
CONTINUED VFR FRIDAY.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 300 AM EST MONDAY...THE AUTOMATED SURFACE OBSERVING SYSTEM
(ASOS) AT THE KNAPP STATE AIRPORT IN BARRE-MONTPELIER VERMONT
(KMPV) HAS NOT TRANSMITTED AN OBSERVATION FROM THIS SITE SINCE
1551Z ON FEBRUARY 1ST. THE FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION (FAA)
HAS INFORMED THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THAT THIS IS DUE A
TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS LINE ISSUE. THERE IS NO ESTIMATE
AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME AS TO WHEN SERVICE WILL BE RESTORED.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
     EVENING FOR VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
     EVENING FOR NYZ028>031-034-035.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JN
NEAR TERM...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS
EQUIPMENT...WFO BTV

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