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Expires:201402042100;;427706
FPUS51 KBTV 041108
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
608 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014

VTZ006-042100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
608 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CLOUDY WITH SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. LOWS AROUND
12. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR
100 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 6 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 19. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO
10 ABOVE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 20. LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
15 TO 20. 
$$

Expires:201402041200;;428348
ASUS41 KBTV 041130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE FEB 04 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-041200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    18  10  71 N3        30.40R                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY    2   0  91 CALM      30.37R                  
MORRISVILLE    PTSUNNY   -3  -9  75 CALM      30.39R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     -1  -6  79 MISG      30.38R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR       1  -4  80 CALM      30.36R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    18  14  83 CALM      30.39R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    12  10  92 SE7       30.37R                  
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     12   8  84 CALM      30.37R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    13   8  79 SE5       30.41S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR       0  -6  76 CALM      30.37R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    20  11  68 CALM      30.36R                  
SUTTON*          N/A      5 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      7 N/A N/A NW16        N/A  WCI -11          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     18  14  86 S2          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     18  14  86 NE3         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     21  16  79 E3          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;428777
FXUS61 KBTV 041137
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
637 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A
QUICK MOVING WINTER STORM...THAT WILL AFFECT THE REGION FROM
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS FOR THURSDAY RIGHT INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 617 AM EST TUESDAY...PERSISTENT CLD COVER REMAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF N NY AND THE CVLY ATTM WITH -SW STILL BEING REPORTED
IN SPOTS OVER N NY. WILL CONTINUE A CHANCE FOR A SNOW SHOWER IN
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS WITH SLOW CLRING
TREND TO CONTINUE THRU MORNING. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS FROM LATEST
OBS. PLACES WHERE CLRING HAS OCCURRED...TEMPS AROUND ZERO TO
SEVERAL DEGREES BLW...TEENS WHERE CLDY/MCLDY. REST OF FORECAST IN
GD SHAPE.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...NICE DAY ON TAP FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY AS
SFC RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE NORTHEAST REGION. FOR A PORTION OF THE
MORNING...MUCH OF THE CVLY AND POINTS WEST INTO THE ST LAW VALLEY
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MEANDERING LOW CLD DECK THAT HAS BEEN OVER
AREA THRU THE NIGHT. SLOW DISSIPATION OF THESE CLDS WILL GIVE WAY
TO PSUNNY/MSUNNY CONDITIONS. SOME FLURRY ACTIVITY POSSIBLE WITH
NO ACCUM POTENTIAL IN THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA THRU MID MORNING.
HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL ONLY REACH INTO THE M/U 20S AND WILL BE CLD
DEPENDENT AS DAYTIME HRS PROGRESS. GOING INTO THE EVENING/OVERNGT
HRS...INCREASING CLD COVER FROM THE SW IS EXPECTED AFT 03Z AS
STORM SYSTEM LIFTS OUT OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS REGION AND
TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. MDLS SHOWING CONSISTENCY IN BRINGING ANY
INITIAL LIGHT SNOW AFT 06Z WED...WITH DECENT INCR THRU THE 12Z
TIMEFRAME. AREAL COVERAGE WILL GO FROM THE SW NY ZONES TO THE
ENTIRE CWA BY 12Z WED.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 404 AM EST TUESDAY...GOING INTO WEDNESDAY...MDLS STILL
HOLDING STORM TRACK FROM THE MIDWEST REGION TO THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST DURING THE DAY...THEN EAST OUT TO SEA THRU THE
EVENING HRS. THIS QUICK MOVING SYSTEM WITH ITS WEST TO EAST
TRAJECTORY...WILL PROVIDE THE CWA WITH A NORTH/SOUTH ORIENTATION
TO EXPECTED SNOWFALL. WITH QPF AMTS RANGING FROM 0.10" NORTH TO
0.55" SOUTH...AND CONTINUITY FROM LATEST RUNS...HAVE CHANGED
WINTER STORM WATCH TO A WARNING FOR SOUTHERN ZONES AND AN
ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ZONES FROM WATCH. SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE IN THE 5-10" AREA FOR THE WARNING WITH 3-7" IN
THE ADVISORY AREA. THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO SEE
LIGHT SNOW ACCUM...BUT BEING SO FAR REMOVED FROM TRACK OF
SYSTEM...LOOKING FOR 2-4" FOR THERE...HIR TOTALS IN THE SOUTH. BY
WED NIGHT PRECIP TAPERING QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST WITH ONLY SCT
-SW FOR THE OVERNGT AND A FEW HRS INTO THURSDAY MORNING BF
RENDING. HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF
THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE 20S WEDNESDAY TO THE TEENS
AND L20S ON THURSDAY WITH RETURNS OF COLDER CANADIAN AIR. OVERNGT
WEDNESDAY WILL HAVE AREA IN SINGLE NUMBERS DUE TO CLRING SKIES
WITH RIDGE BUILDING OVER AREA.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 404 AM EST TUESDAY...EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL
BEGIN WITH QUIET WEATHER ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH
MOST OF SATURDAY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY
BELOW NORMAL DURING THIS PERIOD WITH DRY WEATHER. NEXT SYSTEM TO
POTENTIALLY IMPACT THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY. GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING SIGNIFICANT TIMING AND
PLACEMENT DIFFERENCES...THEREFORE LOW FORECASTER CONFIDENCE AT
THIS POINT. ECMWF HANDLE THIS SYSTEM DIFFERENTLY WITH THE ECMWF
DEVELOPING TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WHICH BOTH MOVE THE CAROLINA
COAST AND THEN OUTSIDE THE BENCHMARK...ONE RIGHT AFTER THE OTHER.
THE GFS ALSO DEVELOPS TWO LOWS BUT THEY QUICKLY PHASE AND ALSO
MOVE OUTSIDE THE BENCHMARK MONDAY MORNING. THE GFS IS THE SLOWER
OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS. DID NOT DRASTICALLY REDUCE POPS AT THIS
POINT...WOULD LIKE TO SEE ANOTHER MODEL RUN BEFORE COMPLETELY
CHANGING THOUGHTS ON THIS SYSTEM. EARLIER MODEL RUNS HAD A TRACK
FURTHER WEST...SO THE 00Z RUNS FOR THIS LOW MAY BE AN OUTLIER.
SURFACE HIGH WILL RIDGE INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY AS THIS SYSTEM
DEPARTS TO THE NORTHEAST...FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING
WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS THIS EVENING AND SNOW BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...AFTER 06Z... ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SOME STUBBORN LOW CLOUDS
HAVE BEEN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND WILL REMAIN
THROUGH ABOUT 15Z. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 06Z. AS
SNOW MOVES INTO THE AREA CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA...MAY HAVE MINIMAL IMPACTS IN MASSENA
WHERE SNOW IS LEAST LIKELY.
OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SFC LOW PRES TRACKING
ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SNOW FROM
SW TO NE ACROSS ALL OUR TAF SITES ON WED MORNING. A 8 TO 12 HR
WINDOW OF IFR IN SNOW WITH PERIODS OF LIFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
FROM 09Z THRU 00Z THURS. SE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH BY WED
AFTERNOON AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS. DRIER AIR AND VFR CONDITIONS RETURN
BY 06Z THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA...AND
WILL REMAIN VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR 
     VTZ001>006-016-017.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR 
     VTZ007>012-018-019.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR 
     NYZ028>031.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR 
     NYZ034-035.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG/JN
NEAR TERM...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES

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