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Expires:201402012100;;286235
FPUS51 KBTV 011105
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
605 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014

VTZ006-012100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
605 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 AM EST SUNDAY...
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH SNOW OR RAIN
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 15 TO 20. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 5 TO 10 ABOVE. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 15 TO 20. LOWS
AROUND ZERO. 
$$

Expires:201402011200;;287233
ASUS41 KBTV 011130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT FEB 01 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-011200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   18  13  80 E3        30.25R                  
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   14  12  92 CALM      30.25R                  
MORRISVILLE    MOSUNNY   14   9  80 CALM      30.24R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     12   8  84 MISG      30.24R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      14  10  86 CALM      30.22S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      22  19  90 CALM      30.24S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    21  18  86 SE8       30.24R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    16  14  92 CALM      30.26R                  
HIGHGATE*      PTSUNNY   24  17  77 SE3       30.25S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      23  13  67 SE5       30.22S                  
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   26  16  65 CALM      30.24R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     16 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     16 N/A N/A NW15        N/A  WCI   1          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     25  19  80 NE2         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     28  23  80 SE6         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     27  21  80 SW1         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;286791
FXUS61 KBTV 011118
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
618 AM EST SAT FEB 1 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING A MIX OF 
PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH COUNTRY...STARTING THIS AFTERNOON...THEN 
TAPER OFF ON SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT 
INTO NEXT TUESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MIDWEEK 
WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING GOING INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 618 AM EST SATURDAY...UPDATE ISSUED TO ADJUST CLD COVER AND
TEMPS FROM LATEST OBS TRENDS. CURRENTLY CLD COVER OVER REGION AS
SLIPPED SOUTH OF MOST OF THE CWA ALLOWING FOR PCLDY/CLR SKIES TO
ENSUE. AS A RESULT...TEMPS HAVE DROPPED SEVERAL DEGREES FROM WHAT
WAS IN GOING FORECAST. UPDATE INCLUDES SWITCH TO PCLDY BECM
MCLDY/CLDY LATER TODAY AND A DROP IN AREA TEMPS BY SEVERAL DEGREES
DUE TO RADIATIONAL COOLING EFFECTS WITH LITTLE TO NO WIND ATTM.
REST OF FORECAST ON TRACK.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...CLD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY
TO OUR SOUTH CONTINUES TO STREAM THRU THE AREA THIS MORNING...INCR
IN NATURE AS DAY PROGRESSES. THIS WILL BE AIDED BY SFC LOW MVG UP
ALONG THE FRONT LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT. ATTM...PRECIP IS
REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH CLOSER TO BOUNDARY WITH NONE OUT AHEAD. AS
SFC LOW WORKS NORTH TODAY...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP BY
EARLY AFTERNOON...OVERSPREADING MUCH OF AREA BY LATE AFTNOON. WITH
MDLS CARRYING SFC LOW WEST OF THE CWA THRU REST OF DAY AND INTO
THE EVENING/OVERNGT HRS...WARM AIR WILL WORK INTO THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...ALLOWING FOR RAIN/SNOW
MIX...BFR GOING SLOWLY TO ALL LIGHT SNOW DURING THE OVERNGT HRS.
0C 925/850 MB LINES WORK UP INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DACKS
AND ACROSS CENTRAL VT AT PEAK OF PRECIP POTENTIAL.THUS EXPECT SNOW
WITH POSSIBLE MIX OF SLEET IN MOST NORTHERN BORDER ZONES/DACKS.
HAVE CONTINUED WINTER WX ADVISORY IN THESE AREAS...BUT HAVE
DELAYED STARTING TIME BY A FEW HRS AND TRIMMED BACK ON TOTALS ON
ACCUM FROM 4-6" TO 3-5" BASED ON TRACK OF LOW. ELSEWHERE WITH WARM
AIR INTRUSION MIX OF SNOW/SLEET/RAIN AND SPOTTY FZRA ARE STILL ON
TAP WITH A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES ACCUM POSSIBLE. HIGHS FOR TODAY IN
THE 30S WITH OVERNGT LOWS MAINLY IN THE 20S WITH SPOT 30S IN THE
CVLY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 410 AM EST SATURDAY...GOING INTO SUNDAY...FRONTAL BOUNDARY
CONTINUES PUSH THRU THE AREA WITH ANY REMAINING PRECIP GOING OVER
TO ALL -SW AS COLDER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER INTO AREA. EXPECTING
EARLY HIGHS FOR THE CWA AS TEMPS SLOWLY DROP THRU THE MORNING HRS.
ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS WHERE ADVISORY IS UP
WITH LESSER AMTS SOUTH. BY SUNDAY AFTNOON...FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS
CLRD THE CWA...LEAVING AREA UNDER WNW FLOW. EXPECTING SOME
LINGERING -SW DUE TO UPSLOPE/OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS W/ ADDITIONAL
LIGHT ACCUM...MAINLY OVER HIGHER TRRN. GOING INTO SUN EVENING/NGT...
PRECIP WILL HAVE TAPERED OFF AND GIVE WAY TO STRONG SFC RIDGE
BUILDING EAST FROM THE GREAT LKS REGION. GENERAL CLRING TREND WILL
ENSUE AND CONTINUE THRU THE MONDAY TIME FRAME PROVIDING AREA A NICE
DAY. OVERALL FOR TEMPS...NEAR NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S MONDAY 
AND LOWS IN THE TEEN TO SINGLE NUMBERS UNDER CLRING SKIES SUN
NGT. SUNDAY WILL SEE HIGHS IN THE LOW 30S EAST AND 20S WEST.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 328 AM EST SATURDAY...OBJECTIVE FORECAST UNCERTAINTY LESS
THAN NORMAL THIS PERIOD PER RELATIVELY SMALL GFS ENSEMBLE SPREAD
AT BTV. GOOD SUBJECTIVE AGREEMENT BETWEEN 00Z GFS/ECMWF ALSO
NOTED. 
QUIET WX TO START MON NIGHT THRU TUE WITH 1030MB SFC ANTICYCLONE
CRESTING OVER THE NERN CONUS. THIS SYSTEM BRINGS LIGHT WINDS AND
GOOD PROSPECTS FOR CLEAR SKIES. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING MONDAY
NIGHT ALLOWS LOWS TO DIP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER
TEENS...FOLLOWED BY SEASONABLE HIGH TEMPS TUE IN THE MID-UPR 20S. 
IT STILL APPEARS THAT SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMERGING FROM
THE LWR MS RIVER VALLEY WILL RESULT IN DEEPENING SFC CYCLONE
ACROSS THE TN AND UPR OH RIVER VALLEY TUE NIGHT INTO WED MORNING.
LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO RESULT IN NWD
ADVECTION OF RICH MOISTURE WITH PW VALUES OF 1-1.25" ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AT 12Z WED. IT APPEAR FOR OUR REGION THAT
CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LEADING WAA/
PROGRESSIVE FRONTOGENETIC SNOWFALL DEVELOPING SW-NE ACROSS OUR
REGION 06-12Z WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOULD BECOME STEADY QUICKLY GIVEN
STRENGTH OF FORCING AND MOISTURE ADVECTION. AS OF NOW...LOOKS LIKE
ALL SNOW AS PRIMARY LOW WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS INTO PA 18Z WED AND
REDEVELOPS SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND. STILL CAN/T RULE OUT THE
POSSIBILITY THAT MODELS TREND FURTHER WEST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
PROSPECTS FOR RAIN MIXING IN. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME THE COASTAL
REDEVELOPMENT IS CONSISTENT ENOUGH IN THE MODELS THAT WE HAVEN/T
INDICATED ANY MIXED PCPN/RAIN IN THE OFFICIAL FCST. 700MB TROUGH
REMAINS AN OPEN WAVE...SO LIKELY LOOKING AT A ~12 HR PERIOD OF
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL PRE-DAWN HOURS WED THRU WEDNESDAY
EVENING...WITH POSSIBILITY OF LINGERING SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT THE MOMENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT 6"+ OF
SNOWFALL ARE POSSIBLE BASED ON STRENGTH OF SYNOPTIC FORCING AND
RICH MOISTURE AVAILABILITY. HAVE MAINTAINED MENTION IN THIS
MORNING/S HAZARDOUS WX OUTLOOK. HIGHS WEDNESDAY GENERALLY 26-30F.
THE WORK WEEK ENDS QUIET WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. TEMPS TREND COLDER WITH NWLY FLOW. HIGHS GENERALLY UPR
TEENS THU/FRI WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
&&
.AVIATION /11Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...LOCALIZED MVFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE IN PLACE
ACROSS THE NRN ADIRONDACKS WITH HIR TRRN OBSCD AND LOCAL MVFR CIGS
AT KSLK. ELSEWHERE...JUST MID-HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS EXPECTED THRU THE
REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING. APPROACHING WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON
ALLOWS LIGHT SNOW TO OVERSPREAD NRN NY 18-21Z AND ACROSS VT
21-00Z...WITH PERIODS OF SNOW CONTINUING AT THE TAF SITES THRU
TONIGHT. GENERALLY 1-2SM -SN EXPECTED WITH SOME IMPACT TO AVIATION
GROUND OPERATIONS EXPECTED TOWARD THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY INCREASE FROM THE S-SE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HRS TO AROUND
10-12 KTS WITH GUSTS 15-20 KTS AT BTV. GRADIENT WIND REMAINS
STRONG TONIGHT AS SURFACE LOW PASSES WEST OF THE REGION.
ANTICIPATE SOUTH WINDS OF 10-20 KTS DURING MOST OF SATURDAY NIGHT.
OUTLOOK 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...COLD FRONT SHIFTS EWD ACROSS
THE AREA BRINGING SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY SUNDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY
NIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE MOST FREQUENT AT MPV/SLK WITH FAVORED
OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCES. DRY AND VFR CONDS MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE. MOISTURE LADEN FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING
FROM THE TN RIVER VALLEY BRINGS ADDITIONAL SNOW EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS AND IMPACT TO
AIRPORT GROUND OPS.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST 
     SUNDAY FOR VTZ002>004-006-007-016.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST 
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ026>031-034.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JN
NEAR TERM...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS

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