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Expires:201406142000;;407868
FPUS51 KBTV 140733
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
333 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2014

VTZ006-142000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
333 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2014
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY THIS MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL
MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. 
$$

Expires:201406141100;;414592
ASUS41 KBTV 141030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    61  57  87 N5        29.82R                  
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  57  56  96 N6        29.87R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  58  56  93 NW5       29.83R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  56  96 MISG      29.79R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   DRIZZLE   56  54  91 CALM      29.83R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    RAIN      62  62 100 CALM      29.81S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    59  57  94 E5        29.82S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    57  56  96 CALM      29.83R                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT RAIN  61  57  87 W5        29.82R                  
NEWPORT*       LGT RAIN  57  56  94 S7        29.81R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    62  59  90 W9        29.84R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     43 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     48 N/A N/A NW29G43     N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  55  88 N1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  57  82 NE2         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  61 100 E1          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;410324
FXUS61 KBTV 140839
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
439 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS 
EASTERN VERMONT THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE CLOUD SKIES WITH COOL 
TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL TODAY. SUNDAY WILL FEATURE A RETURN TO 
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR 
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARRIVES LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WITH 
TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT SATURDAY...WATER VAPOR SHOWS DEEPENING MID/UPPER LVL 
TROF ACRS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WITH RIBBON OF ENHANCED DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE SHIFTING INTO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. LATEST RAP AND
HRRR SHOW ENHANCED 850 TO 500MB RH AND SOME UVVS ACRS OUR
CENTRAL/EASTERN CWA BTWN 12-15Z THIS MORNING...SO WL CONT TO
MENTION CHC POPS CENTRAL AND LIKELY EXTREME EASTERN CWA THIS
MORNING. MEANWHILE...STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED BEHIND POTENT 5H
VORT ACRS THE OHIO VALLEY/WESTERN NY...BUT THIS WL LIFT NW OF OUR
CWA TODAY. SOUNDING SHOW PLENTY OF LEFTOVER MOISTURE ACRS OUR
AREA...ALONG WITH STEEP SFC TO 800MB LAPSE RATES AND SOME WEAK
CAPE WITH VALUES OF 50 TO 100 J/KG. THINKING A FEW BREAKS IN THE
OVERCAST WL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...BEFORE SKIES CLOUD UP AND
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES DEVELOP ACRS THE MTNS. LLVL CAA ON
NORTHWEST FLW WL DROP OUR PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN 8-10C
TODAY...RESULTING IN TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 60S MTNS TO L70S WARMER
VALLEYS. ADDITIONAL QPF WL BE LIGHT<0.10 AS PW VALUES FALL BELOW
0.50".
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM EDT SATURDAY...FCST CHALLENGE TONIGHT WL BE AMOUNT 
OF CLRING TWD SUNDAY MORNING AND ASSOCIATED IMPACTS ON TEMPS.
BOTH NAM/GFS SHOWS CLOSED 5H/7H CIRCULATIONS TRACKING ACRS
SOUTHERN CANADA WITH LIMITED DEEP LAYER RH. HOWEVER...THE
COMBINATION OF LEFTOVER MOISTURE BLW 750MB AND UPSLOPE ON NW WINDS
WL CREATE ADDITIONAL CLOUDS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACRS THE NORTHERN
DACKS INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN GREENS. IN ADDITION...A FEW SPRINKLES
OR LIGHT SHOWERS WL BE POSSIBLE THRU 03Z. TEMPS WITH GOOD MIXING
AND CLOUDS WL HOLD IN THE 40S MTNS TO 50S WARMER VALLEYS.
ON SUNDAY...MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ALONG 
WITH 1022MB SFC HIGH PRES. THIS WL RESULT IN PLENTY OF 
SUNSHINE...WITH EXCEPTION OF A FEW FAIR WX CUMULUS CLOUDS ACRS THE 
MTNS. ALWAYS HAVE TO WATCH BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING AND LEFTOVER 
MOISTURE FROM PREVIOUS COUPLE DAYS OF RAIN...IN FORMING ADDITIONAL 
FAIR WX CLOUDS. PROGGED 85H TEMPS REMAIN BTWN 8-10C...BUT WITH MORE 
SUN AND BETTER MIXING EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80F MOST 
LOCATIONS. FOR SUNDAY NIGHT...MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE CONTS BUT 85H 
TEMPS WARM BTWN 10-12C. EXPECT LLVL THERMAL INVERSION TO DEVELOP 
WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLR SKIES. COLDEST READINGS WL BE IN THE DEEPER 
VALLEYS OF THE DACKS AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN VT...WITH LOWS IN THE M/U 
30S TO M/U 40S WARMER VALLEYS AND MID SLOPE THERMAL BELT. 
MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE FLATTENS AS 5H VORT AND RIBBON OF ENHANCED 850 
TO 500MB MOISTURE MOVES ACRS OUR CWA BTWN 18Z-00Z. INITIALLY COLUMN 
WL BE VERY DRY WITH PLACEMENT OF RIDGE...SO EXPECTING 1ST SURGE OF 
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE CLOUDS WITH VIRGA...BEFORE BETTER MOISTURE 
ARRIVES BY 18Z ACRS THE SLV. NAM CONTS TO SHOW SFC DWPTS SURGING 
INTO THE M/U 60S ON MONDAY AFTN...WITH CAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1500 
J/KG ACRS THE SLV. THIS MAYBE OVERDONE DUE TO THE WARM SFC 
DWPTS...BUT EVEN THE GFS SHOWS SOME CAPE BTWN 800-1200 J/KG ON 
MONDAY AFTN. BOTTOM LINE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WL BE 
MENTION...BUT BLW SEVERE LIMITS. 85H TEMPS SUPPORT HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S MTNS TO L/M 80S WARMER VALLEYS WITH SOME INCREASE IN THE 
HUMIDITY VALUES...ESPECIALLY TWD EVENING.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 318 PM EDT FRIDAY...WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM EASTERN
GREAT LAKES ACROSS FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT WILL BRING A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS TO THE REGION...ALONG WITH THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING. WITH PASSAGE OF THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...MID-LEVEL PATTERN TRANSITIONS TO A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW REGIME THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HAVE LEANED TOWARDS WEAKER AND DRIER SOLUTION
OF GFS REGARDING THIS FEATURE. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT
RUN TO RUN VARIABILITY FOR LATE IN THE WEEK. BY THURSDAY/FRIDAY...
HAVE TRENDED TOWARDS THE DRIER ECMWF WHICH MAINTAINS NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT AROUND CUTOFF LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S...THEN COOL TO SEASONAL NORMS FOR LATER IN THE WEEK WITH HIGHS
MAINLY IN THE MID AND UPPER 70S. MIN TEMPS MOSTLY IN THE 50S...
EXCEPT 40S IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM LATER IN THE WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL PUSH SLOWLY ACROSS
THE REGION OVERNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES FROM WEST TO EAST.
PREVAILING CIGS IFR AT SLK/MPV TILL ABOUT 12Z AND MVFR AT REST OF
SITES...WITH VSBYS LOWERING TO MVFR AT TIMES IN SHOWERS. SLOWLY
IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFTER 12Z AS DRIER AIR GRADUALLY MOVES IN AND
WINDS TURN NORTHWEST. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO VFR BY 14Z
AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT SLK/MPV WHERE MVFR CIGS MAY LINGER INTO
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
MAINLY VFR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS EAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE PATCHY
FOG 06-12Z SUNDAY AT SLK AND PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE ALL TAF LOCATIONS
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT WIND CONDITIONS. A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRING
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY EVENING WITH
BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS IN PCPN POSSIBLE. GENERALLY VFR TUE-WED.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...TABER
NEAR TERM...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS

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