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Expires:201408122000;;160099
FPUS51 KBTV 120828
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
427 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014

VTZ006-122000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
427 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN...
MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 90 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. 
$$

Expires:201408121100;;164822
ASUS41 KBTV 121030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-121100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   67  54  63 SE5       30.04S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       55  55 100 CALM      30.13S VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    FOG       55  54  96 CALM      30.10S VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  55  93 MISG      30.09S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      63  53  70 CALM      30.05S                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY   59  54  82 SE15      30.08S                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       57  57 100 CALM      30.11S VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      63  56  79 CALM      30.02F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      57  56  97 SW3       30.09S                  
BENNINGTON     MOSUNNY   62  52  69 CALM      30.07F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A S7          N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A    N/A N/A N/A SW20        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     68  59  73 S8          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;160081
FXUS61 KBTV 120827
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
427 AM EDT TUE AUG 12 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING ABOUT
A NOTICEABLE CHANGE IN OUR WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY. THE
RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. EVENTUALLY THE RAIN TAPERS OFF TO
SHOWERS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
NORMAL STARTING ON WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 427 AM EDT TUESDAY...TODAY BEGINS OUR TRANSITION TO A MUCH
MORE UNSETTLED PERIOD OF WEATHER AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM OUR WEST. PRECIPITATION
SHIELD CURRENTLY OVER WESTERN NEW YORK AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST TODAY AND CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL GET INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK LATER THIS MORNING
AND EVENTUALLY INTO VERMONT THIS AFTERNOON. SHARP CLOUD SHIELD
WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO APPROACH SEASONAL NORMALS FROM THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY EASTWARD TODAY WHILE CLOUDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF
NORTHERN NEW YORK KEEP HIGHS A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BE INCREASING AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AND GUSTY
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF THE
GREEN MOUNTAINS TOWARD EVENING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 427 AM EDT TUESDAY...PRECIPITATION BECOMES RATHER WIDESPREAD
ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FROM ABOUT MIDNIGHT ONWARD AS
DYNAMIC SUPPORT INCREASES ACROSS THE REGION. THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY
AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER
TROUGH ENHANCING THE PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY BEGINS TO CLOSE
OFF WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS IT LIFTS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. THUS WE
SHOULD START TO SEE THE STEADIER RAINS TAPER OFF FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH ABOUT SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 1
TO 2 INCH RANGE WITH 2 TO 3 INCH READINGS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
VERMONT WHERE UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL ENHANCE AMOUNTS OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. MAINSTEM RIVERS ARE RUNNING 4 TO 10 FEET BELOW
FLOOD STAGE...SO THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE FOR
THE LARGER RIVERS...BUT SHARP RISES WILL BE OCCURRING ON THE
SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS AND MOST SHOULD STAY BELOW BANKFULL.
THUS WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FLOOD WATCHES AT THIS TIME. DRYING TAKES
PLACE THURSDAY MORNING...BUT SOME SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN AREAS AS THEY WILL BE CLOSER
TO THE UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC PROVINCE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS ONLY IN
THE 60S TO AROUND 70 DUE TO ALL THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WITH
READINGS IN THE 50S OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 312 AM EDT TUESDAY...VERY LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE FROM
PREVIOUS FORECASTS FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS CLOSED UPPER LOW
OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE
ACROSS THE BTV CWA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. EXACT POSITION OF THE
LOW WILL PLAY A LARGE ROLE IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES WITH CURRENT
MODEL TRENDS CONTINUING TO INDICATE BEST DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
LOCATED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTL BORDER WITH DRIER LOW/MID
LEVEL AIR WRAPPING ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
AS A RESULT...HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL EXIST ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE LOW...AND
LESS SO SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL TO START
THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S FRIDAY...BUT MODERATE THEREAFTER
BACK INTO MID 70S. LOWS WILL GENERALLY RUN IN THE 50S.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF IFR/LIFR BR/FG AT MPV BETWEEN
07-12Z...AND BRIEF IFR POSSIBLE AT SLK. PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS
AFTER 12-14Z THIS MORNING IN BETWEEN DEPARTING HIGH PRESSURE TO
OUR EAST AND APPROACHING LOW FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
RESULT IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE DAY...WITH GUSTS
UP TO 25 KTS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY AT BTV/PBG AND SLK. STEADY RAIN
MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK EARLY EVENING WITH CIGS/VSBY LOWERING TO
MVFR AFTER 03Z.
OUTLOOK 00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
06Z WED - 06Z THU...MVFR/IFR IN STEADY/MODERATE RAIN.
06Z THU - 00Z SUN...MAINLY VFR WITH PERIODS OF MVFR IN SCATTERED SHOWERS.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 427 AM EDT TUESDAY...EXPECTING WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH
RAINFALL OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT WHERE FAVORABLE SOUTHEAST
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL ENHANCE PRECIPITATION. HEAVY RAINS WILL DEVELOP
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF.
LARGER RIVERS RIGHT NOW ARE ANYWHERE FROM 4 TO 10 FEET BELOW FLOOD
STAGE AND THEY WILL BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL.
RISES WILL OCCUR...BUT WILL BE MORE NOTICEABLE ON SMALLER RIVERS
AND STREAMS. NONE OF THE PARAMETERS THAT FACTOR INTO THE POTENTIAL
FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LOOK SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO SUGGEST FLOODING
COULD OCCUR...ESPECIALLY ON THE LARGER RIVERS. NEVERTHELESS...SHARP
RISES ON SMALLER RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT...ESPECIALLY WHERE TERRAIN FACTORS
IN...WHICH COULD LEAD TO VERY LOCALIZED FLOODING. HAVE HELD OFF ON
ANY WATCHES AT THIS POINT GIVEN LACK OF SIGNIFICANT METEOROLOGICAL
VARIABLES THAT FACTOR INTO FLOOD...THE CURRENT LOW RIVER LEVELS...AND
THE LOCALIZED NATURE OF ANY FLOODING THAT COULD OCCUR WITH A SMALL
STREAM OR LOW LYING AREA.
&&
.MARINE...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE CHAMPLAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL BE INCREASING IN MAGNITUDE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS SPEEDS GET INTO THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE. THIS WILL CREATE 2 TO
4 FOOT WAVES AND CREATE DIFFICULT BOATING CONDITIONS. IN
ADDITION...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITIES INTO THE 2 TO 4 MILE RANGE. 
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF
HYDROLOGY...EVENSON
MARINE...EVENSON

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