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Expires:201408292000;;931403
FPUS51 KBTV 290716
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
316 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

VTZ006-292000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
316 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014
.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS
MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 60. 
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
$$

Expires:201408291100;;938210
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    57  53  86 CALM      30.15R                  
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     51  49  92 CALM      30.18R                  
MORRISVILLE    PTSUNNY   50  48  93 CALM      30.16R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     53  50  89 MISG      30.12R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    55  55 100 CALM      30.14R                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     52  48  87 CALM      30.14R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY   48  47  96 CALM      30.14R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    56  54  92 N3        30.15R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    55  52  90 CALM      30.16R                  
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   49  48  97 CALM      30.14R                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      0 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     46 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     46 N/A N/A N15         N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  55  82 SW1         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  54  72 NW9         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  55  88 NE2         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;931774
FXUS61 KBTV 290741
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
341 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TRANSLATING EASTWARD ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW 
ENGLAND WILL BRING PLEASANT AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS TO THE NORTH 
COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT. WARMER AND MORE HUMID WEATHER WILL RETURN 
FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION AND SOUTH 
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS. SATURDAY SHOULD BE PRECIPITATION FREE...
BUT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS AN 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE GREAT LAKES. 
SOME THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH VALLEY HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 80S...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. 
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 329 AM EDT FRIDAY...MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE ANTICYCLONE
AND ASSOCIATED MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE WILL BUILD EWD INTO THE
NORTH COUNTRY TODAY. LINGERING STRATOCUMULUS WILL DISSIPATE THRU
THE REMAINDER OF THE PRE-DAWN HOURS OWING TO INCREASED
SUBSIDENCE...AND PATCHY EARLY AM FOG WILL QUICKLY DISSIPATE AFTER
12Z WITH NEAR FULL SUNSHINE EXPECTED TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE IN VICINITY OF HIGH PRESSURE...AND DEWPOINTS WILL
REMAIN LOW - GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. LEANED
TOWARD WARMER NAM- MOS GUIDANCE...WITH VALLEY HIGHS IN THE 72-76F
RANGE. ALL IN ALL A VERY PLEASANT DAY FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES UNDER
RESPLENDENT BLUE SKIES.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL TONIGHT WILL DRIFTING 
EWD TOWARD THE GULF OF MAINE AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS A RESULT...SHOULD
SEE SOME SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW DEVELOP LATE...ESPECIALLY IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WITH CHANNELING EFFECTS. WINDS GENERALLY AROUND
10 MPH IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...BUT WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES OVER
LAKE CHAMPLAIN DUE TO WARM LAKE WATERS...WILL SEE THE DEVELOPMENT
OF 15-25 KT SOUTH WINDS BY 09Z OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
CHAMPLAIN. MODELS SUGGEST INCREASING RH IN 300-500MB LAYER...SO
WILL LIKELY SEE AN INCREASE IN CIRRUS FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT.
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. FOG WILL BE MOST PREVALENT ACROSS
THE VALLEYS OF CENTRAL AND ERN VT WHERE WINDS JUST ABOVE THE PBL
WILL BE LIGHTEST AND CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE A BIT LATER.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOW-MID 50S...WITH A FEW
UPPER 40S IN THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND FAR NERN VT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 329 AM EDT FRIDAY...SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL 
BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY ON SATURDAY...BETWEEN SFC
HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING TO THE EAST AND A WEAK SFC LOW AND MID-
LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. MODERATE LOW-TO-MID LEVEL WAA
IS PROGGED BY 00Z NAM/GFS...WITH 850MB THERMAL RIDGE OF +15 TO
+16C BUILDING INTO THE REGION BY 00Z SUNDAY. ISSUE ON TEMPERATURE
WILL BE CLOUDS...AS HIGH 500-300MB RH SUGGESTS FILTERED SUNSHINE
THROUGH CIRRUS/ALTOSTRATUS LAYER. ADJUSTED A BIT ABOVE MOS
CONSENSUS...WITH HIGHS IN THE 80-83F FOR MOST VALLEY
SECTIONS...BUT NOT QUITE AS WARM AS IT COULD BE UNDER FULL SUN. S-SW
WINDS GENERALLY 10-15 MPH. WITH MID-LEVEL RIDGING STILL IN PLACE
AND NOT MUCH EVIDENCE FOR LOW- LEVEL CONVERGENCE...IT APPEARS
SATURDAY WILL REMAIN DRY AREAWIDE...AND WILL KEEP POPS BELOW 15
PERCENT. DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY CLIMB...LIKELY REACHING THE UPR
50S.
WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS COMMENCE SATURDAY NIGHT AS MID-LEVEL 
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. SHOULD SEE 
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...WITH A CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPING 
ACROSS NRN NY...AND PERHAPS FAR NRN VT TOWARD DAYBREAK SUNDAY. 
CLOUDS AND CONTINUED LIGHT SOUTH WINDS SAT NIGHT...COMBINED WITH 
WARMER AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN VERY MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS...RANGING 
FROM THE UPR 50S ACROSS THE CT RIVER VALLEY...TO 65-68F IN THE 
CHAMPLAIN AND ST. LAWRENCE VALLEYS. 
SUNDAY LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 
SEVERAL DAYS. SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROVIDES MID-LEVEL UVV WHILE WEAK 
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY DEVELOPS WITH DAYTIME HEATING (SBCAPE 
VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG). DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY 
IMPRESSIVE...WITH SFC-6KM BULK SHEAR OF ONLY 20-25 KTS. COMBINED 
WITH ONLY WEAK INSTABILITY WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER IN PLACE...NOT 
ANTICIPATING ANY SEVERE WEATHER ACTIVITY. THAT SAID...SHOWER AND 
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TOWARD 
AFTERNOON WITH PEAK HEATING. WHILE NOT A "WASHOUT"...THESE SHOWERS 
COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY...AS PW VALUES APPROACH 2.00" IN BOTH THE NAM 
AND GFS. HAVE INCLUDED HEAVY DOWNPOUR MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK AND IN THE FORECAST GRIDS. DEFINITELY WOULD BE
GOOD TO HAVE AN INDOOR BACKUP PLAN FOR ANY PLANNED OUTINGS ON
SUNDAY GIVING POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPR 70S TO LOWER 80S.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 329 AM EDT FRIDAY...FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST 
PART OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH DRYING TAKING PLACE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND THUS GOING
FORECAST OF LIKELY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOOKS REAL GOOD. NOT
MUCH AIR MASS CHANGE BEHIND THE FRONT ON MONDAY AND THUS
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOME
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE CONVECTION
TAKES PLACE LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THUS LOOKING
AT ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING BEFORE DRIER WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERMAL PROFILE THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED
SUGGESTS DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE AT OR A FEW DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL
NORMALS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH ONLY ONE MINOR EXCEPTION. LIFR CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP AT KSLK
BETWEEN 09Z AND 12Z DUE TO LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
06Z SAT-12Z SAT...PRIMARILY VFR AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER
THE REGION.
12Z SAT ONWARD...MAINLY VFR...WITH MVFR/BRIEF IFR IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
&&
.MARINE...
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE SHARPLY ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN TOWARD
DAYBREAK SATURDAY...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES BETWEEN
HIGH PRESSURE DEPARTING EAST OF NEW ENGLAND...AND A DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. LOOKING AT WINDS
15-20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS AFTER 5 AM...WITH SUSTAINED
SOUTH WINDS 15-25 KNOTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ON
SATURDAY. WAVES OVER THE BROAD PORTION OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN WILL
BUILD TO 2 TO 3 FEET SATURDAY MORNING. 
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS
NEAR TERM...BANACOS
SHORT TERM...BANACOS
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/KGM
MARINE...TEAM BTV 

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