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Expires:201409262000;;202660 FPUS51 KBTV 260723 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 323 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014 VTZ006-262000- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 323 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014 .TODAY...PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SATURDAY...PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. PATCHY FOG. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. .MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LOWS AROUND 50. .TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. $$ Expires:201409261100;;209616 ASUS41 KBTV 261030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-261100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON MOSUNNY 49 48 97 CALM 30.27F MONTPELIER FOG 46 46 100 CALM 30.32S VSB<1/4 MORRISVILLE FOG 47 45 93 CALM 30.30S VSB 1/2 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 47 47 100 MISG 30.27F MIDDLEBURY* FOG 46 46 100 CALM 30.27S VSB 1/2 RUTLAND* PTSUNNY 45 43 93 SE5 30.28S SPRINGFIELD FOG 46 46 100 CALM 30.28S VSB 1/4 HIGHGATE* FAIR 47 47 99 CALM 30.26S NEWPORT* FAIR N/A N/A N/A SW5 30.28S FOG BENNINGTON FOG 43 41 93 CALM 30.27R VSB 1/4 SUTTON* N/A 48 N/A N/A MISG N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A 39 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 46 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 50 N/A N/A N6 N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 57 54 88 SE7 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 57 55 94 S9 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 52 52 100 E3 N/A $$ Expires:No;;203175 FXUS61 KBTV 260752 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 352 AM EDT FRI SEP 26 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES AND PERSIST RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT...LOOK FOR DRY WEATHER WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE DURING THE DAY AND FOG AT NIGHT. A WARMING TREND WILL ALSO TAKE PLACE WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S...WHICH WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 313 AM EDT FRIDAY...EARLY MORNING FOG WILL BURN OFF AND THEN PLENTY OF SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED ALL AREAS AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY... SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER OVER SOUTHERN VERMONT WHERE CLOUDS PERSISTED...AS LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES. && .SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 313 AM EDT FRIDAY...LOOK FOR FOG TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN...DENSE IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS WITH PATCHY FOG ELSEWHERE. THIS WILL ALSO BE THE CASE SATURDAY NIGHT AS WELL. OTHERWISE LOOK FOR MORE SUNSHINE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES WARMING A COUPLE OF DEGREES EACH DAY. THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE TO HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S...WHICH WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND IT WILL ALSO BE CLOSE TO SOME RECORDS. SEE CLIMATE SECTION AT BOTTOM OF DISCUSSION FOR SPECIFICS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 400 AM EDT FRIDAY...MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE WL SLOWLY BREAK DOWN ACRS THE NE CONUS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHILE WEAK BACK DOOR FRNT IMPACTS OUR CWA. ALSO...HAVE NOTICED TWO ADDITIONAL PIECES OF S/W ENERGY DIVING ACRS THE EASTERN CONUS ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...HELPING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CLOSED 5H TROF ACRS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC BY MID WEEK. FIRST...WELL ADVERTISED WEAK COLD FRNT WL SAG SOUTH INTO OUR NORTHERN CWA BY MONDAY...WITH A NARROW RIBBON OF ENHANCED MID LVL MOISTURE AND SOME ULVL SUPPORT. HOWEVER...SYSTEM HAS VERY LIMITED DEEP LAYER MOISTURE...SO ONLY EXPECTING INCREASING CLOUDS...WITH MAYBE A SPRINKLE OR LIGHT SHOWER ACRS THE NORTHERN MTNS ON MONDAY. HAVE MENTION SCHC POPS. TEMPS WITH MORE CLOUDS AND DEVELOPING NORTHERLY FLW WL DROP BACK INTO THE M60S MTNS TO M70S WARMER SOUTHERN VALLEYS. LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY DEVELOPS FOR TUES THRU THURS OF NEXT WEEK...WITH DEVELOPMENT OF CLOSED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS ACRS OUR CWA. CRNT TRENDS WOULD KEEP BEST MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS SOUTH OF OUR AREA...VERY SIMILAR TO THURSDAY EVENT...WITH ONLY HIGH CLOUDS IMPACTING OUR REGION...AS RIDGE BUILDS TO THE NORTH ACRS THE GREAT LAKES INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS HIGH OVER LOW TYPE SCENARIO WOULD RESULT IN A LARGE SCALE BLOCKING TYPE PATTERN WITH VERY LITTLE DAILY CHANGE IN WEATHER FOR NEXT WEEK. ATTM WL TREND TWD THIS SOLUTION...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S AND 70S AND LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S TO M50S. EXPECT SLIGHTLY WARMER LOW TEMPS WITH MORE CLOUDS ACRS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY ON WEDS INTO THURS OF NEXT WEEK. IF CLOSED CIRCULATION AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW PRES TRACK FURTHER NORTH THAN EXPECTED...CHCS FOR PRECIP WOULD NEED TO BE INCLUDED IN THE FCST FOR WEDS/THURS OF NEXT WEEK...ALONG WITH COOLER TEMPS. THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND MAINLY DRY FCST LOOKS TO PREVAIL FOR ANOTHER 7 TO 10 DAYS. && .AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH REGARDS TO CIGS/VIS AT OUR TAF SITES...AS SYNOPTIC SETUP IS SIMILAR. STRONG 1026MB HIGH PRES IS ANCHORED NEAR KSYR NY WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS ACRS OUR REGION. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR FOG WITH VLIFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP AT SLK/MPV WHICH WL CONTINUE THRU 12Z FRIDAY. MEANWHILE...EXPECTING THE TYPICAL UP AND DOWN VIS AT PBG/MSS WITH VFR TO LIFR THIS MORNING WITH PATCHY FOG/BR. VERY TRICKY AT BTV...BUT GIVEN THE LACK OF SOIL MOISTURE FROM RECENT DRY SPELL...THINKING ONLY A VERY SHALLOW FOG LAYER MAY IMPACT THE BTV AIRPORT BTV 09-11Z THIS MORNING. HAVE USED A TEMPO GROUP TO MENTION MVFR WITH VIS OF 3SM AT BTV THIS MORNING. THE WINOOSKI RIVER FOG WL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...DOWNSLOPE SE FLW OF 4 TO 8 KNOTS SHOULD LIMIT FOG/BR POTENTIAL AT RUT OVERNIGHT. FOG WL SLOWLY DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY WITH MPV GOING TO VFR CONDITIONS BY 15Z...VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THRU THIS AFTN. OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...LITTLE CHANGE ANTICIPATED THRU THE WEEKEND...WITH DAILY FOG WITH VLIFR CONDITIONS LIKELY AT MPV/SLK BTWN 04Z-14Z. ELSEWHERE...AT PBG/MSS EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BOUNCE UP AND DOWN BTWN IFR AND VFR IN PATCHY FOG DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OVER THE WEEKEND. SOME INCREASE IN GRADIENT WL LIMIT AREAL COVERAGE OF FOG ON MONDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH SOME CLOUDS...WHICH MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY. && .CLIMATE... AS OF 122 PM EDT THURSDAY... UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND...AND A FEW LOCATIONS COULD APPROACH OR BREAK DAILY RECORD HIGHS. LISTED BELOW ARE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY 9/27 AND SUNDAY 9/28: IDSAT RECORDSUN RECORD BTV 83 (1927) 82 (1946) MSS 82 (2003) 85 (1959) MPV 80 (2007) 80 (1959) SJBV1 84 (1933)83 (1908) MMNV1 69 (2011) 72 (1959) && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...EVENSON NEAR TERM...EVENSON SHORT TERM...EVENSON LONG TERM...TABER AVIATION...TABER CLIMATE...LOCONTO/NASH - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html