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Expires:201411092100;;172944
FPUS51 KBTV 091109
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
606 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014

VTZ006-092100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
606 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING
WEST THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS OR
FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.VETERANS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
$$

Expires:201411091200;;173728
ASUS41 KBTV 091130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN NOV 09 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-091200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    44  28  53 S10       29.80R
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   37  26  64 S10       29.82S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    41  28  60 CALM      29.79S
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     39  27  62 MISG      29.80R
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    37  25  62 SE6       29.80F
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    43  29  58 S10       29.83R
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    43  27  52 S7        29.84R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    34  30  85 CALM      29.86R
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    43  32  64 SW8G18    29.79R
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    37  28  70 S3        29.79R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    39  31  72 CALM      29.85R
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     45  34  65 S17         N/A
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     45  32  61 SW21        N/A
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     43  32  65 S12         N/A
$$

Expires:No;;174179
FXUS61 KBTV 091145
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
645 AM EST SUN NOV 9 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
A RATHER UNEVENTFUL FALL WEATHER PATTERN WILL AFFECT
OUR REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES
TODAY AND MONDAY AND MILDER TUESDAY BEFORE SHOWERS AND COLDER
WEATHER MID TO LATE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 624 AM EST SUNDAY...SCATTERED SHRA/SHSN HAS DISSIPATED AS
EXPECTED AND CLOUDS ARE ALREADY BEGINNING TO BREAK UP WITH DRIER
AIR. BREAKS IN CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO UNVEIL INCREASING SUNSHINE
TODAYAND WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO SHIFT WSW AND LESSEN.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...VERY WEAK AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED
WITH A WEAK TROUGH/FRONT MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NY AND ACQUIRING
SOME MOISTURE OFF LAKE ONTARIO. HOWEVER...AS FRONT MOVES EAST IT
WILL LOSE ITS MOISTURE SOURCE AND ACTIVITY WILL DRY UP.
SOME CLEARING TODAY AND DEPSITE SOME COOLER AIR...DOWNSLOPE WINDS
AND SUN SHOULD BRING TEMPERATURES SIMILAR TO SATURDAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 232 AM EST SUNDAY...LATEST SHORTWAVE ROUNDS TROUGH TO OUR
NORTH WITH A SLIGHT/CHANCE OF SHRA/SHSN ACROSS NORTHERN NY TONIGHT
AND MONDAY. OTHERWISE...TROUGH LIFTS WITH BUILDING HEIGHTS,CONTINUED
SW FLOW AND DEVELOPING MID-LEVEL RIDGING AHEAD OF CLOSED LOW
ACROSS NORTHERN PLAINS BY TUESDAY.
THE FOCUS OF ANY ACTIVITY WILL BE ALONG A BOUNDARY NORTHWEST OF
FORECAST AREA ACROSS GREAT LAKES, THUS PRIMARILY DRY THROUGH TUESDAY.
AGAIN...BUILDING HEIGHTS AND DEVELOPING SW FLOW AT ALL LEVELS WILL
PROMOTE A MODERATING TREND THROUGH TUESDAY...MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
REACHING 40S/50S ON TUESDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 232 AM EST SUNDAY...GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE 00Z GFS THIS FORECAST
CYCLE...WHICH HAS SHOWN THE BETTER RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY.
LOOKING AT A MILD START TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT IN
ADVANCE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXPECTED OVER NRN ONTARIO AND A
SOUTHWARD TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.
INCREASING CLOUDS AND POTENTIALLY GUSTY S-SW WINDS WILL KEEP LOWS
MAINLY IN THE UPPER 30S...WITH THE CHANCE OF A FEW RAIN SHOWERS
ACROSS NRN NY BASED ON CURRENT TIMING OF SYSTEM. THE COLD FRONT
SWEEPS EWD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY BRINGING A PERIOD OF
RAIN SHOWERS TO MOST LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. MAY SEE A
QUICK 0.1-0.2" RAINFALL IN SPOTS WITH THESE SHOWERS...AND PLACED
HIGHEST POPS 12-18Z WEDNESDAY (GENERALLY 40-60 PERCENT...HIGHEST
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER). HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE MID-UPR 40S...PERHAPS REACHING 50F IN SOME VALLEY
LOCATIONS IF THE COLD FRONT IS A BIT SLOWER THAN CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED. GENERALLY LOOKING AT SEASONABLY COLD AND DRY
CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY (LOWS IN THE 20S WITH HIGHS
IN THE UPR 30S). GIVEN PREVAILING WESTERLY FLOW AND COLD AIR
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR CONSIDERABLE
LAKE INDUCED CLOUDS...AND PERHAPS A FEW FLURRIES ACROSS NRN NY.
IT/S NOTEWORTHY THAT THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWS AN ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY...SO THAT WOULD SUGGEST
SOME MORE WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWER ON FRIDAY...WHICH IS NOT
CURRENTLY IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST (NOT MUCH CONTINUITY WITH THIS
FEATURE IN NWP GUIDANCE SUITE). IT APPEARS A MORE SIGNIFICANT FULL
LATITUDE TROUGH FORMS ACROSS THE OHIO/TN RIVER VALLEYS SUNDAY OR
MONDAY NEXT WEEK...WITH POTENTIAL COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT...WHICH
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...PREVAILING WSWLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN ABUNDANT
VFR CEILINGS AND LOCALIZED MVFR CEILINGS AT SLK WITH UPSLOPE
CONDITIONS INTO THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS WITH HIR TRRN OBSCD.
SFC WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE S-SW AT 10-15 KTS THROUGH
14-15Z...THEN WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY LESSEN DURING THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS TO AROUND 8-12 KTS. VFR THROUGH THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS WITH CEILINGS GENERALLY LIFTING TO 10-15 KFT.
ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT
BRINGING IN CLOUDS AROUND 5 KFT AND A CHANCE OF A FEW RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS AT KMSS.
OUTLOOK 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A WARM FRONT LIFTING
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT WILL BRING
ABUNDANT VFR CLOUDINESS...AND PERHAPS LOCALIZED MVFR CEILINGS AT
SLK. GENERALLY FAIR ON TUESDAY...BUT WITH INCREASING S-SE WINDS OF
10-15 KTS. THERE ARE ALSO INDICATIONS THAT MARINE STRATUS WILL
ADVECT NORTHWARD WITH MVFR TO BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS AT MPV/RUT AND
POSSIBLE BTV DURING TUESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT SHIFTING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A PERIOD
OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH INTERVALS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY ALSO PRECEDE EARLY
WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS (UP TO 25 KTS)
FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE DURING THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON HOURS
ON WEDNESDAY. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS THURSDAY AND MOIST UPSLOPE
FLOW FROM LAKE ONTARIO WILL LIKELY BRING MVFR CEILINGS OF 1-2 KFT
AT SLK.
&&
.MARINE...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT...LIKELY THROUGH MORNING HOURS AS
WINDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED UP TO 25 KNOTS OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF
SURFACE TROUGH. AS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES TO NORTH...WIND
WILL SHIFT TO WSW AND GRADIENT WILL SLACKEN BY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...SLW
NEAR TERM...SLW
SHORT TERM...SLW
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS
MARINE...SLW

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