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Expires:201411112100;;261388
FPUS51 KBTV 111052
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
549 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014

VTZ006-112100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
549 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014
.TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
40 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 30. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
$$

Expires:201411111200;;263030
ASUS41 KBTV 111130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-111200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     SUNNY     50  32  50 S16G25    30.00F
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     40  32  73 S10       30.09F
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     33  30  88 S5        30.04F
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     29  28  96 MISG      30.07F
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      35  30  81 SE3       30.07F
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      49  33  53 S6        30.04F
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     43  30  61 SE14      30.06F
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     27  25  92 CALM      30.13S
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      50  34  53 S10G16    29.97R
NEWPORT*       FAIR      40  32  71 S7        30.02F
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     39  32  76 S6        30.08S
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     52  37  58 SE25        N/A
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     50  39  66 S30         N/A
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     45  36  70 SE20        N/A
$$

Expires:No;;263095
FXUS61 KBTV 111139
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
639 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE TODAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
TOWARD THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND CROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. AS
A RESULT...THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES REMAINING WARM ENOUGH FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN. ONCE THE COLD FRONT EXITS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE TREND TOWARD BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
BEGIN ON THURSDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THIS MORNING/...
AS OF 551 AM EST TUESDAY...LARGE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE EARLY
THIS MORNING BASED ON WHERE WINDS HAVE MIXED DOWN AND WHERE WINDS
ARE CALM. HAVE TWEAKED GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO...BUT
OVERALL HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY LOOK GOOD. AREA IS ESSENTIALLY
IN THE WARM SECTOR NOW WITH A WARM FRONT ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER AND A COLD FRONT WELL TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. LOW LEVEL
WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW RESULTING IN
HIGH TEMPERATURES EASILY REACHING THE 50S WITH SOME SPOTS GETTING
TO 60. THE WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TODAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 341 AM EST TUESDAY...AREA REMAINS IN THE WARM SECTOR
TONIGHT WITH MOISTURE FROM THE MID- ATLANTIC COAST BEGINNING TO
STREAM NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD OVERNIGHT WITH THE
COLD FRONT FINALLY REACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO ENHANCE
PRECIPITATION ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT...THUS SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE MAJORITY OF
THE PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN. THE COLD FRONT EXITS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND COLDER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY. RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO AROUND 40.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 330 AM EST TUESDAY...MODELS HAVE COME INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER
AGREEMENT FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. MAINLY A DRY
AND COLDER THAN NORMAL FORECAST...NEXT GOOD CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AS A FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA. WRAP AROUND NORTHWEST FLOW WILL LINGER THROUGH
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW
SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS. SOME MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT FROM APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THREAT OF LLWS TO
END THIS MORNING AS GREATER MIXING TAKES PLACE. WILL SEE SOUTH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. CONTINUED VFR
CONDITIONS...THOUGH COULD SEE AREAS OF LOW-LEVEL STRATUS SPREAD
NORTH INTO MPV LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. HINTED AT THIS WITH A
BKN030 GROUP...BEST CHANCE FOR STRATUS AFTER 00Z. INCLUDED VCSH AT
SLK AFTER 06Z.
OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... TUESDAY NIGHT...VFR
WITH POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE WITH
SOUTHEAST FLOW. WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH PERIODS OF POSSIBLE MVFR
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH. EXPECT 15-25KT SOUTHERLY FLOW SHIFTING TO OUT OF THE
WEST. POSSIBLE LLVL TURBULENCE. THURSDAY...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CEILINGS PROBABLY WITH SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SHOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES
POSSIBLE AT SLK. FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
NORTHEAST WINDS. SATURDAY...VFR WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS.
&&
.MARINE...
AS OF 341 AM EST TUESDAY...SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE INCREASED
DRAMATICALLY EARLY THIS MORNING WITH WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT
RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY BEFORE
TAPERING OFF A BIT...BUT STILL REMAINING IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT
RANGE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA AND SHIFTS THE WINDS TO THE WEST. WAVES WILL BE IN
THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY RESULT IN ROUGH
BOATING CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES
MARINE...EVENSON

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