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Expires:201411112100;;261388 FPUS51 KBTV 111052 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 549 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014 VTZ006-112100- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 549 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014 .TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. .FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. .SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS AROUND 30. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. $$ Expires:201411111200;;263030 ASUS41 KBTV 111130 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-111200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON SUNNY 50 32 50 S16G25 30.00F MONTPELIER SUNNY 40 32 73 S10 30.09F MORRISVILLE SUNNY 33 30 88 S5 30.04F ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 29 28 96 MISG 30.07F LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 35 30 81 SE3 30.07F MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 49 33 53 S6 30.04F RUTLAND* SUNNY 43 30 61 SE14 30.06F SPRINGFIELD SUNNY 27 25 92 CALM 30.13S HIGHGATE* FAIR 50 34 53 S10G16 29.97R NEWPORT* FAIR 40 32 71 S7 30.02F BENNINGTON SUNNY 39 32 76 S6 30.08S GALLUP MILLS* N/A 27 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 28 N/A N/A MISG N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 52 37 58 SE25 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 50 39 66 S30 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 45 36 70 SE20 N/A $$ Expires:No;;263095 FXUS61 KBTV 111139 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 639 AM EST TUE NOV 11 2014 .SYNOPSIS... ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE TODAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND CROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT...THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING WARM ENOUGH FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN. ONCE THE COLD FRONT EXITS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE TREND TOWARD BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN ON THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM THIS MORNING/... AS OF 551 AM EST TUESDAY...LARGE VARIATION IN TEMPERATURE EARLY THIS MORNING BASED ON WHERE WINDS HAVE MIXED DOWN AND WHERE WINDS ARE CALM. HAVE TWEAKED GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS SCENARIO...BUT OVERALL HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY LOOK GOOD. AREA IS ESSENTIALLY IN THE WARM SECTOR NOW WITH A WARM FRONT ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND A COLD FRONT WELL TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. LOW LEVEL WARMING WILL TAKE PLACE WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW RESULTING IN HIGH TEMPERATURES EASILY REACHING THE 50S WITH SOME SPOTS GETTING TO 60. THE WINDS WILL BE GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST TODAY. && .SHORT TERM /7 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 341 AM EST TUESDAY...AREA REMAINS IN THE WARM SECTOR TONIGHT WITH MOISTURE FROM THE MID- ATLANTIC COAST BEGINNING TO STREAM NORTHWARD. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN MILD OVERNIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT FINALLY REACHING THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO ENHANCE PRECIPITATION ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT...THUS SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS RAIN. THE COLD FRONT EXITS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND COLDER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. RELATIVELY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S TO AROUND 40. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 330 AM EST TUESDAY...MODELS HAVE COME INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER AGREEMENT FOR THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. MAINLY A DRY AND COLDER THAN NORMAL FORECAST...NEXT GOOD CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AS A FRONT CROSSES THE AREA. WRAP AROUND NORTHWEST FLOW WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. SOME MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT FROM APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. THREAT OF LLWS TO END THIS MORNING AS GREATER MIXING TAKES PLACE. WILL SEE SOUTH GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS...THOUGH COULD SEE AREAS OF LOW-LEVEL STRATUS SPREAD NORTH INTO MPV LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. HINTED AT THIS WITH A BKN030 GROUP...BEST CHANCE FOR STRATUS AFTER 00Z. INCLUDED VCSH AT SLK AFTER 06Z. OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... TUESDAY NIGHT...VFR WITH POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO MODERATE WITH SOUTHEAST FLOW. WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH PERIODS OF POSSIBLE MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECT 15-25KT SOUTHERLY FLOW SHIFTING TO OUT OF THE WEST. POSSIBLE LLVL TURBULENCE. THURSDAY...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CEILINGS PROBABLY WITH SCATTERED MOUNTAIN SHOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES POSSIBLE AT SLK. FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHEAST WINDS. SATURDAY...VFR WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS. && .MARINE... AS OF 341 AM EST TUESDAY...SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE INCREASED DRAMATICALLY EARLY THIS MORNING WITH WINDS IN THE 20 TO 30 KNOT RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF A BIT...BUT STILL REMAINING IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AND SHIFTS THE WINDS TO THE WEST. WAVES WILL BE IN THE 2 TO 4 FOOT RANGE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY RESULT IN ROUGH BOATING CONDITIONS. AS A RESULT...A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...EVENSON NEAR TERM...EVENSON SHORT TERM...EVENSON LONG TERM...NEILES AVIATION...NEILES MARINE...EVENSON - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html