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Expires:201412192100;;999690
FPUS51 KBTV 191125
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
621 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

VTZ006-192100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
621 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014
.TODAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 11 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 6 TO 16 ABOVE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. BREEZY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. LOWS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.CHRISTMAS DAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
$$

Expires:201412191200;;999972
ASUS41 KBTV 191130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-191200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    27  20  75 N12       29.98R WCI  17          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    23  20  88 NW12      29.93R WCI  12          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    25  21  85 N6        29.94R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     28  21  75 MISG      29.89R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   MIX PCPN  25  19  78 W10       29.90R WCI  15          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    28  22  79 N10       29.96R WCI  18          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    27  19  74 NW7       29.93R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    29  21  72 NW5       29.92R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    25  22  87 CALM      29.99R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    24  21  90 NW8G17    29.92R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    29  22  75 NW5       29.92R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     14 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     28  25  86 W14         N/A  WCI  17          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  25  80 N18         N/A  WCI  18          
$$

Expires:No;;999640
FXUS61 KBTV 191123
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
623 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BRINGING GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS...THOUGH SKIES
WILL REMAIN VARIABLY CLOUDY DUE TO LOW STRATUS. THE NEXT
SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM ARRIVES FOR CHRISTMAS EVE WITH VERY WINDY
AND MILD CONDITIONS...WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY
RAIN. BRISK AND SOMEWHAT COLDER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
CHRISTMAS DAY...WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 622 AM EST FRIDAY...BLOCKED MOIST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...THOUGH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ALSO BUILD OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
ENDING THIS MORNING AS RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE COLDER THAN NORMAL...TOPPING OUT IN THE
MID TO UPPER 20S DUE TO DENSE CLOUD COVER.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM EST FRIDAY...MORE OF THE SAME FOR THE REST OF THE
SHORT TERM FORECAST. MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS EXTENT OF STRATUS
AND IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES. SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AND
REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WILL HAVE LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MODELS ARE INDICATING HIGH LOW LEVEL RH AND BLOCKED FLOW
WILL KEEP REGION SOCKED UNDER STRATUS. LOW LEVEL INVERSION SETS UP
AND THINK ANY PARTIAL CLEARING WILL BE LIMITED. FAIRLY HIGH BUST
POTENTIAL THOUGH...TOUGH TO SAY WHEN INVERSION WILL BREAK. IF
INVERSION BREAKS WILL SEE WARMER DAYTIME TEMPS AND COLDER NIGHT
TIME TEMPS. FOR NOW HAVE STUCK CLOSE TO GUIDANCE ON DAYTIME TEMPS
AND HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE FOR OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS. BEST CHANCE AT A
LITTLE BIT OF SUN WILL BE SATURDAY...AS SUNDAY FEATURES SHORTWAVE
ENERGY MOVING JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA AND REINFORCING CLOUD COVER.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 228 PM EST THURSDAY...RATHER TRANQUIL WEATHER EARLY IN THE
PERIOD WILL BE FOLLOWED BY MUCH MORE ACTIVE AND STORMY WEATHER
HEADING INTO CHRISTMAS EVE.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY SUNDAY NIGHT 
THEN SLOWLY RETREATS TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON MONDAY. 
MEANWHILE...FLOW ALOFT GRADUALLY BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST WHILE WEAK 
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH ON MONDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES BUT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. A WARMING TREND BEGINS
WITH HIGHS MONDAY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IN
THE FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH INCREASED MOISTURE WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASE FURTHER TUESDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY 
ON WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. DEEP UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER 
THE MIDWEST AND EVOLVES INTO VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL 
GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY. SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF ENERGY ROUNDING BASE OF 
THIS TROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN DEVELOPMENT OF SECOND 
SURFACE LOW OVER MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS LOW EXPECTED TO DEEPEN 
AND BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE NORTH COUNTRY WEDNESDAY INTO 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FORECAST AREA EXPECTED TO BE IN WARM SECTOR WITH 
TEMPS REACHING INTO THE 40S ON CHRISTMAS EVE DAY. WITH UPPER
TROUGH TAKING ON NEGATIVE TILT...GOOD INFLUX OF MOISTURE EXPECTED
INTO REGION...DRIVEN BY INCREASING 850 MB JET WHICH MAY REACH
60-80 KTS LATER WEDNESDAY. POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES DUE
DOWNSLOPING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
SHADOWING...SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY TO VARY CONSIDERABLY. AS
SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER AIR
WRAPPING AROUND THE STORM WILL RETURN ON SOUTHWEST WINDS...WITH
RAIN POSSIBLY CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS. BLUSTERY AND SEASONABLY
COLD TEMPS ON CHRISTMAS DAY WITH SOME SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...PERSISTENT STRATUS DECK WILL BRING
PREDOMINANTLY MVFR CONDITIONS TO THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PERIODS OF IFR ALSO EXPECTED AT MPV/SLK TONIGHT AND CONTINUING AT
SLK ON FRIDAY. PBG IS THE ONLY EXCEPTION WHERE SOME LOCAL
DOWNSLOPING HAS ALLOWED CEILINGS TO LIFT TO VFR AND THAT IS ALSO
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
REMAIN AT BTV/SLK/MPV...AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
12Z...POSSIBLY LASTING TO 15Z AT MPV/SLK. HOWEVER ANY SNOW SHOWERS
WILL BE LIGHT WITH ONLY MINOR VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS EXPECTED...IF
ANY AT ALL. COULD ALSO BE A FEW BRIEF PERIODS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
AT SAME SITES OVERNIGHT.
NORTHWEST WINDS FROM 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND
FRIDAY...EXCEPT LOCALLY WEST/SOUTHWEST AT MSS/SLK.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
06Z SAT-00Z SUN...IMPROVING CONDITIONS...BUT CHANCE OF LINGERING
STRATUS IN SOME AREAS BRINGING PERIODS OF MVFR.
00Z SUN-00Z TUE...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
00Z TUE-00Z WED...PERIODS OF MVFR IN LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS/NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS/MUCCILLI

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