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Expires:201502042100;;149771
FPUS51 KBTV 041126
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
623 AM EST WED FEB 4 2015

VTZ006-042100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
623 AM EST WED FEB 4 2015
.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. SNOW ACCUMULATION A
DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW
70 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
LOWS AROUND 6 ABOVE. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS 14 BELOW TO
20 BELOW ZERO. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS
LOW AS 30 BELOW. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 12. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 22 BELOW. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE ZERO. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS 15 TO 20. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 5 BELOW TO ZERO. HIGHS 5 TO 15 ABOVE. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW ZERO. HIGHS 5 TO 15 ABOVE. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND ZERO. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 20. 
$$

Expires:201502041200;;150075
ASUS41 KBTV 041130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED FEB 04 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-041200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    18   7  62 S17G24    30.13F WCI   3          
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  14   7  73 S8        30.13F                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  17  10  74 SW7       30.12S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      5  -2  72 MISG      30.14F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   LGT SNOW   7   2  80 SE3       30.11F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT SNOW  18  13  82 S9        30.14F                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    12   9  85 SE8       30.15S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY     1  -3  83 CALM      30.22S                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    17   9  70 S10G18    30.11F WCI   4          
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    11   6  78 S5        30.09S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY     7   4  87 CALM      30.15F                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A      5 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     18  12  79 S16         N/A  WCI   3          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     19  12  73 SW26        N/A  WCI   1          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     16  10  79 S20         N/A  WCI  -1          
$$

Expires:No;;150320
FXUS61 KBTV 041146
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
646 AM EST WED FEB 4 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
IT WILL BE MILDER TODAY...WHILE A WEAK DISTURBANCE PRODUCES SOME
SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN
GREEN MOUNTAINS. ANOTHER ARCTIC BOUNDARY SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY TONIGHT...WITH A WIDESPREAD LIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOW EVENT
LIKELY...ALONG WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES BY THURSDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 629 AM EST WEDNESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS WIDESPREAD ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW YORK AT THIS TIME...ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED
ACTIVITY ACROSS VERMONT. MODELS DEPICT A BAND OF DEEP MOISTURE
LIFTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH 18Z. THIS MOISTURE AND
ASSOCIATED UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS THE RESULT OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION AND A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE. SNOW SHOWERS DECREASE
IN COVERAGE AFTER 18Z AS BAND OF MOISTURE LIFTS NORTH. GREATEST
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TODAY...GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES...WILL BE
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ST LAWRENCE VALLEY
AND ADIRONDACKS. ELSEWHERE...A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES...MAINLY OVER
THE NORTHERN GREENS. SOUTHWEST 850 MB WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS WILL
RESULT IN SHADOWING ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. WITH SOUTHERLY
FLOW TODAY...EXPECT TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30
DEGREES IN THE VALLEYS... SUPPORTED BY 850 MB TEMPS -8C TO -10C.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 405 AM EST WEDNESDAY...A WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW EVENT
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS ARCTIC FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS
THE REGION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES LIKELY IN THE
VALLEYS AND 2 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES INCREASE TO BETWEEN 0.25 AND 0.35 INCHES 
IN BROAD SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...WHILE A SHARP ARCTIC BOUNDARY WILL 
BE UNDERCUTTING THIS MOISTURE IN THE LOW LEVELS. ALSO...HELPING IN 
LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL BE POTENT 500 MB VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH 
DEEPENING MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO 
THE NORTHEAST TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...LOW LEVEL 
CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE BOUNDARY...COMBINED WITH DEVELOPING 
NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW WILL HELP TO FOCUS PRECIP ACROSS THE NORTHERN 
ADIRONDACKS AND THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN GREENS. SOUNDINGS SHOW BEST 
INSTABILITY PARAMETERS OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY THIS EVENING 
WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS INSTABILITY DECREASES AS
THE BOUNDARY TRACKS EASTWARD OVERNIGHT HOWEVER DUE THE LOSS OF
SURFACE HEATING AND TIMING OF FRONTAL PASSAGE OVERNIGHT. THE
LOCALLY DEVELOPED SNOW SQUALL PARAMETER SHOWS HIGHEST VALUES OVER
OUR WESTERN ZONES...WHERE THERE WILL BE SOME LAKE MOISTURE
ADVECTION AHEAD OF BOUNDARY. HAVE CONTINUED WITH MENTION OF
CATEGORICAL POPS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND AT LEAST LIKELY IN THE
VALLEYS TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STEADY AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BEFORE DROPPING SHARPLY BEHIND THE
BOUNDARY. RESULT WILL BE THAT MIN TEMPS TONIGHT LIKELY TO BE CLOSE
TO MAX TEMPS THURSDAY...WITH MANY LOCATIONS LIKELY TO SEE FALLING
TEMPS FOR MUCH OF THURSDAY.
COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTO THE REGION THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON/NIGHT BRINGING WITH IT CLEARING SKIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
AND A RETURN TO SUBZERO TEMPS THURSDAY NIGHT. BY FRIDAY MORNING
HOWEVER...RIDGE AXIS WILL HAVE MOVED EAST OF FORECAST
AREA...ALLOWING FOR DEVELOPMENT OF RETURN SOUTHWEST FLOW. CLOUDS
WILL RETURN TO NORTHERN NEW YORK BY FRIDAY MORNING...AND TO
VERMONT DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH THE CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN GREEN
MOUNTAINS. MIN TEMPS THURSDAY NIGHT EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN
5 AND 20 BELOW ZERO. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE TEENS ON FRIDAY AS CORE
OF COLD AIR DEPARTS AND TEMPS MODERATE ON SOUTHWEST FLOW.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 350 AM EST WEDNESDAY...BEHIND AN EXITING WEAK CLIPPER
SYSTEM AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE NORTH COUNTRY FRIDAY
NIGHT AND BECOME THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION GOING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE FRONT STALLS
OVER THE NORTHEAST. MOISTURE RIDING UP AND OVER A PERSISTENT RIDGE
OVER THE PACIFIC COAST TRAVELS EASTWARD ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY
INTO THE NORTHEAST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS COMBINED WITH SEVERAL
WEAK SHORTWAVES MOVING THROUGH A FAST WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
SUPPORTS THE IDEA FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND BUT EXPECT ACCUMULATIONS TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE,
GENERALLY A DUSTING TO MAYBE A COUPLE OF INCHES. A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT CARVES
OUT THE UPPER FLOW INTO A DEEPENING TROUGH WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST LATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT TAKING THE LOW OFFSHORE
MONDAY NIGHT AND EAST OF THE BENCHMARK ON TUESDAY WHILE
INTENSIFYING AS IT INTERACTS WITH ABNORMALLY WARM GULF STREAM
WATERS. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER NON-EVENT FOR US.
WITH A PERSISTENT TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH MUCH OF 
THE PERIOD TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE OF NORMAL. 
HIGHS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE TEENS TO 20S EXCEPT FOR SUNDAY 
WHERE WE'LL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE SINGLE DIGITS. LOWS WILL RUN 
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...LIGHT SNOW HAS SHIFTED INTO THE NORTH
COUNTRY THIS MORNING WITH MOST SITES REPORTING MVFR VSBY EXCEPT
FOR IFR ST KSLK AND VFR AT KBTV. THROUGH THE MORNING SNOW WILL BE
MOST WIDESPREAD WITH A BREAK IN THE ACTION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE AN ARCTIC FRONT SHIFTS INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
AFTER 23Z. INTENSITY OF SNOW WITH BRIEFLY INCREASE ALONG THIS
FEATURE WITH VSBY LOWERING TO IFR OR BELOW FOR ABOUT A 1-2 HOUR
WINDOW, ESPECIALLY AT KMSS AND KSLK. SNOW WINDS DOWN AFTER 06Z
WITH CONDITIONS TRENDING TOWARDS VFR. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY OUT
OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-15KTS AND STRONGEST LOCALLY IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WHERE GUSTS TO 25KTS ARE LIKELY DURING THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS. AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, WINDS SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST AND REMAIN AROUND 5-10KTS OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK 12Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
12Z THURSDAY - 18Z THURSDAY...MVFR/IFR IN LIGHT SNOW.
18Z THURSDAY - 12Z FRIDAY...VFR/SKC UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
12Z FRIDAY - 00Z MONDAY...CHANCE FOR MVFR/IFR IN LIGHT SNOW.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF

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