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Expires:201503112000;;749856
FPUS51 KBTV 111043
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
639 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2015

VTZ006-112000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
639 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2015
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
MIDNIGHT...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND
18. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.SATURDAY...LIGHT RAIN LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. LITTLE OR
NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SNOW OR LIGHT RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...LIGHT SNOW LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
$$

Expires:201503111100;;749796
ASUS41 KBTV 111030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-111100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   42  35  76 SW9       29.76R                  
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     44  35  70 W12       29.76F                  
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     42  34  73 S6        29.73F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     34  32  92 MISG      29.72F                  
MIDDLEBURY*      N/A     42  39  88 S12       29.80R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    43  37  81 W3        29.83R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    34  33  96 VRB3      29.81S FOG              
HIGHGATE*      PTSUNNY   39  35  86 S7        29.74R                  
NEWPORT*         N/A     37  32  83 SW12      29.71S                  
BENNINGTON     FOG       36  35  96 CALM      29.87R VSB 1/2          
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     32 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     36  34  93 S18         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  37  93 SW18        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  37  93 SW6         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;749915
FXUS61 KBTV 111044
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
644 AM EDT WED MAR 11 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
ONE MORE DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED TODAY BEFORE 
THAT PATTERN CHANGES AND A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
OCCURS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT FROM CANADA WILL MOVE 
ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS 
WITH COLDER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED 
FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE 
WEEKEND WITH RAIN OR SNOW POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AND JUST SNOW ON 
SUNDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 643 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...GOING FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS...BUT OVERALL
HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE. OTHERWISE...BAND OF
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTH OF OUR AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH LINGERING CLOUDS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR
AREA...BUT RELATIVELY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE NORTHERN HALF.
HOWEVER...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHWEST QUEBEC
THIS MORNING AND WILL SPREAD CLOUDS IN RATHER QUICKLY THIS
MORNING. THE SHORTWAVE IS MOVING MORE EAST THAN SOUTH AND THUS
FEEL MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY DURING THE DAY
TODAY...BUT THERE COULD BE A SHOWER OR TWO OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST VERMONT THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED ABOVE
NORMAL EARLY THIS MORNING...SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH FOR HIGH
TEMPERATURES TO BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S TODAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 356 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER 
NORTHWEST ONTARIO PROVINCE EARLY THIS MORNING WILL EVENTUALLY
MOVE DOWN INTO OUR AREA TONIGHT AND INCREASE DYNAMIC SUPPORT OVER
THE AREA. IN ADDITION...COLD FRONT AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SUGGESTS A WINDOW OF CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS THIS EVENING OVER THE
AREA JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE DEPTH OF THE LAPSE RATES IS NOT
SIGNIFICANT NOR IS THE INSTABILITY...BUT NEVERTHELESS IT IS
SUFFICIENT TO ENHANCE THE SNOW SHOWER POTENTIAL. THE SNOW SHOWERS
COME TO AN END AFTER MIDNIGHT AND THEN COLD AIR ADVECTION KICKS IN
UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL RETURN TEMPERATURES TO THE
ALL TOO FAMILIAR BELOW NORMAL STATUS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
HIGHS HOWEVER WILL ONLY BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 356 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS IN
REGARDS TO PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND ALONG
WITH THE P-TYPE. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IS MIDDLE OF THE ROAD RIGHT
NOW DUE TO THIS UNCERTAINTY WHICH IS TYPICAL THIS FAR OUT WHEN
WE'RE TALKING ABOUT PHASING OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM
ENERGY.
PERIOD BEGINS FRIDAY NIGHT WITH RELATIVELY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS OVER 
THE NORTH COUNTRY AHEAD OF THE IMPENDING STORM. DIGGING NORTHERN 
STREAM TROUGH WILL BE ENTERING THE GREAT LAKES REGION WHILE SOUTHERN 
STREAM ENERGY WILL BE LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE 
TENNESSEE/OHIO RIVER VALLEY. LATEST MODEL TRENDS ARE LEANING TOWARDS 
A SLIGHTLY DRIER SOLUTION FOR SATURDAY AS THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH 
DEEPENS RAPIDLY CAUSING HEIGHTS TO ACTUALLY RISE OUT AHEAD OF THE 
SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WHILE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AND WARM 
AIR ADVECTION LIFT STAY SOUTH ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. 
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW DOESN'T REALLY GET GOING UNTIL IT SHIFTS 
OFFSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT AND THE UPPER TROUGH CLOSES OFF AS IT TRACKS 
THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST. WITH THIS IN 
MIND, HAVE BACKED OFF POPS A BIT FOR SATURDAY, BUT TRENDED HIGHER 
FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH THE BETTER UPPER SUPPORT AS THE 
CLOSED LOW TRACKS THROUGH. IN ADDITION, WITH THE BEST WARM AIR 
ADVECTION PROCESSES GENERALLY SOUTH OF THE AREA TEMPS TREND A BIT 
COOLER FOR THE WEEKEND COMPARED TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS. THERMAL 
PROFILES STILL SUPPORT SNOW AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND RAIN IN THE 
VALLEYS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT NOW ALL SNOW FOR SATURDAY NIGHT 
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. A LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW EVENT IS POSSIBLE.
MOVING ON INTO NEXT WEEK, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGE ALOFT 
BUILD OVER THE AREA FOR MONDAY WITH DRY AND SEASONAL CONDITIONS 
EXPECTED. HOWEVER, THIS LOOKS TO BE SHORT-LIVED AS A STRONG COLD 
FRONT WILL BRING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW FOR TUESDAY, AND RETURN OF 
WINTER-LIKE TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...A MIX OF VFR/MVFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD. CURRENTLY LOOKING AT VFR OVER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA WHILE MVFR IS CREEPING NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTH AND
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS. EXPECT MVFR WILL CONTINUE AT
KRUT AND KSLK OVERNIGHT, MOVING INTO KMPV BY 08Z AND POSSIBLY INTO
THE NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY MID-MORNING. CONDITIONS IMPROVE BACK
TO VFR ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS CEILINGS LIFT,
BUT MAY TREND BACK TOWARDS MVFR AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AFTER
00Z ALONG WITH SOME SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY.
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE TONIGHT FROM 5-15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
UP TO 20-25 KNOTS, ESPECIALLY AT KBTV AND KMSS WITH SOME LOW
LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT KSLK THROUGH 12Z. WINDS TURN MORE
WEST/NORTHWEST DURING THE MID-DAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS CONTINUING.
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
06Z THURSDAY - 12Z THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH SCATTERED MVFR SNOW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
12Z THURSDAY - 12Z SATURDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
12Z SATURDAY - 00Z MONDAY...VFR TRENDING TO MVFR/IFR IN RAIN/SNOW.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF

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