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Expires:201504272000;;877983
FPUS51 KBTV 270742
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
338 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

VTZ006-272000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
339 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015
.TODAY...RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
80 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS AROUND 60. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. 
.SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LOWS AROUND 40. 
$$

Expires:201504271100;;884939
ASUS41 KBTV 271030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    42  38  85 N8        29.68S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    40  37  89 NW7       29.67R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  40  38  93 N6        29.67R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     40  37  89 MISG      29.62S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    37  33  85 NW5       29.65R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    DRIZZLE   42  42 100 N8        29.67R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    39  39 100 NW7       29.66R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    43  36  76 CALM      29.64R                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT RAIN  40  39  97 CALM      29.70R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    37  35  95 NW5       29.66R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    43  34  70 W3        29.65S                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     30 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     41  39  93 NW7         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     43  39  87 N9          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     41  37  87 N13         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;878423
FXUS61 KBTV 270754
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
354 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL IMPACT THE NORTH 
COUNTRY TODAY...ALONG WITH COOL TEMPERATURES. A SLOW DRYING TREND IS 
EXPECTED BY TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NORMAL. THIS WILL 
CONTINUE FOR WEDNESDAY...BEFORE ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND 
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 355 AM EDT MONDAY...LARGE SCALE BLOCKING PATTERN CONTINUES 
ACROSS THE NE CONUS...WITH DEEP FETCH OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE ADVECTING 
FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA PER LATEST WATER VAPOR 
TRENDS. THIS MOISTURE WILL DROP SOUTH INTO NORTHERN NY AND VT 
TODAY...ALONG WITH SOME LIFT FROM WEAK WAA. THE COMBINATION OF THIS 
MOISTURE AND FORCING WL RESULT IN AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN AND 
DRIZZLE...ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN MTNS. BEST RIBBON OF UVV'S AND 
DEEP 850 TO 500MB MOISTURE ROTATES THRU OUR CENTRAL/NORTHERN CWA 
BTWN 12Z-21Z TODAY...WITH SOME MID LEVEL DRYING POSSIBLE TWD 
EVENING. GIVEN THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT FORCING AND VERY LIGHT 
UPSTREAM RADAR RETURNS...QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY UNDER A TENTH 
OF AN INCH THROUGH TONIGHT. HIGHEST PRECIP AMOUNTS WL BE ALONG THE 
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS AND PARTS OF THE NEK OF VT...WITH 
ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SLV AND LWR CT RIVER VALLEY. 
SNOW LEVELS WILL START AROUND 3000 FEET THIS MORNING...BUT JUMP TO 
SUMMIT LEVEL BY MIDDAY...AS PROGGED 85H TEMPS TREND TWD 0C. IF 
PRECIP IS HEAVY ENOUGH TO COOL COLUMN A MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATION IS 
POSSIBLE IN THE MTNS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS FROM MT 
MANSFIELD TO JAY PEAK. OTHERWISE...GIVEN LOTS OF CLOUDS AND 
OCCASIONAL LIGHT PRECIP...TEMPS WL STRUGGLE TO WARM INTO THE 40S TO 
LOWER/MID 50S TODAY. 
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 355 AM EDT MONDAY...MID/UPPER LVL CIRCULATION 
WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST AS WEAK S/W RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE NE CONUS BY 
TUESDAY. THIS RIDGE WILL PRODUCE A SLOW DRYING TREND FOR MID 
WEEK...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL. BOTH 
NAM/GFS SHOW WEAK RIBBON OF 850 TO 500MB MOISTURE ROTATING ACROSS 
OUR CENTRAL/EASTERN CWA BTWN 12Z-18Z WEDS...WHICH COULD PRODUCE A 
FEW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS. MOST OF THE CWA WL REMAIN DRY. BEST CHC OF 
MEASURABLE PRECIP WOULD BE NEK AND NORTHERN MTNS NEAR JAY PEAK ON 
WEDS. THERMAL PROFILE WARM SLIGHTLY DURING THE PERIOD WITH PROGGED 
85H TEMPS NEAR 0C ON TUESDAY...AND +2C ON WEDS...WITH SLIGHTLY 
BETTER MIXING. STILL NOTICING ON GFS SOUNDINGS MID LVL MOISTURE BTWN 
850 AND 700MB...WHICH MAY PRODUCE SOME CLOUDS AND LIMIT SFC HEATING 
SOME ON WEDS AFTN. WL MENTION HIGHS IN THE L/M 60S CHAMPLAIN AND 
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEYS ON WEDS...WITH 50S IN THE MOUNTAINS. 
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SOME MIXING OF DRIER AIR ALOFT AROUND 850MB TO THE 
SURFACE WL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON WEDS...WHICH WILL 
PRODUCE MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 30S...WITH 
NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH. THE PRES GRADIENT BTWN 
DEPARTING SFC LOW PRES AND BUILDING HIGH PRES IS NOT OVERLY 
STRONG...SO WINDS WL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL 
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THRU THE TIME PERIOD...WITH VALUES MAINLY IN THE 
30S MTNS AND 40S IN THE WIDER CHAMPLAIN AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEYS. 
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 355 AM EDT MONDAY...A WELCOMED RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL 
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED BY LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND...ALBEIT
WITH SOME CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY AMONG THIS MORNING'S GUIDANCE IN
REGARD TO POTENTIAL COASTAL SYSTEM FRI/SAT. THIS MORNING'S GFS
CONTINUES TO BE THE MOST BULLISH IN REGARD TO IMPACTS OF RAIN/WIND
WITH THIS SYSTEM, WITH THE MAJORITY OF OTHER MODEL CAMPS SHOWING A
MORE SUPPRESSED AND WEAKER SYSTEM MUCH FURTHER SOUTHEAST AND
OFFSHORE. INDEED, LATEST HPC FORECAST LEANS TOWARD THESE LATTER
SOLUTIONS SHOWING PRIMARY INFLUENCE IN OUR REGION WILL BE FROM A
WEAK NORTHERN STREAM TROUGHING. THIS APPEARS TO MAKE SENSE WITH
OUR PESKY MARITIME UPPER LOW HANGING AROUND AS LATE AS WEDNESDAY
IF YOU BELIEVE SOME OF THE DETEMINISTIC GUIDANCE. IF THIS PANS OUT
IT'S HARD TO CONCEIVE A TUCKED IN COASTAL SYSTEM DIGGING NORTHWARD
IMMEDIATELY ON ITS HEELS. AS A RESULT I'VE MAINTAINED ONLY SLIGHT
TO LOW CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE FRI/SAT TIME FRAME. BRACKETING THIS
PERIOD WILL BE MEAN WEAK RIDGING WED NT/THU AND AGAIN BY NEXT SAT
NT/SUN AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER. BLENDED 925-850 18Z TEMPERATURES
SUPPORT MAX/MIN TEMPERATURES QUITE CLOSE TO LATEST EURO/GFS
STATISTICAL GUIDANCE SHOWING HIGHS IN THE 55 TO 67 RANGE AND
SEASONAL OVERNIGHT LOWS FROM 35 TO 45.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR WITH PERIODS OF -RA/-SHRAS 
THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS SPOKES OF DEEPER MOISTURE
ROTATE SSW INTO THE REGION FROM UPPER LOW PRESSURE IN EASTERN
CANADA. BRIEF IFR POSSIBLE...MAINLY AT KSLK TERMINAL THIS MORNING.
CONDS TEND TO IMPROVE AFTER 21Z. WINDS NORTH TO NORTHWESTERLY AND 
GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
OUTLOOK 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
06Z - 12Z TUESDAY...MVFR/PERIODS IFR TREND TO BKN/OVC VFR, WITH
SHOWERS ENDING EARLY THIS PERIOD.
12Z TUESDAY - 12Z WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR, THOUGH POSSIBLE MIX OF
MVFR/VFR CEILINGS OVERNIGHT TUESDAY.
12Z WEDNESDAY - 06Z THURSDAY...VFR IN WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE.
06Z THURSDAY ONWARD...VFR/MVFR AS SLOW-EVOLVING, UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS DEVELOP AGAIN FROM NEXT CLOSED LOW.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...TABER
NEAR TERM...TABER
SHORT TERM...TABER
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/LOCONTO

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