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Expires:201504222000;;645456
FPUS51 KBTV 220719
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
316 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015

VTZ006-222000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
316 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015
.TODAY...CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO SNOW
ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LITTLE OR NO
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
50. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. 
$$

Expires:201504221100;;652903
ASUS41 KBTV 221030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-221100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     SUNNY     42  34  73 S6        29.70S                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       33  31  92 N3        29.75R VSB 1            
MORRISVILLE    MOSUNNY   35  33  92 CALM      29.73R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     35  34  96 MISG      29.73R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    35  33  92 CALM      29.75R                  
MIDDLEBURY*      N/A     33  33 100 S5        29.70F FOG              
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     34  30  86 SE8       29.73S                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       31  30  96 CALM      29.76S VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*        N/A     41  34  76 S6        29.69R                  
NEWPORT*       PTSUNNY   36  33  89 S5        29.72R                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     33  31  92 CALM      29.73S                  
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     32 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     43  36  75 S12         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  37  93 S14         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  37  93 S10         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;646393
FXUS61 KBTV 220753
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
353 AM EDT WED APR 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND 
ONTARIO WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THIS 
SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH SEASONABLY COOL 
CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. EMBEDDED SMALLER 
SCALE DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS...WHICH WILL 
BE MOST WIDESPREAD LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE 
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW
FOR THE SUMMITS ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 306 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...NORTH COUNTRY WILL REMAIN IN DEEP-
LAYER SWLY FLOW TODAY...AS CLOSED UPPER LOW REMAINS QUASI-
STATIONARY NORTH OF THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN. SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE 500MB TROUGH WILL SHIFT NEWD FROM PA
ACROSS NY/NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTN HRS. THIS WILL ENHANCE
UPWARD MOTION AND EXPAND COVERAGE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALL GUIDANCE CONSISTENT IN SHOWING SHOWER
ACTIVITY MOST WIDESPREAD ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN VT...AND HAVE SHOWN
HIGHEST POPS THERE (80-90 PERCENT)...AND GENERALLY 50-80 PERCENT
ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WWD INTO THE ADIRONDACKS.
BASED ON EARLY AM RADAR TRENDS...CAN/T RULE OUT SOME MORE ISOLD/SCT 
SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING HRS (SHOWERS MOVING GENERALLY NE 30-35 
MPH). FIRST AREA OF ACTIVITY MOVING OUT OF THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AT 
0645Z...AND WILL AFFECT N-CENTRAL INTO NERN VT BETWEEN 07-09Z. SOME 
BELOW FREEZING TEMPS ACROSS FAR NERN VT...SO CAN'T RULE OUT A QUICK 
COATING OF SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM NEXT COUPLE 
OF HRS. BEHIND THIS ACTIVITY...REGIONAL MOSAIC RADAR REFLECTIVITY 
INDICATES ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL/WRN PA AND WRN 
NY...WHICH COULD BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/SPRINKLES BY MID-MORNING. 
THAT SAID...OVERALL TREND WILL BE FOR ACTIVITY TO BECOME MORE 
WIDESPREAD AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. PARTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED 
AT TIMES THROUGH THE MORNING HRS...BEFORE TRENDING MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR 
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING PERIOD. RAINFALL AMTS GENERALLY A TENTH TO 
0.30" FROM THE ADIRONDACKS EWD...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS EXPECTED 
ACROSS ERN VT. MEANWHILE...RAINFALL GENERALLY <0.10" ACROSS THE ST. 
LAWRENCE VALLEY. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THE 
MID-UPR 50S. SFC WINDS GENERALLY SOUTH 10-15 MPH THIS 
MORNING...SHIFTING INTO THE SW AND WEST THIS AFTN WITH TROUGH 
PASSAGE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 306 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...THE SHORT-TERM WILL FEATURE CONTINUED 
SEASONABLY COOL AND MOIST CONDITIONS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
UPSLOPE/OROGRAPHIC SNOWFALL THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...INCLUDING
LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE HIGHER SUMMITS.
LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL INTO NERN VT THIS EVENING WILL 
GRADUALLY MOVE NEWD OUT OF THE REGION OVERNIGHT. MAY SEE AN 
ADDITIONAL 0.10"-0.20" RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN VT BEFORE 
ACTIVITY ENDS AROUND MIDNIGHT. SHOULD SEE AT LEAST SOME MODEST RISES 
ON AREA RIVERS TONIGHT...AND MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR THE 
BARTON RIVER AT COVENTRY BASED ON CURRENT EXPECTATIONS. WHILE SKIES 
WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT...LOW-LEVEL CAA FROM THE WEST 
WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE LOW-MID 30S FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS. 
UPR LOW CENTER PROGRESSES ACROSS NRN NY AND VT ON 
THURSDAY...MAINTAINING CLOUDY SKIES, ALONG WITH COOL AND MOIST 
CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW 
SEASONABLE NORMS...AND GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S...AND 
LOCALLY IN THE LOWER 40S FOR THE NRN ADIRONDACK REGION. 
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS NWLY FLOW DEVELOPS 
ACROSS NRN NY THURSDAY AFTN...AND ACROSS VT THURSDAY NIGHT. LOOKS 
LIKE AN UPSLOPE FLOW SETUP FOR A TIME THURSDAY NIGHT...AND THERMAL 
FIELDS SUPPORT SNOW AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1000'...WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX 
POSSIBLE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. LOWS THURSDAY 
NIGHT WILL BE NEAR FREEZING MOST LOCATIONS...AND LOCALLY IN THE LOW-
MID 20S ABOVE 2000 FEET ELEVATION. 
CYCLONIC FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH ISOLD VALLEY 
SHOWERS AND MORE FREQUENT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE HIGHER 
ELEVATIONS. HIGHS FRIDAY REMAINING COOL...GENERALLY 45-50F. 
MAY SEE SOME DECENT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE HIGHER SUMMITS 
OF THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND CENTRAL/NRN GREEN MTNS...MAINLY THURSDAY 
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUPPORT AROUND 6" OF NEW SNOW 
ALONG THE RIDGE TOPS FROM JAY PEAK TO MT. MANSFIELD...AND SIMILARLY 
ACROSS THE HIGH PEAKS OF THE ADIRONDACKS. MAY SEE A WET COATING-1" 
SNOWFALL AMTS DOWN TO ABOUT 1000' DURING THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SNOW 
LEVELS RISING DURING THE DAY FRIDAY TO ABOVE 2000'.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 352 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...CONTINUING THE THEME OF PERIODIC
APRIL SHOWERS WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOL WEATHER FROM CYCLONIC
NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW AROUND A CLOSED UPPER LOW TO OUR NORTH AND
EAST.
MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT THE LOW WILL INITIALLY BE OVER NORTHERN
MAINE FRIDAY NIGHT AND IT GRADUALLY FILLS AND MOVES SLOWLY EAST
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY THE END OF THE PERIOD ON TUESDAY
WHICH WILL LESSEN THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS THE DAYS GO ON. STILL A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ON THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS BY
DAY WITH FREEZING LEVELS LOWERING OVERNIGHT POSSIBLY REACHING THE
VALLEY LOCATIONS WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY MORNING
HOURS.
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LOCATION OF THE
UPPER LOW THROUGH SUNDAY THEN DIVERGE ON THE PLACEMENT MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. ECWMF A BIT OF AN OUTLIER COMPARED TO THE GFS, GEFS,
NAEFS, UK, AND CANADIAN MODELS WHICH ARE A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE
VS THE ECMWF WHICH ACTUALLY SHOWS THE LOW RETROGRADING BACK OVER
NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
DAYTIME MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S
THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S
WITH A SLIGHT UPWARD TREND NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...VFR THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH PERIODS
OF MVFR POSSIBLE AT RUT/MPV THIS AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN VFR CLOUDS AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TODAY. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL BRING A MORE ORGANIZED PERIOD OF RAIN AND SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY EASTWARD
AND ESPECIALLY MPV/RUT. CONDITIONS MAINLY VFR...EXCEPT MVFR
DEVELOPING AT RUT/MPV AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR ALSO POSSIBLE IN
ANY SCATTERED HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS. WINDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST LESS
THAN 7 KNOTS BECOMING 10 KNOTS WITH GUSTS 15-20 KNOTS DURING THE
DAY TODAY.
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PERSISTENT MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS WITH VFR CEILINGS AS UPPER LOW REMAINS IN PLACE.
PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL RESULT IN INTERMITTENT MVFR
CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES. ON THURSDAY SOME SNOW POSSIBLY WILL MIX IN
WITH RAIN SHOWERS AT MPV/SLK...AND A MIX OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
POSSIBLE AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS DURING THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
NIGHT. OTHERWISE MOSTLY RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 0.50" ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN VT
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. SOME MODEST
RIVER RISES CAN BE EXPECTED LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. SINCE THE
BARTON RIVER AT COVENTRY HAD AN OBSERVED STAGE OF 7.6' AT 07Z THIS
MORNING...ANTICIPATE THAT ONE FORECAST POINT WILL LIKELY REACH
MINOR FLOOD STAGE (BETWEEN 8-9') SOMETIME TONIGHT.
ELSEWHERE...RIVER RISES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WITHIN BANKFULL.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS
NEAR TERM...BANACOS
SHORT TERM...BANACOS
LONG TERM...SISSON
AVIATION...MUCCILLI/SISSON
HYDROLOGY...TEAM BTV

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