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Expires:201506102000;;921617
FPUS51 KBTV 101032
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
629 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015


VTZ006-102000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
629 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...SHOWERS WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
THEN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. 

$$


Expires:201506101100;;921695
ASUS41 KBTV 101030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-101100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    60  56  86 S6        29.77R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    54  53  97 SE3       29.82R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    59  56  89 CALM      29.78R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  54  89 MISG      29.75R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    56  53  89 CALM      29.79R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      57  57 100 CALM      29.80R                  
RUTLAND*       PTSUNNY   57  52  82 E5        29.82R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTSUNNY   57  55  93 W5        29.81R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    58  57  97 CALM      29.76R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    57  55  95 CALM      29.77R                  
BENNINGTON     MOSUNNY   54  52  93 CALM      29.84R FOG              
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     48 N/A N/A NW25G38     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  57  88 S8          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     59  57  94 S10         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  57 100 SW2         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;921647
FXUS61 KBTV 101033
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
633 AM EDT WED JUN 10 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER WILL START THE DAY TODAY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...BUT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE IN THE DAY ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THEN ACROSS VERMONT TONIGHT. EXPECT A LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK LATE IN THE DAY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. THIS LINE WILL
WEAKEN A BIT AS IT MOVES ACROSS VERMONT TONIGHT WITH LIGHTNING AND
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS BEING THE MAIN THREAT. DRY WEATHER RETURNS
FOR THURSDAY WITH MAYBE JUST A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE CANADIAN
BORDER IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY AND THURSDAY WILL
BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 633 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...OVERALL FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE WITH
JUST SOME MINOR CHANGES TO SKY AND TEMPERATURE GRIDS THIS MORNING
TO MATCH CURRENT CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OUT OF
ONTARIO PROVINCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY AND PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL BECOME FAVORABLE OVER THE TOP OF THIS AREA AND THUS WE FEEL
STORMS THAT FORM WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL. WITH
SLIGHTLY DRIER LOW LEVELS...FORECAST SOUNDINGS WOULD INDICATE A
MORE FAVORABLE SITUATION FOR STRONG DOWNDRAFTS WITH THE STORMS.
FEEL THE STORMS WILL NOT GET GOING UNTIL AFTER 500 PM OVER THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND NOT REACH THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY UNTIL
ABOUT 900 PM. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL NOT BECOME THAT UNSTABLE ACROSS
VERMONT...SO EXPECT A WEAKENING OF STORMS AS THEY MOVE INTO
VERMONT WITH LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE. HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 425 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...STORMS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THEY
MOVE EAST ACROSS VERMONT...BUT AGAIN WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR
FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
DEVELOPS BEHIND DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS EASTERN
CANADA AND THIS SHOULD BRING DRIER AIR IN FOR THURSDAY. THERE MAY
BE A FEW SHOWERS NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER IN THE AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE
LOOKING AT HIGHS IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO THE FIRST PART OF FRIDAY AS THE UPPER FLOW
GRADUALLY BACKS TO THE WEST AND ALLOWS ANOTHER TROUGH TO MOVE
TODAY THE AREA LATE IN THE DAY. THUS THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR
MORE CONVECTION LATE IN THE DAY WITH HIGHS ONCE AGAIN A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 425 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...RELATIVELY ACTIVE PATTERN IS
EXPECTED WITH A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. MORE PRONOUNCED RIDGING DEVELOPS FOR SUNDAY AND DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE RIDGE WILL START TO BREAK DOWN ON MONDAY
AND ALLOW ANOTHER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
AND ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY INTO THE FIRST PART OF TUESDAY. HIGHS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...SHOWERS FINALLY MOVING OUT OF THE AREA AND
CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE. STILL THINK WE COULD SEE SOME
BR DEVELOPMENT DO TO AMPLE MOISTURE FROM RECENT RAINFALL...BUT
DEW POINTS HAVE BEEN PRETTY LOW. SOME IFR/MVFR FOG/LOW STRATUS
MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS CLOUDS DIMINISH. LOW CLOUDS/FOG DISSIPATE
BY MID MORNING WEDNESDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE REST OF THE DAY. LINE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH POSSIBLE
STRONG WINDS IS EXPECTED TO 22-06Z. HAVE MENTIONED VCSH IN THE
TAFS AT THIS POINT UNTIL THE TIMING CAN BE BETTER ASSESSED.

OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

06Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...A WEAK FRONT WILL PRODUCE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHICH MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS
AND BRIEF MVFR/IFR.

12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE. POSSIBLE IFR IN EARLY MORNING FOG EACH DAY AT MPV/SLK.

00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...FRONTAL SYSTEM BRINGS MVFR
CONDITIONS WITH SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.

00Z SUNDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...MAINLY VFR AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 425 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED
AS NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED UNTIL LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT. RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT WHERE HEAVY RAIN FELL
YESTERDAY...BUT NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED OTHER THAN WHAT
IS STILL OCCURRING EARLY THIS MORNING. AND THESE CONDITIONS WILL
BE IMPROVING AS THE MORNING WEARS ON.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...RJS/NEILES
HYDROLOGY...EVENSON

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