Print

Print


Expires:201506192000;;340864
FPUS51 KBTV 190737
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
334 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015


VTZ006-192000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
334 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS MORNING...THEN
SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 

$$


Expires:201506191100;;347931
ASUS41 KBTV 191030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-191100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    65  61  87 NW14      29.88R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    63  60  90 NW12      29.90R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    65  61  87 NW3       29.88R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     63  61  93 MISG      29.83R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    62  61  97 CALM      29.87S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    65  65 100 N5        29.87R FOG              
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    64  59  82 NW3       29.87R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    62  60  93 CALM      29.86R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    56  52  86 N10G16    29.92R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    57  56  95 N16G23    29.89R                  
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  65  63  93 CALM      29.86R FOG              
SUTTON*          N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     54 N/A N/A NW6G24      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  55  82 NW5         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  63  94 N12         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  63  94 N14         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;341192
FXUS61 KBTV 190755
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
355 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
CLEARING SKIES WITH A DRYING TREND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO
THE REGION TODAY. CLEAR AND CHILLY CONDITIONS TONIGHT WILL SEE
MINIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. THE SURFACE HIGH
WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA INTO SATURDAY. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
RETURNS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 331 AM EDT FRIDAY...RAIN SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRE-
FRONTAL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD OUT OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS MORNING. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS LOOK TO DISSIPATE
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE AS THE COLD FRONT FINISHING TRAVERSING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY.

CLOUDS WILL LINGER A BIT LONGER AS THE 500MB VORT CONTINUES TO
AFFECT THE AREA INTO THE LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS
IN THE 40S WILL FILTER INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ON NW FLOW, HELPING
TO ERODE MOISTURE AND CLOUDS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED IN THE
AFTERNOON WITH 850MB TEMPS OF 5C TO 7C RESULTING IN MAX TEMPS IN
THE M60S TO L70S.

GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING EXPECTED TO PICK UP BEHIND THE
FRONT AT 8-15KTS AS PRESSURE GRADIENT STILL LINGERS ACROSS THE
AREA AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 331 AM EDT FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE REGION
TONIGHT, PROVIDING CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES. IDEAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS WHICH WILL RESULT IN 2 THINGS. THE FIRST IS
GREAT CONDITIONS TO SEE VENUS AND JUPITER IN THE NIGHT SKY AFTER
SUNSET. THE SECOND WILL BE CHILLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WITH EVEN
SOME SPOTTY AREAS OF FROST POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF THE ADIRONDACKS. EVEN THOUGH AREAS OVER NORTHERN NY RECEIVED
0.5-0.8" OF RAINFALL LAST NIGHT/THIS MORNING, EXPECT SIGNIFICANTLY
DRIER AIR FILTERING IN TO HINDER ANY FOG DEVELOPMENT.

SATURDAY MORNING THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SLIDE EASTWARD OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST, PUTTING THE NORTH COUNTRY IN SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY
RETURN FLOW. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING MOISTURE AND CLOUDS
LATE IN THE DAY. WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM 10C TO 14C
AND PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE FOR MOST OF THE DAY, EXPECT SURFACE
TEMPERATURES TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S IN THE AFTERNOON.

ZONAL FLOW AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS WILL BRING A WEAK MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL PROVIDE A MILDER NIGHT WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS. DURING
THIS PERIOD, THE REMNANTS OF TS BILL WILL MOVE UP THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY TOWARDS THE MID- ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO TRY TO PHASE THESE 2 FEATURES BUT WITH THERE IS MUCH
DISAGREEMENT ON TRACK/PROGRESSION OF BOTH FEATURES. THE MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE MAY TAP INTO SOME OF THE MOISTURE FROM TS BILL, BUT NOT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF CONVEYOR BELT FROM ONE TO THE OTHER AT LOW
LEVELS OR UPPER LEVELS. MODELS DO BRING PWATS UP TO 1.85 INCHES ON
SUNDAY WHICH COULD CAUSE SOME MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES. DID
INCLUDE SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE FOR SOME CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
EMBEDDED IN WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AS THERE IS SOME LIMITED
INSTABILITY. EXPECT STORM TOTAL QPF AROUND 0.5-0.75" WITH HIGHEST
AMOUNTS BEING ON SOUTHWEST SLOPES AS SOME WIND COMPONENT OF
20-30KTS EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 355 AM EDT FRIDAY...THE WEATHER WILL BE UNSETTLED IN THE
FIRST PART OF THE LONG TERM FORECAST WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL BE OVER CANADA EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND EARLY
SUNDAY NIGHT...SO HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY OR HIGH CHANCE POPS FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 1.5 TO 1.75 INCHES ACROSS THE
REGION...SO SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES DIMINISHING
LATER SUNDAY NIGHT.

SOME WEAK SHORTWAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION IN THE WEST-
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...SO WILL HAVE CHANCE FOR MORE SHOWERS AND
POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

A HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY WILL
BUILD SLOWLY EAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION
THROUGH THURSDAY...SO HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A DRY FORECAST FROM
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAX TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP SHOWING RAIN SHOWERS
ACROSS VERMONT AT 06Z FRIDAY WITH SOME AREAS OF MVFR IN SHOWERS.
EXPECTING RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY TO COME TO AN END ACROSS VERMONT BY
10Z FRIDAY. EXPECTING MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST FROM THE WESTERN GREAT
LAKES TODAY. EXPECTING SKIES TO BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR BY 18Z FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

06Z SAT-00Z SUN...VFR. NO SIG WX.
00Z SUN-12Z MON...MVFR/IFR. SHRA LIKELY. CHANCE TSRA.
12Z MON-00Z WED...VFR. CHANCE MVFR SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...WGH/LAHIFF

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html