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Expires:201506152000;;149932
FPUS51 KBTV 150803
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
359 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015


VTZ006-152000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
359 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
20 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL
AND HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...SMALL
HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. 

$$


Expires:201506151100;;156004
ASUS41 KBTV 151030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-151100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     RAIN      62  59  90 CALM      29.96S FOG              
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  58  56  93 S8        30.05F                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  61  57  87 CALM      30.01F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     56  53  90 MISG      30.02S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   RAIN      56  51  84 SE6       30.05S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    RAIN      62  62 100 CALM      29.97R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    61  55  82 S8        29.99R                  
SPRINGFIELD    RAIN      59  57  93 VRB6      30.05S FOG              
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    60  57  89 S3        29.95S                  
NEWPORT*       LGT RAIN  57  54  88 S6        30.02R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    64  59  83 SE16G26   29.94F                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     52 N/A N/A SE21        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     61  59  94 S7          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     59  59 100 S10         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     57  57 100 S7          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;151755
FXUS61 KBTV 150839
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
439 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
RAIN SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE ENDING
DURING THE MORNING HOURS. CLOUDY AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE THEN
EXPECTED FOR THE DAY. ON TUESDAY A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND THEN
CROSSES OUR FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT...SOME SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECASTED. REGION WILL REMAIN IN AN ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...WITH A COUPLE MORE
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS LATER THIS WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT MONDAY...SHOWERS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS OUR
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...MODERATE IN SOME SPOTS. THIS RAIN WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA AND END LATER THIS
MORNING. A COOL AND CLOUDY DAY IS THEN EXPECTED AS SOME DRIER AIR
WORKS INTO THE REGION. DO NOT FEEL THERE IS MUCH CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS AS ATMOSPHERE IS PRETTY STABLE. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES
WHERE IT WILL TAKE THE LONGEST FOR PRECIPITATION TO END AND TO SEE
ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS...TO THE UPPER 70S IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY WHERE THESE THINGS WILL HAPPEN FIRST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 400 AM EDT MONDAY...QUIET WEATHER TONIGHT AHEAD OF NEXT
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH BRINGS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT MIN
TEMPS WILL REMAIN MILD WITH CLOUDS IN THE AREA. ON TUESDAY WILL
SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS EARLY WHICH HELPS TO DESTABILIZE THE
ENVIRONMENT A BIT. HIGH TEMPS WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER
70S...NEAR 80 IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
OUR NORTHERN ZONES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HAVE INDICATED
GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL AT THIS TIME WITH SOME MARGINAL
INSTABILITY INDICATED BY NUMERICAL MODELS. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE WILL PASS NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MODELS INDICATE STRONG 0-6 KM SHEAR
IN THE LOWER LEVELS...SOME MODEST CAPE...AND AS WELL AS SOME LIFT
WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS DUE TO THE LOW
LEVEL SHEAR. THE MORE CLEARING THAT WE HAVE EARLY IN THE DAY...THE
BETTER POTENTIAL FOR STRONG STORMS. QUIETER WEATHER WILL THEN
FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 342 AM EDT MONDAY...LITTLE PATTERN CHANGE EVIDENT AS WE
PROGRESS FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH NORTHERN NY/NEW
ENGLAND REMAINING EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ZONAL WESTERLIES. THIS WILL
ALLOW WEAK NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH PASSAGES TO OCCUR EVERY 2 TO 3
DAYS THAT WILL FOSTER ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES BUT KEEP EXCESSIVE
HEAT WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND WEST. FORECAST TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WITHIN 3 DEGREES OF LATE SPRING SEASONAL NORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD,
SHOWING HIGHS IN THE 70S TO AROUND 80 AND LOWS IN THE 50S TO
AROUND 60 WITH CUSTOMARY VARIABILITY. THE BEST SHOT OF SHOWERS
AND/OR THUNDER WILL OCCUR ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A
WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE, AND THEN AGAIN BY NEXT WEEKEND WITH
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AND ENERGY STREAMING EAST FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES. THIS MORNING'S GLOBAL SOLUTIONS ARE SUFFERING
TO SOME EXTENT FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK IN THE LARGE-SCALE MASS
FIELDS OF THIS LATTER SYSTEM. THUS QPF/POP/TEMP FORECASTS HAVE
SLIGHTLY LOWER CONFIDENCE AS WE PROGRESS FROM SATURDAY ONWARD INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...MIX OF VFR/MVFR TODAY WITH PATCHY LIGHT
RAIN THROUGH 12-14Z TIME FRAME, ENDING THEREAFTER. BLOCKED FLOW
AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP BKN/OVC SKIES ACROSS
THE AREA AFTER 12Z WITH SOME LINGERING PATCHY MVFR POSSIBLE
DESPITE -RA ENDING. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT, THOUGH OCCASIONALLY
GUSTY FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT KPBG AND AT KBTV/KRUT/KMPV.

OUTLOOK 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

06Z TUESDAY-00Z WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH AREAS OF MVFR RAIN SHOWERS,
ESPECIALLY KRUT.

00Z TUESDAY THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...VFR/HIGH PRESSURE. PATCHY
MVFR/IFR IN BR/FG POSSIBLE AT KRUT/KSLK/KMPV.

12Z TUESDAY THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY...VFR WITH SCT MVFR/BRIEF IFR
IN RAIN SHOWERS/ISOLD THUNDER WITH WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE.

06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS UNDER
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. PATCHY MVFR/IFR IN BR/FG, HIGHEST
CONFIDENCE AT KMPV/KSLK.

12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...MVFR/SCATTERED IFR IN
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.

12Z FRIDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...VFR AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/MV

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