Expires:201511092100;;093129 FPUS51 KBTV 091143 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 639 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 VTZ006-092100- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 639 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 .TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. .THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. .FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT. $$ Expires:201511091200;;092626 ASUS41 KBTV 091130 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST MON NOV 09 2015 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-091200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLEAR 32 26 78 CALM 30.38R MONTPELIER CLEAR 27 24 89 CALM 30.39 MORRISVILLE CLEAR 27 22 81 CALM 30.38R ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 24 20 84 MISG 30.37S LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 23 22 95 CALM 30.37S MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 37 32 82 SE5 30.38S SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 26 24 92 CALM 30.40S HIGHGATE* FAIR 38 32 78 S6 30.36R NEWPORT* FAIR 35 29 79 S3 30.35R BENNINGTON CLEAR 27 24 89 CALM 30.39F SUTTON* N/A 27 N/A N/A MISG N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A 23 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 28 N/A N/A W32 N/A WCI 12 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLCHESTER RF* N/A 43 37 81 S18 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 39 36 87 S6 N/A $$ Expires:No;;093107 FXUS61 KBTV 091140 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 640 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015 .SYNOPSIS... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT...RESULTING IN DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A COASTAL LOW WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 640 AM EST MONDAY...LOW CLOUDS ALONG WESTERN SLOPES OF ADIRONDACKS WILL DISSIPATE THIS MORNING, WITH ONLY FEW OROGRAPHIC CLOUDS THROUGHOUT TODAY. OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS PREVAIL ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S TO WARM QUICKLY THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND RIDGING ALOFT TODAY WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW AND TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 40S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 50S IN THE VALLEYS. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 335 AM EST MONDAY...RIDGING ALOFT CRESTS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY EARLY TONIGHT RESULTING IN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM WINDS FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 30S. CLOUDS BEING TO PUSH NORTH INTO THE REGION TUESDAY MORNING, AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH. SURFACE RIDGE WILL LIFT NORTH AND EAST TUESDAY. MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PLAY A ROLE IN HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION AFFECTS THE NORTH COUNTRY AS IT INTERACTS WITH CLOSED SURFACE LOW THAT DEVELOPS OFF THE DELMARVA COAST BY MIDDAY TUESDAY. MODELS DIFFER ON TRACK OF COASTAL LOW, WHILE THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS ACROSS NEW YORK. THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH REGARDS TO THIS SYSTEM. AS OF RIGHT NOW, GFS AND ECMWF ARE LACKING IN 850MB QG FRONTOGENETIC COUPLET UNTIL SURFACE LOW HAS MOVED OUTSIDE THE BENCHMARK WHICH COMBINED WITH QUICKLY WEAKENING MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE WITH PWATS LESS THAN ONE INCH WOULD RESULT IN MINOR LIGHT RAIN AT BEST. THEREFORE KEPT RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...GENERALLY BE A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR LESS. WEDNESDAY WILL SEE SLIGHT RIDGING BUILD INTO THE REGION WITH CLOUDS SLOW TO EXIT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY, WITH MAXES IN THE M40S TO UPPER 50S. WITH CLOUDS AND POTENTIAL RAIN EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT, MIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 30S TO AROUND 40. WEDNESDAY MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN TUESDAY, REACHING THE 40S TO MID 50S. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 341 AM EST MONDAY...SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXITS WEDNESDAY EVENING AND WILL GIVE WAY TO A PERIOD OF RIDGING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE RESULT WILL BE DRY CONDITIONS WITH SOME CLEARING. A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THURSDAY THEN LIFT FURTHER NORTH INTO ONTARIO AND WESTERN QUEBEC. THERE ARE INDICATIONS HOWEVER THAT A SECOND LOW MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY AND THEN TRACK UP INTO THE GULF OF MAINE. EXPECT RAIN TO OVERSPREAD MUCH OF FORECAST AREA BY MIDDAY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HAVE CONTINUED WITH LIKELY POPS FOR RAIN FOR BOTH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES TOP OUT AROUND AN INCH LATER THURSDAY...DURING PERIOD OF BEST FORCING AND ISENTROPIC LIFT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ARE EXPECTED. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS CLOSED UPPER LOW MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. AS TEMPERATURES COOL...THE CHANCES FOR SOME SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE. CHANCE OF SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUES ON SATURDAY AS WE REMAIN UNDER INFLUENCE OF UPPER LOW...WHICH WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY SLOWLY EASTWARD. TROUGH MOVES FAR ENOUGH TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY TO ALLOW FOR MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A BIT LOWER DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH HIGHS AROUND 50 THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THEN 40S NEXT WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S EARLY...THEN FALL TO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL PREVENT THEM FROM DROPPING MUCH LOWER. && .AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...SOME LOW CLOUDS AT SLK TILL ABOUT 14Z WITH OCNL MVFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WITH CLEAR SKIES THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY BUILDS NORTHEAST INTO VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS TODAY THEN DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. OUTLOOK 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... 12Z TUESDAY-00Z WEDNESDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. 00Z WEDNESDAY-00Z THURSDAY...AREAS OF MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS. 00Z THURSDAY-12Z THURSDAY...VFR. 12Z THURSDAY-00Z SATURDAY...AREAS OF MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS. && .EQUIPMENT... RUTLAND OBSERVATIONS FROM THE AWOS SYSTEM ARE STILL UNAVAILABLE. FAA TECHNICIANS ARE AWARE OF THE PROBLEM. WE DO NOT HAVE ANY ESTIMATE ON WHEN DATA WILL BECOME AVAILABLE. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KGM NEAR TERM...KGM SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...RJS AVIATION...RJS EQUIPMENT...BTV STAFF - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html