Expires:201511082100;;044861 FPUS51 KBTV 081008 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 504 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 VTZ006-082100- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 504 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TUESDAY NIGHT AND VETERANS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. .THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. $$ Expires:201511081200;;047365 ASUS41 KBTV 081130 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST SUN NOV 08 2015 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-081200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLOUDY 43 27 53 W8 30.22R MONTPELIER CLOUDY 37 26 64 NW8 30.20R WCI 31 MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 39 27 62 NW9G18 30.20R ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 33 28 81 MISG 30.15R LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 33 26 73 W12G24 30.16R WCI 25 MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 38 33 82 CALM 30.22R SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 38 31 76 NW3 30.19R HIGHGATE* FAIR 34 26 72 CALM 30.23R NEWPORT* FAIR 32 25 76 NW7 30.18R WCI 26 BENNINGTON CLEAR 37 33 85 SW3 30.22R SUTTON* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 30 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 25 N/A N/A W33 N/A WCI 7 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLCHESTER RF* N/A 41 32 70 W10 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 45 32 61 W6 N/A $$ Expires:No;;047665 FXUS61 KBTV 081137 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 637 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015 .SYNOPSIS... COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER TODAY WILL RESULT FROM SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION. ON MONDAY...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST...BRINGING RETURN FLOW TO THE NORTH COUNTRY AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. EXPECT DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY TUESDAY WHEN A COASTAL LOW BRINGS A CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE ON THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE REGION. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 510 AM EST SUNDAY...CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL SPREAD EASTWARD, PROVIDING A PERIOD OF MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES THIS MORNING. EXPECT DRIER AIR UPSTREAM TO HELP ERODE SOME OF THESE CLOUDS DURING THE DAY, BUT NW FLOW WILL KEEP CLOUDS AROUND THE TERRAIN. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO FILTER IN COOLER AIR WITH 925MB TEMPERATURES AROUND 1C IN PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TOP OUT IN THE 40S. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHERN OHIO VALLEY, EASTWARD OVER PENNSYLVANIA BY THE END OF THE DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT 5-15 KTS AND TRANQUIL WEATHER TODAY. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/... AS OF 318 AM EST SUNDAY...AFTER SUNSET, AS THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CRESTS OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES OVERNIGHT, CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP MONDAY MORNING AS SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES TO SLIDE EASTWARD AND RIDGING ALOFT OCCURS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. CLEAR SKIES AND 925MB TEMPERATURES WARMING TO 4C TO 7C WITH SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 5-12KTS WILL RESULT IN MAX TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO ABOVE NORMAL, RANGING FROM THE 40S TO MID 50S. A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UP TO OHIO RIVER VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE REFLECTED AT THE SURFACE AS A GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING COASTAL LOW NEAR THE DELMARVA REGION. AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHWARD, CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON TUESDAY. LOW PRESSURE CENTER LOOKS TO TRACK NEAR THE BENCH MARK, THEREFORE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA COULD SEE SHOWERS MOVE IN THE LATTER HALF OF TUESDAY. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... AS OF 336 AM EST SUNDAY...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM 24 HOURS AGO IS THAT THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS NOW BRING MOISTURE FROM A LOW PRESSURE AREA OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND MOVE IT INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THUS...HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. IT LOOKS LIKE THE REGION WILL SEE A BRIEF BREAK WEDNESDAY NIGHT OF DRY WEATHER...BEFORE MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT MOVES INTO THE REGION ON THURSDAY. ECMWF AND GFS MODELS SHOWING SOME DIFFERENCES ON FRIDAY WITH THE GFS MODEL MAINLY DRIER ON FRIDAY...WHILE THE ECMWF MODEL HAS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HAVE STAYED WITH SUPER-BLEND POPS FOR FRIDAY AND WILL CARRY A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER LOW OVER CANADA NORTH OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE A THREAT OF SHOWERS FOR SATURDAY AS WELL. THUS...MOST OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS UNSETTLED WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EVERY DAY EXCEPT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. && .AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AT 11Z SUNDAY BUILDS NORTHEAST INTO VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK. SOME WEST TO NORTHWEST SURFACE WIND GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE FROM 14Z-21Z SUNDAY. EXPECTING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION FROM 21Z SUNDAY THROUGH 12Z MONDAY. OUTLOOK 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... 12Z MONDAY-00Z WEDNESDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. 00Z WEDNESDAY-00Z THURSDAY...AREAS OF MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS. 00Z THURSDAY-12Z THURSDAY...VFR. 12Z THURSDAY-00Z FRIDAY...AREAS OF MVFR IN RAIN SHOWERS. && .EQUIPMENT... RUTLAND OBSERVATIONS FROM THE AWOS SYSTEM ARE STILL UNAVAILABLE. FAA TECHNICIANS ARE AWARE OF THE PROBLEM. WE DO NOT HAVE ANY ESTIMATE ON WHEN DATA WILL BECOME AVAILABLE. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KGM NEAR TERM...KGM SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...WGH AVIATION...WGH/LOCONTO EQUIPMENT...BTV STAFF - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html