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Expires:201511222100;;710454
FPUS51 KBTV 221046
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
543 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2015


VTZ006-222100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
543 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2015

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH...BECOMING WEST THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 18. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 

$$


Expires:201511221200;;711807
ASUS41 KBTV 221130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2015

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-221200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  46  35  65 S17G28    29.75F                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    37  30  75 S12       29.84F WCI  29          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    40  31  70 S6        29.81S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     37  29  72 MISG      29.82F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    36  30  79 SE7       29.82F WCI  30          
MIDDLEBURY*    DRIZZLE   45  39  80 S9        29.79S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    41  34  75 SE13G21   29.81S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    34  32  92 CALM      29.89F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      44  35  68 S12G23    29.72S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      36  30  79 S14G20    29.78F WCI  27          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    47  40  76 SE8G18    29.82S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     32 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     36 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     32 N/A N/A S44G69      N/A  WCI  15          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     45  37  76 S30         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     43  37  81 S14         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;711799
FXUS61 KBTV 221129
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
629 AM EST SUN NOV 22 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION TODAY...LEAVING BREEZY
CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. ANY SCATTERED RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION
SNOW SHOWERS WILL COME TO AN END THIS MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO THE REGION WITH FAIR AND DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
CHILLY TO START...BUT WILL MODERATE SIGNIFICANTLY BY THANKSGIVING
DAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 557 AM EST SUNDAY...LOW PRESSURE CENTER CURRENTLY OVER
PETAWAWA ONTARIO WILL CONTINUE ITS TREK NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY
FROM THE REGION THROUGH TODAY. ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
NOW CROSSING THE ADIRONDACKS AS OF 6AM WILL PUSH EASTWARD AND
THROUGH THE REGION BY LATE MORNING...EXITING THE AREA BY THE
AFTERNOON. A NICELY DEFINED BUT NARROW BAND OF RAIN AND HIGHER
ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS HAS FORMED ALONG THE FRONT AND WILL BRING A
BRIEF BURST OF PRECIP AS IT MOVES EASTWARD...GRADUALLY WEAKENING
AS IT MOVES INTO AND ACROSS VERMONT. STRONG SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY LOW
LEVEL JET HAS OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS MORNING (50-60 KNOTS AT
850 MB)...AND SOME OF THAT IS MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE WITH
SOUTH WINDS 25-35 MPH IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND UP TO 45 MPH OVER
LAKE CHAMPLAIN WITH INCREASED MIXING OVER THE WARMER WATER.

BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS HAVE TURNED SOUTHWESTERLY AND WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION...MIXING HAS AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE. THIS
WILL LEAD TO A BREEZY DAY FOR MOST...BUT ESPECIALLY IN THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WESTERN ADIRONDACKS WHERE PEAK GUSTS REACH
35-45 MPH BETWEEN NOW AND LATE MORNING. HAVE ALREADY SEEN SOME
GUSTS REACH AROUND 40 MPH AT OGDENSBURG/POTSDAM. ACROSS THE REST
OF VERMONT AWAY FROM THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...PEAK WINDS GENERALLY
20 MPH OR LESS. WITH THE SOUTHWEST WINDS AND COLD AIR
ADVECTION...WILL SEE A LAKE EFFECT BAND DEVELOP AND BRIEFLY AFFECT
PARTS OF SOUTHERN SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY FROM 12-18Z...BEFORE
SHIFTING SOUTHWARD AND OUT OF THE REGION.

MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO START WILL GIVE WAY TO GRADUALLY INCREASING
SUNSHINE DURING THE DAY. TEMPERATURES ALREADY STARTING MILD...BUT
COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL LIMIT HOW FAR WE CAN RISE...SO LOOKING AT
A LOT OF MID/UPPER 40S...EXCEPT NEAR 40F IN THE ADIRONDACKS. HIGHS
HAVE LIKELY ALREADY BEEN REACHED IN PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

FOR TONIGHT...RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...WITH
FLOW TURNING NORTHWEST. THUS SHOULD BE LOOKING AT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS EASTERN
VERMONT WITH WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RIDING NE-WARD OFFSHORE OF NEW
ENGLAND. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THIS CLOUD COVER
AND WHETHER OR NOT WE CAN DECOUPLE...SO WILL SHOW COLDEST
TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WHERE GREATEST CLEARING AND
LIGHTEST WINDS SHOULD BE. LOWS GENERALLY 15-25F...EXCEPT SOME
SINGLE DIGITS POSSIBLE IN THE COLDEST LOCATIONS OF THE
ADIRONDACKS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 253 AM EST SUNDAY...UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
ON MONDAY WITH DEVELOPING WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. COLDER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL LEAD TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE 30S. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH SO MONDAY SHOULD GENERALLY BE DRY. WHEN THE
TRANSITION TO WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TAKES PLACE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY...MOISTURE FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND
PERHAPS A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL NOT BE AS COLD ON TUESDAY AND THIS WILL
LEAD TO A SLOW WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 253 AM EST SUNDAY...A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND ITS
ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM STRENGTHEN OVER THE AREA.
STANDARDIZED ANOMALIES FROM ENSEMBLE DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THESE FEATURES ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES ALOFT ARE STRONGER THAN
NORMAL...WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO INCREASINGLY WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S ON WEDNESDAY...BUT MID 40S TO LOWER 50S ON THANKSGIVING AND
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S ON FRIDAY. EVENTUALLY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY FOR INCREASED CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION...BUT CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE UPPER 30 TO
UPPER 40 RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR A PERIOD OF MVFR THIS MORNING.
SEEING MOSTLY MID/HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION...BUT INTERVALS OF
LOWER CEILINGS ARE LIKELY THROUGH 16Z AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE
REGION. THIS MAY BRING MVFR CONDITIONS TO MPV/RUT/SLK/MSS. ALSO
SEEING SOME SHOWERS CROSS THE REGION...AND THESE WILL COME TO AN
END BY 16Z. IN ADDITION...SOUTH WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO
ABOUT 25 KNOTS...MAINLY BTV/PBG. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS TURN TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN GUSTY...ESPECIALLY AT MSS/SLK WHERE SOME
GUSTS 25-35 KNOTS ARE LIKELY THROUGH 18Z. CLOUDS SCATTER AND
WINDS GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWEST AND AND LESSEN LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

OUTLOOK 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... 
12Z MON - 00Z FRI...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.MARINE...
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING. SOUTH
WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID
MORNING...BEFORE SHIFTING SOUTHWESTERLY AND DECREASING TO 10 TO 20
KNOTS BY THIS AFTERNOON. WAVES FROM 3 TO 5 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED
THIS MORNING. STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST WAVES WILL BE ACROSS THE
BROAD LAKE AND ALONG SOUTHERN FACING SHORELINES.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...MUCCILLI
NEAR TERM...MUCCILLI
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...MUCCILLI
MARINE...MUCCILLI

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