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Expires:201605092000;;693605
FPUS51 KBTV 091024
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
622 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2016


VTZ006-092000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
622 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2016

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...
BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. 

$$


Expires:201605091100;;693697
ASUS41 KBTV 091030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON MAY 09 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-091100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    38  25  59 W7        29.93R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    34  25  69 NW8       29.92R WCI  27          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    34  22  61 VRB5      29.92R WCI  30          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     35  24  64 MISG      29.87R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    32  26  77 W6        29.89R WCI  26          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    38  26  61 N9        29.94R WCI  31          
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    36  32  85 NW3       29.93R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    38  32  79 NW7       29.90R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      34  25  71 W6        29.94R WCI  29          
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    32  22  68 W12G20    29.89R WCI  23          
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    45  36  70 W7        29.90R                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     21 N/A N/A NW35        N/A  WCI   2          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  30  70 NW9         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  28  65 N10         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;687178
FXUS61 KBTV 090759
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
359 AM EDT MON MAY 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE
TO PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH VARIABLE CLOUDINESS, BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND SOME ISOLATED MOUNTAIN RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR TONIGHT, WITH
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS LEADING TO VERY UNSEASONABLE LOWS AND
AREAS OF FROST AS TEMPERATURES DROP TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING.
AFTER TONIGHT, DRY WEATHER PERSISTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING TO NEAR AND ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS. OUR
NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ARRIVES ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 334 AM EDT MONDAY...SPRING IN THE NORTH COUNTRY, LOVE IT OR
HATE IT, IT DEFINITELY KEEPS YOU ON YOUR TOES WEATHER-WISE. THE
LAST 24 HOURS HAVE BEEN QUITE CHANGEABLE AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
SHIFTED THROUGH THE REGION PROVIDING A GOOD SLUG OF PRECIPITATION,
GUSTY WINDS, AND NOW UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH
SOME SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND EVEN
AT BTV! YUP, IT FLURRIED AT BTV EARLY THIS MORNING, NOT CAPTURED
ON THE OB BUT WE SAW IT ON OUR ROOF CAM. WE'LL HAVE ANOTHER
UNSETTLED DAY ON TAP TODAY UNFORTUNATELY AS DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE CONTINUES TO PROVIDE A
CHILLY WEST/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WITH SOME WEAK SHORTWAVE ENERGY
DROPPING INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON POSSIBLY SPARKING A FEW
ISOLATED VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS. OVERALL,
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE LARGELY DRY UNDER PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES, BUT IT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE BLUSTERY AS STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES DEVELOP CONTRIBUTING TO GUSTY WINDS ON ORDER OF 25-35 MPH.
MEAN 925MB TEMPS OF ONLY +3-6C THIS AFTERNOON WILL SUPPORT HIGHS
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY IN THE MID/UPPER 40S MOUNTAINS TO LOW/MID 50S
VALLEYS.

FOR TONIGHT, THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY BEGINS TO SHIFT OFFSHORE AND
WHILE THE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS CYCLONIC OVER THE BTV CWA, SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD FROM JAMES BAY ALLOWING WINDS TO
ABATE AND SKIES TO CLEAR. THIS WILL CREATE IDEAL CONDITIONS FOR
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND WITH 925MB TEMPS FALLING BACK TOWARDS 0C
IT'LL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD FOR MAY STANDARDS. TO PUT HOW COLD IT
WILL BE IN PERSPECTIVE, AREA RECORD LOWS FOR TUESDAY MORNING ARE
IN THE MID 20S, AND MY FORECAST LOWS ARE ONLY A HANDFUL DEGREES
ABOVE THAT RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND
EASTERN VERMONT, TO THE LOW/MID 30S IN THE DEEPER CHAMPLAIN AND
ST. LAWRENCE VALLEYS. GROWING SEASON FOR THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
BEGAN ON MAY 1ST, AND WITH TEMPS HOVERING JUST ABOVE FREEZING
WE'VE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT UNTIL
8AM. IF YOU HAVE ANY SENSITIVE PLANTS OR VEGETATION OUTSIDE,
YOU'LL NEED TO TAKE THE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 359 AM EDT MONDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
EXPECTED. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 60S AND
THEN CLIMBING TO THE UPPER 60S ON WEDNESDAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 359 AM EDT MONDAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO REMAIN OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...WITH MAINLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED. HIGHS ON THURSDAY
WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S.

ECMWF AND GFS MODELS SHOWING TIMING DIFFERENCES LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GFS MODEL IS MORE PROGRESSIVE THEN THE ECMWF
MODELS AND BRINGS A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK
AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON FRIDAY. THE ECMWF
IS SLOWER WITH THIS APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND HAS AN UPPER RIDGE
OVER NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS KEEPS ANY RAIN SHOWER
ACTIVITY CONFINED TO WESTERN NEW YORK STATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
KEEPS THE NORTH COUNTRY DRY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF MODEL IS
ALSO SLOWER IN BRINGING RAIN SHOWERS TO THE REGION ON FRIDAY AS
WELL. HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH THE SUPER-BLEND POPS FOR LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVER
NORTHERN NEW YORK LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS
ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...GIVEN MODEL TIMING DIFFERENCES.  

MODELS SHOWING AN UPPER TROUGH WILL SET UP OVER THE REGION ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SO HAVE FOLLOWED THE SUPER-BLEND POPS AND
WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. 

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THROUGH 06Z
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD OUTSIDE OF A FEW
IFR/MVFR SNOW SHOWERS AT KSLK OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. BKN-
OVC MID DECK ACROSS THE REGION WILL TREND TOWARDS SCT-BKN BY
SUNRISE AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING
TO SKC AFTER 00Z. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
MID-DAY HOURS, MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH AREAL
COVERAGE TOO LITTLE TO EVEN MENTION VCSH IN THE TAFS. WINDS WILL
BE THE BIGGEST AVIATION CONCERN TODAY BEING <10KTS OVERNIGHT, BUT
WILL QUICKLY STRENGTHEN TO GUSTS OF 20-30KTS BY MID-MORNING FROM
THE WEST/NORTHWEST. WINDS ABATE AFTER 00Z, RETURNING TO LIGHT AS
SKIES TREND SKC.

OUTLOOK 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
06Z TUE - 00Z FRI: VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
00Z FRI - 00Z SAT: VFR TRENDING TO MVFR IN SHOWERS ALONG A COLD
FRONT PASSAGE. GUSTY SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LLWS POSSIBLE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR VTZ002-005-
     009.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR NYZ028-035.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...LAHIFF

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