Expires:201606012000;;799408 FPUS51 KBTV 010721 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 319 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016 VTZ006-012000- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 319 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. $$ Expires:201606011100;;806743 ASUS41 KBTV 011030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT WED JUN 01 2016 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-011100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON FAIR 60 50 69 NW6 30.12R MONTPELIER FAIR 53 50 89 CALM 30.16R MORRISVILLE FAIR 55 52 89 CALM 30.14R ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 55 51 86 MISG 30.10R LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 57 53 85 NW3 30.14R RUTLAND* FAIR 51 49 92 SE5 30.13R SPRINGFIELD FAIR 51 48 89 CALM 30.12R HIGHGATE* FAIR 57 49 74 N7 30.14R NEWPORT* FAIR 56 51 82 N8 30.15R BENNINGTON FAIR 49 46 90 CALM 30.09R SUTTON* N/A 57 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 54 N/A N/A N7 N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 61 52 72 N2 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 61 52 72 N16 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 61 52 72 NW15 N/A $$ Expires:No;;800279 FXUS61 KBTV 010747 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 347 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will provide fair and seasonably mild temperatures into Thursday afternoon. A weak cold front will cross the area later Thursday into the first half of Friday with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. High pressure and mainly dry weather then return for Saturday before a trend toward cooler, more unsettled weather arrives from Sunday onward into the early portions of next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...Another quiet 24 hours on tap for the forecast area as deep layer ridging builds southward from southern Canada. Blocked low-level northerly flow has fostered some pesky stratocumulus early this morning from the Adirondacks east into much of northern VT, but as background flow weakens and the boundary layer deepens after sunrise expect this to dissipate leaving a largely sunny day with just some passing thin high clouds. High temperatures a blend of persistence and bias- corrected MOS output offering values ranging from the mid 70s to around 80 under tolerable humidity levels. Then more of the same by tonight as high pressure remains atop the region and edges eastward over time. Mainly clear to partly cloudy skies continue as winds trend generally light south to southeasterly, though somewhat higher along the western slopes of the Greens and especially over Lake Champlain where low-level jet development will push gusts in excess of 20 kts after midnight (see marine section below). Low temperatures mainly ranging through the 50s to locally near 60F in the Champlain and St Lawrence Valleys. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 347 AM EDT Wednesday...Upper level shortwave approaches from central Ontario with associated surface low skimming lower James Bay on Thursday. This surface low will be dragging a cold front across eastern North America, bring a chance of showers and thunderstorms to northern New York, mainly during the afternoon and evening. Ahead of this front, southerly flow with possible development of low level jet will result in warm temperatures and breezy conditions. Max temperatures expected to reach mid 70s to low 80s for the Champlain valley and areas west. Green mountains and areas east will be slightly cooler in more a southeasterly flow. Cold front will move across the North Country Thursday night into Friday morning, helping to limit available instability and thunderstorm potential. PWATS peak to 1-1.5 inches Thursday afternoon but begin to decrease heading into early Friday morning. Clouds and lingering showers expected over the high terrain and areas east of the Champlain Valley, as models show weak vort max moving across the North Country on Friday. PWATS will settle to near average or less during the day, indicative of the drying trend. Temperatures continue to be above normal with mins in the 50s and Friday maxes reaching the 70s with warmest daytime temps in the St Lawrence Valley where best chance of clearing skies will be. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 347 AM EDT Wednesday...Generally drying Friday night, but clouds remaining as upper trough affects the region with surface ridging beginning to build in. Above normal temperatures continue through the weekend with drier conditions for Saturday. Ridging lines up at the surface and aloft Saturday into early Sunday morning. This will be replaced by an upper longwave trough that will bring an extended period of showers. Models continue to differ on details but agree on the trough and associated surface low becoming cut-off. Therefore the low looks to be slow to move out of the region, keeping chances for periods of rain at least Sunday night through the rest of the long term. Temperatures will trend cooler throughout the period, with slightly below normal temperatures expected for the new work week. && .AVIATION /08Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/... Through 06z Thursday...VFR through the forecast period. Have removed all mention of potential br/fg at KSLK/KMPV terminals through 12Z given cloud cover and persistent winds to 15 kts just off the deck keeping near-surface RH levels lower than earlier indications. SCT/BKN VFR cigs in the 040-070 AGL range to affect northern terminals through 12Z, then trending SKC with passing SCT high clouds above 200 AGL thereafter. No precipitation is expected. Winds light north to northwesterly 5 to 10 kts through 12Z, then trending variable less than 10 kts thereafter at most terminals with flow being heavily governed by lake breezes and/or terrain-driven influences. Outlook 06z Thursday through Sunday... 06Z Thursday through 00Z Friday...VFR/high pressure. 00Z Friday through 00Z Saturday...VFR with scattered showers/isolated thunder and brief MVFR visibilities with passing frontal boundary. 00Z Saturday onward...VFR/high pressure. && .MARINE... As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...Southerly low level jet development expected later tonight into Thursday as high pressure edges east and a tightening pressure gradient develops ahead of approaching weak front. Southerly winds expected to increase into the 10 to 20 knot range later this evening and especially overnight with speeds increasing into the 20 to 30 knot range by Thursday. Choppy to occasionally rough lake conditions are expected during this period, especially on the broad lake and in bays/inlets with open southerly exposures. Waves generally to run in the 1 to 3 foot range from midnight tonight onward into Thursday, with local values to 4 feet in the broad lake north of Willsboro and Shelburne Points. These conditions may pose a hazard to small craft. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JMG NEAR TERM...JMG SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...KGM AVIATION...JMG MARINE...JMG - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html