Expires:201609052000;;964177 FPUS51 KBTV 050728 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 326 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016 VTZ006-052000- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 326 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016 .TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TUESDAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LOWS AROUND 60. .SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. $$ Expires:201609051100;;971323 ASUS41 KBTV 051030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT MON SEP 05 2016 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-051100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON PTCLDY 59 54 83 CALM 30.27S MONTPELIER FOG 52 51 97 CALM 30.33F VSB 1/4 MORRISVILLE FOG 52 51 97 CALM 30.32S VSB 1/2 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 54 53 97 MISG 30.29F LYNDONVILLE* RAIN 51 50 98 NE3 30.32F VSB<1/4 MIDDLEBURY* N/A 54 54 100 CALM 30.27S FOG RUTLAND* CLEAR 55 51 86 SE14 30.29R SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 49 47 93 CALM 30.31R HIGHGATE* FAIR 56 56 99 CALM 30.28S NEWPORT* FAIR 52 51 99 CALM 30.31S BENNINGTON PTCLDY 51 48 89 CALM 30.29R SUTTON* N/A 52 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 59 N/A N/A N13 N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 64 59 82 SE6 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 64 61 88 SE7 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 61 59 94 SE2 N/A $$ Expires:No;;967181 FXUS61 KBTV 050836 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 436 AM EDT Mon Sep 5 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft will remain over the north country through Wednesday, with fair and dry weather expected. A change in the current dry weather pattern will occur on Thursday with increasing chances for showers from Thursday through Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 400 AM EDT Monday...The ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft will remain over the north country through tonight, with fair and dry weather expected. Any valley fog across eastern and northeast Vermont, as well as in the sheltered valleys of the Adirondacks will burn off by mid morning. A mostly sunny day is expected across the region today. There could be some high thin cirrus clouds at times over the region today and tonight from the remnants of post-tropical cyclone Hermine. Highs today will be mainly in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Tonight, expecting mainly clear skies across the region tonight. Expecting some more valley fog to form after midnight tonight across the sheltered valleys of eastern and northeast Vermont, as well as the sheltered valleys of the Adirondacks. Lows tonight will be mainly in the 50s, with some 40s over The Adirondacks and northeast Vermont. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 428 AM EDT Monday...Main challenge is what will be the impacts of post-tropical cyclone Hermine on our weather for Tue- Wed. Right now continuing with a mainly dry forecast though with some clouds in eastern VT with onshore flow but confidence in exactly how it plays out is not high. Looks like the low-level moisture that advects north and west will at least bring scattered cumulus clouds but at worst could be broken to overcast stratocumulus or stratus by late Tue and Tue night with a sprinkle in far SE VT with blocked upslope flow but PoPs only about 20% near KVSF. The cyclone has all but stalled out and even some westward movement noted in satellite imagery early this morning. The surface and upper low are expected to wobble around each other south of New England with little movement during the day Tue but perhaps some northerly or north northeasterly movement. 850mb temps between 13 and 16C coolest SE and 925mb temps 19-22C..support highs around 85 Champlain and Saint Lawrence Valleys with upper 70s to lower 80s in the mountains and eastern VT. Overnight lows will be several degrees warmer than previous couple of nights with some clouds around with temps mainly in the low 50s SLK/Northeast Kingdom to lower 60s near Lake Champlain. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 428 AM EDT Monday... The early part of the long term still depends on where Hermine and the upper low tracks. It would appear based on latest model guidance that the track will take it from somewhere south of the New England coast on Wed north of the 40N/70W Wed night with minimal effects but will continue to monitor. In the meantime, the NW part of area will be increasingly under the influence of the westerlies aloft. 850 temps warm to 15-17C which should give us temps well into the 80s. Weak short waves may effect us as early as Wednesday night with a chance of showers. Moisture and instability of 500-1000 J/kg and shear increase to 25 to 35 kts on Thu with a pre-frontal trough leading to a chance of showers and thunderstorms. 850 temps continue warm so highs again well into the 80s on Thu. A front will follow late Thu night with continued chance of showers and storms followed by clearing and drier and Friday but ECMWF and GFS differ on amount of cooling and drying. So highs Friday somewhere in the 70s to lower 80s with 850 temps 12-14C. Models in agreement over the weekend as a strong upper level trough and frontal system approach with showers with a warm then cold front. Some clearing is possible by later on Sunday with cooler temperatures. High generally in the 70s with clouds and chance of showers. && .AVIATION /09Z Monday THROUGH Friday/... Through 00Z Tuesday...Mainly VFR conditions expected through the period as a ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft remains over the region. Areas of dense valley fog over the sheltered valleys of eastern and northeast Vermont, as well as the sheltered valleys of northern New York will burn off by 13Z Monday. Outlook 06Z Tuesday through Friday... 06z Tuesday through 12Z Thursday...VFR, except IFR/VLIFR in patchy overnight fog - primarily at KSLK and KMPV. 12Z Thursday through 00Z Saturday...Mainly VFR with brief MVFR possible in a few showers. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...WGH NEAR TERM...WGH SHORT TERM...Sisson LONG TERM...Sisson AVIATION...WGH/Lahiff - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. 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