Expires:201609012000;;775127 FPUS51 KBTV 010704 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 302 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016 VTZ006-012000- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 302 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. .LABOR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. .TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. .TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. $$ Expires:201609011100;;783170 ASUS41 KBTV 011030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT THU SEP 01 2016 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-011100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON MOCLDY 65 58 78 CALM 29.87R MONTPELIER CLOUDY 60 57 89 SW3 29.90R MORRISVILLE FOG 59 57 93 CALM 29.89R VSB 1/2 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 63 60 90 MISG 29.84R LYNDONVILLE* MOCLDY 61 60 97 CALM 29.89R MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 61 61 100 CALM 29.87S RUTLAND* CLOUDY 64 61 88 N3 29.87R SPRINGFIELD MOCLDY 60 58 92 CALM 29.86R HIGHGATE* FAIR 58 57 98 CALM 29.88R NEWPORT* CLOUDY 61 60 98 W3 29.88R BENNINGTON CLOUDY 63 61 93 CALM 29.86R GALLUP MILLS* N/A 57 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 59 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 52 N/A N/A N20 N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 66 59 77 NW1 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 68 59 73 NW12 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 68 61 77 N6 N/A $$ Expires:No;;774804 FXUS61 KBTV 010700 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 300 AM EDT Thu Sep 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Variable clouds along with seasonably cooler weather are expected today into Friday as a cold front clears south of the area. There could be a few sprinkles or light showers in the northern mountains, but dry weather is expected by and large. Strong high pressure will then build across the Saint Lawrence Valley and northern New England from Saturday onward into the middle portions of next week with dry weather continuing along with a slow but steady warming trend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...Our first early taste of autumn will be in the air today into Friday as a seasonably deep upper trough pivots south across the region. Modest cold air advection interacting with terrain and a mid level post-frontal inversion spell variable stratocumulus cloud cover with occasional bouts of partial clearing under light northerly flow. There could be a few sprinkles or light showers across the north, mainly across the higher terrain this afternoon into this evening as the core of the trough axis swings through. However, generally dry weather is expected through the period. Blended, non-bias corrected model data supports high temperatures from 65 to 75F both days with lows tonight mainly in the 50s. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...Upper ridge begins to slowly build into the region Friday night and Saturday. Expect dry weather with clear skies at night and sunny during the day on Saturday. Based on 925 millibar temperatures... highs on Saturday should essentially be right around seasonal normals which means readings will be in the 70s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...Upper ridge continues to build in and become entrenched over the region through much of the period. Thus still looking at quiet weather with plenty of sun, dry conditions given no precipitation, and temperatures warming 2-3 degrees each day. At that rate we should be back into the lower to mid 80s by about midweek next week. Tropical system to remain well to our south with maybe some high clouds moving into the area on Sunday...especially south central Vermont and parts of the northern Adirondacks. If there is a small window where there could be some showers associated with the tropical system it would be confined to Monday and the southern portions of Rutland and Windsor counties. Have mentioned just a slight chance over this area. Upper ridge finally breaks down late Tuesday night into Wednesday and this could bring some showers to the region on Wednesday with moisture increasing in the developing westerly flow aloft. && .AVIATION /07Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/... Through 06Z Friday...Mainly VFR with SCT/BKN stratocumulus cigs generally in the 040-090 AGL range through the period as cold front pushes south of the entire area by morning. Some brief clearing through 12Z with patchy br possible at KMPV/KSLK but this shouldn't be long-lived with increasing post-frontal northerly flow aloft developing over time. Winds light to modest north/northwesterly 5-10 kts through the forecast period with occasional gusts to 15 kts this afternoon. Outlook 06Z Friday through Monday... Thu night-Friday: Generally VFR in the valleys, but still some chance of lingering MFVR CIGS in the mtns through 14Z Fri. Friday through 12z Sunday: Generally VFR under high pressure. Early morning IFR fog possible, especially at KSLK and KMPV. 12z Sunday through 00z Tuesday: Mainly VFR with chances for MVFR showers across central/southern areas depending on the track of tropical storm Hermine. && .CLIMATE... Of note: August 2016 is poised to set the record for the warmest August on record at Burlington, VT (KBTV). The preliminary monthly average temperature sits at 73.7F as of yesterday, with the current monthly record being 73.1 set back in 1947. Additionally, it looks certain that Massena, NY (KMSS) will have their second warmest August on record. Finally, meteorological summer (June-August) at KBTV is set to be the second or third warmest on record. Final August and summer stats for KBTV and other first order sites will be sent out later this week. Records for KBTV go back to 1884. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JMG NEAR TERM...JMG SHORT TERM...Evenson LONG TERM...Evenson AVIATION...JMG/Sisson CLIMATE...JMG - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html