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Expires:201609162000;;494549
FPUS51 KBTV 160745
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
343 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016


VTZ006-162000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
343 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
60. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. 

$$


Expires:201609161100;;501821
ASUS41 KBTV 161030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-161100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    44  40  85 CALM      30.29S                  
MORRISVILLE    FOG       40  39  97 SW5       30.33S VSB 1/4          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     42  41  96 MISG      30.32R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       37  36  99 CALM      30.34R VSB 1/2          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      43  43 100 CALM      30.30S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     44  42  93 SE8       30.31R                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       41  40  96 CALM      30.33R VSB 1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      41  41  99 CALM      30.29R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      37  37  99 SW6       30.31S                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     40  38  93 CALM      30.30R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     39 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     34 N/A N/A W1          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     41 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     45 N/A N/A SW21        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     52  48  87 SE10        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     54  52  94 SE13        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     48  50 100 SE6         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;497724
FXUS61 KBTV 160845
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
445 AM EDT Fri Sep 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface high pressure will shift east of New England today,
allowing for light south winds and afternoon temperatures
moderating into the 70s. Most of Saturday looks dry, but an upper
level trough moving in from the Great Lakes region will bring
increasing mid and upper level clouds. This system will produce
widespread showers Saturday night into Sunday. After a chilly
start this morning, temperatures will trend above seasonal normals
through the next 5 to 7 days.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 344 AM EDT Friday...Frost advisory continues for the valleys
of the northern Adirondacks region and portions of Vermont's
Northeast Kingdom away from the lower Passumpsic valley through
12Z. 07Z readings include 32F at KSLK, 34F at the Nulhegan RAWS
site in Brunswick VT, and 37F at Island Pond, VT. Will also see
some areas of dense early AM fog in the favored spots...mainly in
the Adirondacks and river valleys of central/ern VT. Conditions
are otherwise quiet, and the valley fog will dissipate 12-14Z
under full sunshine. Light S winds develop today as 1030mb sfc
anticyclone drifts eastward into the Gulf of Maine. Will result in
temps 5-10F warmer than yesterday, and generally reaching the low-
mid 70s (and about 2-4F degrees above normal for mid-September).
Light south winds continue tonight resulting in warmer min temps
as well. Lows generally in the lower 50s across the Champlain and
St. Lawrence Valleys, with temps mid- upr 40s Adirondacks and
central/ern VT valleys. Fog will likely be a bit more limited due
to better turbulent mixing potl at times. Best potl. likely in the
deeper valleys east of the Green Mtns 06-13Z Saturday. PoPs NIL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 445 AM EDT Friday...Clouds will increase ahead of
approaching mid level wave. Expect precip to hold to the west til
midday, gradually spreading into the St Lawrence Valley during the
afternoon hours. Overall flow will be parallel to surface front,
resulting in slow eastward progression. Uniform SW flow will
filter in moisture with PWATS of 1.5-2 inches over most of the
North Country by 00Z Sunday. Showers could be heavy at times with
such high PWATs.

Models continue to show strong 850mb jet affecting the North
Country late Saturday into Saturday night with breezy conditions
and possible gusts of 15-25kts especially in channeling affects of
N-S oriented valleys. Low CAPE high shear environment will ensue
with possibility for thunderstorms overnight. This jet will also
create shadowing affects on NEwd facing slopes and associated
valleys before jet exits east Sunday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 445 AM EDT Friday...Favorable upper level jet dynamics
will help keep lift over the area through Monday along with
vorticity embedded in the mid level flow producing showers.
Longwave mid level trough moves over eastern Ontario Sunday night
and across the North Country on Monday. Expect break in precip in
the wake of this trough with brief period of high pressure.  

00Z GFS and ECMWF bring another mid-level trough with surface cold
front and associated precip across the region on Tuesday. High
pressure builds in on Wednesday through most of Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Through 12Z Saturday...VLIFR fog expected at SLK/MPV and some of
the smaller ern VT airports thru 13Z this morning. Otherwise, VFR
with light winds, generally from the S-SE during the daylight hrs. 
Increasing cirrus clouds tonight. Additional localized fog
possible tonight, mainly at MPV after 06Z.

Outlook 12Z Saturday through Tuesday...Some patchy fog possible
with LIFR at MPV early Saturday morning until about 13Z. Breezy
surface winds developing during the day Saturday, generally south
10-20kts with gusts to 25kts possible Saturday afternoon at
SLK/MSS/BTV. Increasing mid-upper level clouds during the day
Saturday as well. Scattered showers toward evening at MSS/SLK.
Widespread showers and intervals of MVFR CIGS/VSBY possible during
Saturday night into Sunday. Gradual clearing with VFR conditions
anticipated for Monday/Tuesday.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
As of 1048 PM EDT Thursday...No weather observations have been
received from the ASOS (automated surface observing system) at the
Knapp State Airport (KMPV) in Barre/Montpelier VT since 1951Z.
This is due to a telephone communications line issue. The FAA AOCC
has been notified of this problem, but there is no estimate
available at this time as to when service will be restored.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for VTZ004-007.
NY...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ029-030-034.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Banacos
NEAR TERM...Banacos
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...Banacos
EQUIPMENT...WFO BTV

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