Expires:201609152000;;443659 FPUS51 KBTV 150714 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 312 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2016 VTZ006-152000- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 312 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2016 .TODAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .TONIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .FRIDAY...PATCHY DENSE FOG IN THE MORNING. SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. .MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. $$ Expires:201609151100;;451651 ASUS41 KBTV 151030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT THU SEP 15 2016 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-151100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLEAR 50 43 77 E3 30.31R MONTPELIER FOG 42 41 96 CALM 30.33R VSB 3/4 MORRISVILLE FOG 43 42 97 CALM 30.32R VSB 1/4 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 44 44 100 MISG 30.28R LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 41 40 97 CALM 30.30R FOG MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 43 43 100 CALM 30.31R FOG RUTLAND* CLOUDY 43 43 100 SE5 30.30R SPRINGFIELD FOG 42 41 96 CALM 30.30R VSB 1/4 HIGHGATE* FAIR 41 41 99 CALM 30.32R NEWPORT* FAIR 43 41 93 NW5 30.30R BENNINGTON CLEAR 41 39 93 CALM 30.28R FOG SUTTON* N/A 41 N/A N/A MISG N/A ISLAND POND* N/A 34 N/A N/A E1 N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A 36 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 43 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 39 N/A N/A NW23 N/A WCI 29 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 54 48 82 NW1 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 55 46 71 N14 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 54 45 71 NW15 N/A $$ Expires:No;;444740 FXUS61 KBTV 150755 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 355 AM EDT Thu Sep 15 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will be in control across the northeastern United States today through the first part of Saturday, bringing mostly clear skies and seasonable temperatures. As the high pressure system moves east of New England, an upper level trough will approach from the Great Lakes. This will bring increasing chances for precipitation late Saturday, and especially Saturday night into Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 312 AM EDT Thursday...Synoptically quiescent conditions through the near-term as 1030MB surface anticyclone across sern Ontario/swrn Quebec moves esewd across NY/Northern New England later today. Skies are mainly clear early this morning, but still dealing with N-NNE winds 10-15kts in the 1-2kft layer, which is limiting overall coverage of nocturnal valley fog. Fog that does develop next few hours will generally dissipate by 13Z, setting up a sunny day areawide. It will be a bit chilly to start, with daybreak temps mostly in the 40s, except locally 34-35F at KSLK. Weaker pressure gradient will exist today and this will allow winds to generally be under 10 miles per hour. Northerly winds of 15-20kts over Lake Champlain early this morning will also gradually diminish to around 10kt by late morning/early afternoon. High temperatures will be a few degrees cooler than normal with highs in the 60s to around 70. Clear and tranquil tonight with light and variable winds controlled by local orographic influences. Good radiational cooling setup and lighter low-level wind fields should result in more widespread dense fog across the climatologically favored valley of central/ern VT, and within the nrn Adirondack region. May see some patchy frost as well for the nrn Adirondacks and the sheltered valleys of Vermont's Northeast Kingdom. Overall coverage does not appear to be enough to warrant a frost advisory, and will hold off at this time. Could see an isold 32F reading at KSLK tonight and in a spot or two in Essex County VT. Tonight's lows mainly low-mid 40s, but mid-upr 30s generally in nern VT and across the nrn Adirondacks. PoPs NIL through the period. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 355 AM EDT Thursday...High pressure continues shifting east, putting the North Country in Southerly flow. Quiet weather persists for the end of the work week with mostly clear skies, max temps in the 60s to mid 70s and min temperatures moderating tot he low 40s to low 50s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 355 AM EDT Thursday...Most of Saturday will be dry with increasing clouds from the NW as low pressure system approaches. Late afternoon into evening will see increase in precip potential as surface front moves generally west to east. Pressure gradient will be increasing with 850mb jet of 35- 45kts and area of weak low level deformation moving into the St Lawrence Valley by 00Z Sunday. Expect low CAPE but 30-40kts of 0-6km shear to provide chance of embedded thunderstorms Saturday night. Mid level heights continue to fall on Sunday as the 500mb trough moves over the Central Great Lakes region. Chance for showers continues into Sunday night when the main cold front of this system moves through. Winds shift out of the west in the wake of the front come Monday morning. 500mb heights increase as the mid level trough exits east. Drier weather returns Monday night, but is short lived as another mid level trough approaches. This new trough will be negatively tilted extending from northern Alberta SEwd across Ontario and nearing the eastern Great Lakes on Tuesday. Precipitation expected Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night, followed by the return of high pressure on Wednesday. && .AVIATION /08Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/... Through 12Z Friday...Surface high pressure will build east from the Great Lakes through the period. Mainly VFR/SKC conditions expected through the period, but some intervals of fog will be possible at MPV/SLK early this morning. SKC during the daylight hrs with light N winds AOB 10kts, with winds becoming light and variable and controlled by local orographic effects tonight. Conditions appear more conducive to dense VLIFR fog formation at SLK/MPV for the pre-dawn hrs Friday with surface ridge cresting overhead and lighter low-level wind fields. Outlook 12Z Friday through Monday...Expect VFR conditions from 12z Friday through 18z Saturday with high pressure over the area. A trough of low pressure will move in Saturday afternoon through Sunday and this will increase clouds and showers over the area resulting in MVFR/and brief IFR ceilings and visibilities. Conditions will trend toward VFR by Monday. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Banacos NEAR TERM...Banacos SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...KGM AVIATION...Banacos - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html