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Expires:201609182000;;598961
FPUS51 KBTV 181043
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
640 AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016


VTZ006-182000-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
640 AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY THIS MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY
WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LOWS AROUND 50. 
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LOWS AROUND 50. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. 

$$


Expires:201609181100;;598659
ASUS41 KBTV 181030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 18 2016

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-181100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  67  63  87 S15G25    29.92R FOG              
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  63  61  93 S7        29.99S                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  65  63  93 CALM      29.94S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     64  62  93 MISG      29.94R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   DRIZZLE   61  60  97 SE6       29.97F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    LGT RAIN  66  66 100 S8        29.96R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    66  64  93 CALM      29.98F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    62  61  96 CALM      30.00S                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    65  64  97 S9        29.90S                  
NEWPORT*       RAIN      62  62  98 S3        29.94S                  
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  67  62  84 VRB3      30.01F                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     63 N/A N/A SW5         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     61 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     63 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A SW43G55     N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     68  66  94 S15         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  66 100 S25         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  64  94 S10         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;592883
FXUS61 KBTV 180815
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
415 AM EDT Sun Sep 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Rain showers will continue to affect portions of the North
Country Sunday morning with most showers clearing south and east
of Vermont this afternoon. This precipitation will surge back
north tonight into Monday. Weather will remain unsettled with
above normal temperatures through the middle of next week, then
another low pressure system will bring showers and cooler, more
seasonable temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 415 AM EDT Sunday...Showers this morning will shift
eastward leading to most areas seeing dry weather in the afternoon
as strong subsidence, seen on water vapor imagery, moves into the
North Country from the NW. Flow remains out of the south, but
strong low level jet that produce breezy conditions yesterday has
exited, therefore expect wind speeds generally 10-15kts with a few
gusts in the Champlain valley of 15-25kts this morning and early
afternoon. Mild 925mb temperatures persist in the southerly flow,
reaching about 17C-19C this afternoon. With some thinning of
clouds, except for possibly SE VT, expect surface temperatures to
peak in the mid 60s to upper 70s.

As longwave 500mb trough approaches this evening, causing the
rain shower inducing boundary from this morning to lift back
northward bringing a chance for rain shower for the SE two-thirds
of the forecast area. Plentiful clouds and continued but lighter
southerly flow will see min temperatures in the mid 50s to mid
60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 415 AM EDT Sunday...Monday will continue to see a gradient
of precipitation chances from west to east across the area. Weak
shortwave trough will be moving across the area creating a west to
southwest flow aloft. Any dynamic forcing will be more favorable
across Vermont and have highest precipitation chances Monday
morning across eastern Vermont with decreasing precipitation
chances as one goes west across western Vermont and northern New
York. The shortwave exits the area Monday night with dry weather
expected for all areas. Trends in the data now indicate best lift
from upper trough over eastern Canada remains north of our area.
Cold front that does move across our area is weak and now looks
like just a chance of showers over the northern third of New York
and Vermont...mainly near the Canadian border. Above normal
temperatures will be the rule Monday and Tuesday with highs in the
70s on Monday and mid 70s to lower 80s on Tuesday. The lower 80s
are expected in the Champlain Valley where a westerly component to
the low level flow will promote downsloping and warming. This
could be the day that Burlington breaks the record for most number
of days with a high temperature of 80 degrees or higher.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 415 AM EDT Sunday...West to northwest flow aloft develops
over the area on Wednesday and Thursday with dry weather expected
with highs in the upper 60s to middle 70s. A transition will take
place on Friday as a trough of low pressure moves down from Canada
and enhances precipitation chances across the area. The flow aloft
turns more northwest for the weekend with highs only in the 60s
for Saturday and Sunday. No precipitation is expected on the
weekend as well.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z Sunday THROUGH Thursday/...
Through 06Z Monday...Generally VFR conditions this morning with
exception of KMSS and KSLK experiencing MVFR cigs. MVFR conditions
possible within approaching showers in the next few hours. Showers
continue to move at 30 to 40 kts northeastward. Expect rain
showers to exit during the mid to late morning with VFR conditions
persisting as clouds thin during the daytime.

Gusty south winds, mostly at KBTV will eventually subside after
12Z. Otherwise winds remain out of the S to SW at 5-10kts during
the afternoon and subsiding to about 5 kts or less Sunday evening.

Outlook 06Z Monday through Thursday...

06z Mon - 00z Tue: Mix of VFR/MVFR in occasional showers.

00z Tue - 12z Tue: VFR under brief high pressure. VLIFR fog
possible at KMPV/KSLK.

12z Tue - 06z Wed: VFR with chance MVFR showers along a cold
front.

06z Wed - 00z Fri: VFR under high pressure. VLIFR fog possible at
KMPV/KSLK.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 415 AM EDT Sunday...A Lake Wind Advisory remains in effect
for Lake Champlain until further notice, as hazardous boating
conditions for small craft will continue. Southerly winds across
the broad lake continue between 15-25 knots this morning. Choppy
waves of 2-5 feet continue in bays and inlets exposed to the
south. These include locations such as Colchester Point, Four
Brothers and Valcour Island. Winds and waves are expected to
decrease this afternoon.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...KGM
MARINE...KGM/Loconto

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