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Expires:201701142100;;481785
FPUS51 KBTV 141054
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
552 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2017


VTZ006-142100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JOHNSON AND STOWE
552 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2017

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 19. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 11. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST
AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 20.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 4 ABOVE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 40. 

$$


Expires:201701141200;;483477
ASUS41 KBTV 141130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-141200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR      8  -2  63 NE5       30.71F WCI   0          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY     4  -2  76 CALM      30.64F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY     4  -3  73 CALM      30.67F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      4  -2  76 MISG      30.65F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR       0  -4  84 CALM      30.62F                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR       6  -9  50 CALM      30.68S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR      8   3  80 CALM      30.66S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR      8   1  73 CALM      30.68S                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR       3  -3  77 CALM      30.72F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR       1  -3  81 CALM      30.64F                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     12   3  67 CALM      30.64S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     -4 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     -6 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     -6 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A      7 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     -4 N/A N/A NW25        N/A  WCI -30          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A      9   0  66 NE1         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     10   3  72 NE10        N/A  WCI  -3          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     12   5  73 N9          N/A  WCI   0          

$$


Expires:No;;483480
FXUS61 KBTV 141130
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
630 AM EST Sat Jan 14 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A large area of high pressure will exist over the entire Northeast 
today. Plenty of sunshine will exist...but high temperatures will be 
a few degrees below normal. An upper level disturbance will drop 
down from Canada later tonight into the first half of Sunday. This 
will increase clouds across the area and bring just a chance of snow 
showers to the northern Adirondacks and the north central and 
northeast portions of Vermont. High pressure builds back into the 
region Sunday night into Monday for dry weather. A warming trend 
will also begin on Monday with high temperatures a few degrees above 
normal.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 559 AM EST Saturday...Just some minor tweaks to the grids
at this time. Adjusted lake effect clouds to point more toward
the southwest with northeast winds flowing over Lake Champlain.
Also increased areal coverage of the clouds this afternoon as
flow pattern should bring clouds into the region from the
eastern Great lakes. Otherwise...quiet weather is expected 
today with high pressure right over the region. Not expecting 
any precipitation and high temperatures will be a few degrees 
below normal with highs in the mid teens to mid 20s.

For tonight and Sunday...an upper level disturbance will move down 
from Canada and begin to increase clouds across the area from 
northwest to southeast. Not a lot of moisture will be associated 
with this feature. The light precipitation will likely be terrain 
drive and the going forecast for slight chance to chance precipitation
probabilities for the northern Adirondacks and north central 
and northeast Vermont looks good. Best time for these snow 
showers will be from midnight tonight through about midday on 
Sunday before high pressure begins to return to the area late in
the day. High temperatures on Sunday will be very similar to 
the readings on Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 303 AM EST Saturday...Looks like a quiet end to the 
holiday weekend with high pressure settling directly overhead 
Sunday night, pushing east off along Atlantic coast for MLK Day.
Light winds and clear skies will lead to ideal radiational 
cooling, especially in areas that still have snowpack (which 
isn't many). Thus, should see a pretty chilly night with single 
digits to low teens in the deeper Champlain and St. Lawrence 
Valleys, and single digits above and below zero elsewhere. For 
MLK Day, we start on the chilly side, but developing southerly 
return flow from the departing high will allow temps to rebound 
nicely into the upper 20s to low/mid 30s by the afternoon under 
partial sunshine.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 303 AM EST Saturday...Overall little change for the 
extended forecast from previous forecaster thinking, with an 
active period of weather expected. Highlights of the period will
be yet another mixed precipitation event for the North Country 
during the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe, followed by mainly dry 
conditions to end the work week with well above normal 
temperatures expected.

Pretty good consensus amongst the 00z runs of the GFS/ECMWF/GEM 
showing primary low pressure pulling through the Great Lakes on 
Tuesday, with a secondary low developing along the Maine coast 
Wednesday afternoon/night. Very tricky forecast in regards to ptype 
for Tuesday afternoon and night as the warm front shifts through the 
area. Sounding profiles indicate mainly a rain event for the 
majority of northern New York and the Champlain Valley, but 
lingering cold air in the Adirondacks and eastern Vermont support 
the idea of a period of sleet and/or freezing rain Tuesday night 
before warm air advection wins over by 12z Wednesday. From there, 
rain is the dominant ptype for Wednesday while we're in the warm 
sector, and it's not until the secondary low develops Wednesday 
afternoon/evening that colder air returns aloft supporting a 
transition to rain/snow mix Wednesday night. Could potentially see a 
decent accumulation across the higher summits with the 700mb low 
situated just off to our northeast and strong northwesterly low/mid 
level flow developing, but really too soon to tell. One can hope 
though.

Unfortunately, even if we get some snow on the mountains Wednesday 
night, mid/upper level ridging building in for the end of the week 
and warming mid levels will support temps well above normal for 
Thursday and Friday with highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s, and lows 
only in the mid 20s to low 30s. Spring corn in late January? Looks 
like it.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Through 12Z Sunday...Still looking at VFR conditions through the
period. However...clouds will be increasing especially this
afternoon and tonight. Clouds will generally be above 10000 feet
this afternoon...then lower to the 3500-4500 foot level by about
06z. VFR visibilities are also expected through the period. Some
snow showers will be possible at Saranac Lake...KSLK...after 06z
but no obstruction to visibility is expected. Light winds this
morning will become south and southwest by midday...then west
and northwest after 06z.

12z Sunday onward...Primarily VFR with surface high pressure 
through Monday night. Next large-scale precipitation system 
tracks to our west Late Tuesday into Wednesday. Trending MVFR 
with intervals of IFR in mainly rain, possibly as early as late 
Tuesday...but more likely Tuesday night or Wednesday.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...Evenson/MV

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