Expires:201703292000;;248684 FPUS51 KBTV 290733 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York National Weather Service Burlington VT 331 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017 VTZ006-292000- Lamoille- Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe 331 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017 .TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of drizzle and freezing drizzle this morning...then scattered rain showers this afternoon. Highs around 40. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .TONIGHT...Cloudy. Isolated rain or snow showers until midnight. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Light and variable winds. .FRIDAY...Rain likely or a chance of snow. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and variable winds. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain likely. Light snow accumulation. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. .SATURDAY...Snow or a chance of rain showers. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Highs around 40. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of rain 50 percent. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs in the upper 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. $$ Expires:201703291100;;256118 ASUS41 KBTV 291030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT WED MAR 29 2017 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-291100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON LGT RAIN 36 33 89 N6 30.11R WCI 31 MONTPELIER CLOUDY 33 33 100 NW7 30.08R WCI 27 MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 33 31 92 NW12 30.08R WCI 24 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 36 33 89 MISG 30.04R LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 34 31 91 NW9 30.05S WCI 26 MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 34 33 96 N6 30.09R FOG WCI 29 RUTLAND* CLOUDY 34 34 100 NW7 30.06R FOG WCI 28 SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 38 31 76 VRB5 30.04R HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 33 32 96 N3 30.12R NEWPORT* CLOUDY 32 31 98 N7 30.06S WCI 26 BENNINGTON CLOUDY 36 32 85 VRB3 30.04R SUTTON* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A ISLAND POND* N/A 34 N/A N/A NW5 N/A WCI 30 GALLUP MILLS* N/A 32 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 34 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 25 N/A N/A NW18 N/A WCI 11 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 34 32 93 N6 N/A WCI 29 COLCHESTER RF* N/A 37 34 87 N14 N/A WCI 29 DIAMOND ISL* N/A 37 32 81 NW13G20 N/A WCI 29 $$ Expires:No;;249951 FXUS61 KBTV 290809 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 409 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Deep low pressure over central Quebec this morning will continue to provide abundant cloud cover to the North Country today, along with areas of fog and drizzle this morning, and some scattered rain and snow showers across north-central Vermont this afternoon. A brief period of sunnier and drier conditions is expected on Thursday as a ridge of high pressure builds over the region, but unsettled weather returns for the end of the week and into the weekend, as another storm system will bring valley rain and mountain snow Friday into Saturday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 408 AM EDT Wednesday...Deep low pressure over central Quebec this morning continues to provide abundant low level moisture to the North Country in the form of areas of cold drizzle and fog with current temps ranging through the 30s. Cold air advection continues through the day on northerly flow, and while precipitation chances generally wane across the majority of the region, additional shortwave energy rounding the base of the upper trough will skim along the international border maintaining the threat for scattered valley rain and mountain showers across central and northern portions of Vermont through the afternoon. Abundant cloud cover will persist through the day as well, keeping temps in the mid 30s to low 40s in the valleys while the higher summits gradually fall through the 20s. For tonight, the upper trough finally begins to swing east of the area with surface high pressure and and upper ridging over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley edging ever so slowly eastward towards the region. Low levels finally begin to dry out with subsidence aloft winning out, so a gradually clearing of skies is expected though mainly after midnight with valley locales clearing the most, mountain areas less so. Lows will range mainly in the 20s with some teens in the Adirondacks. Thursday will be the best day of the week as the aforementioned high centers over the Northeast with skies continuing to clear through the day. Unfortunately temps won't really change to much as weak cold air advection will continue on light northerly flow, but we should realize widespread highs in the low/mid 40s. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 341 AM EDT Wednesday...Most active period of weather then affects the region by late Thursday night and especially Friday into Friday night as upper closed energy tracks east from the Ohio Valley into the Mid Atlantic region. The forecast remains quite complex in regard to precipitation timing, amounts and type with lower boundary layer thermal profiles playing a critical role through the period. This is not uncommon with early spring systems with subtle changes of 1 to 2 degrees either way potentially leading to large differences in sensible weather. For now will maintain our prior idea of snows arriving into our southwestern counties later Thursday night into mid morning on Friday before a transition to all rain in lower elevations, or rain/snow mix from 1000-2500 feet on Friday as precipitation shield advances into the remainder of the forecast area. At higher elevations above 2500 feet p-type may remain as all snow. Negligible amounts of sleet or freezing rain is expected. Lows Thursday night mainly in the 20s with afternoon highs on Friday from 35 to 40 below 1500 feet and 30 to 35 above that level. Bulk of precipitation then affects the area Friday night as warm thermal advection aloft will be peaking and as thermal profiles cool slightly a transition to all snow is expected after midnight. Amounts may be a bit tricky as flow trends southeasterly and some slight shadowing effects may occur. Time will tell. I was also cautious in leaning too high on our QPF given known model high bias during warm thermal advective events. Nonetheless the potential will exist for a light to moderate wet snow accumulation in many areas with higher amounts possible in elevated southern terrain. Did lean on the milder side of guidance given clouds and lack of appreciable low level advection - mainly lower to mid 30s (upper 20s at elevation). Please see our winter weather page at www.weather.gov/btv/winter for specific accumulation forecasts and probabilities. By Saturday widespread light snows taper to scattered rain/snow shower activity as system exits the Mid Atlantic coast and gradually loses influence. Any additional snow accumulations will be minor as late day temperatures top out in the upper 30s to lower 40s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 341 AM EDT Wednesday...Relatively quiet weather then returns by later Saturday into early next week with mean high pressure building back across the region. Any lingering rain/snow shower activity will wane in coverage, becoming more confined to northern higher terrain into Sunday as highs top out in the 40s. Temperatures will be similar on Monday with dry weather expected. The next threat of steadier precipitation potentially arrives toward the middle of next week with chances of rain and/or snow showers. Temperatures will remain at, or slightly above seasonal early April norms. && .AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Through 06Z Thursday...Variable flight conditions from VFR to LIFR will continue through 12-13z before all sites lift to MVFR except VFR at KMSS. Thereafter a gradual improvement at all sites to VFR is expected by the afternoon. Areas of fog and drizzle overnight generally dissipate after 12z as well, with some lingering rain/snow showers across central/northern portions of Vermont through about 18z. Winds calm/light overnight trend to the north/northwest at 5-15kts after 12z with some gusts up to 20kts possible from the Champlain Valley eastward through Vermont. Outlook 06Z Thursday through Sunday... 06Z Thursday through 12Z Thursday...Mainly VFR. Isolated MVFR and showers over higher terrain of NE VT. 12Z Thursday through 12Z Friday...VFR under high pressure. 12Z Friday through 00Z Monday...MVFR/IFR in periods of rain and snow. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Lahiff NEAR TERM...Lahiff SHORT TERM...JMG LONG TERM...JMG AVIATION...Lahiff - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html