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Expires:201706112000;;043816
FPUS51 KBTV 110730
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
327 AM EDT Sun Jun 11 2017


VTZ006-112000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
327 AM EDT Sun Jun 11 2017

.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer with highs in the upper 80s. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain
20 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the morning. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Not as warm with
highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain
50 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain
60 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the mid 50s. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. 

$$


Expires:201706111100;;051138
ASUS41 KBTV 111030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-111100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    72  59  63 S14G22    29.88S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    73  57  57 S10G17    29.96F                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    57  55  93 CALM      29.92S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  32  38 MISG      29.91S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      61  56  85 SE7       29.95S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      71  58  64 S6        29.95R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    63  57  81 VRB5      29.99R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     56  54  93 CALM      30.00R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      71  60  67 S9G16     29.84S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      65  57  77 SW7       29.90S                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     63  58  83 SW3       30.02R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     63 N/A N/A SW3         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     61 N/A N/A W38G49      N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     66  59  77 SW13G18     N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     64  59  82 S21         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     68  59  73 S10         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;051232
FXUS61 KBTV 111031
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
631 AM EDT Sun Jun 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Above normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday. Some 
valley locations will reach the lower 90s today and Monday. Next
chance for showers and storms will come early Tuesday as a cold
front moves across the area. Cooler and drier weather will 
follow behind the cold front from the middle to latter parts of 
the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 445 AM EDT Sunday...Warm ridge of surface high pressure 
will remain over the region through Monday. Temperatures will be
near record highs for both today and tomorrow, lower 90s in the
Champlain Valley. The weather will mainly be dry with a chance 
of showers along the international border on Monday afternoon as
a surface cold front begins to sag south out of Canada. Winds 
have begun to pick up out of the west southwest and will 
continue through the day. These winds are associated with a 
chunk of EML which will be drifting across our area today. 850 
temps will warm into the mid to upper teens and remain ahead of 
the aforementioned front. Though the temperatures will be quite 
warm, airmass is fairly dry and with brisk winds the 
temperatures should not feel too awful despite the 90 degree 
readings. A strong thermal CAP beneath broad scale ridging looks
to suppress any convection through most of the day, though a 
stray shower is possible across the far north parts of Vermont 
toward the late afternoon/evening on Monday as a rather weak 
impulse clips the international border.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 516 AM EDT Sunday...Monday night will start off dry with 
increasing clouds and moisture as a weakening surface boundary 
sinks southeastward from Ontario. Potential for some showers 
arrive early Tuesday morning as the boundary continues to sink 
south and east across the North Country. ECMWF indicating an 
elevated mixed layer, providing a slight chance for thunderstorm
activity. Best low level deformation appears to be in early 
Tuesday. CAPE, shear, and best lapse rates do not coincide over 
the North Country. Greatest SBCAPE over the North Country during
the morning hours, while strongest shear arrives for the 
afternoon when significant CAPE values occur south of the 
forecast area.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 516 AM EDT Sunday...High pressure at the surface and 
aloft will build into the North Country from eastern Canada 
through the middle of the week. The surface ridge will crest 
over the region Wednesday, before shifting east on Thursday. 
This will allow closed surface low pressure system to track 
across northern Ontario, dragging a surface boundary across the 
Great Lakes region on Thursday and being on our doorstep 
Thursday evening. Expect rain showers associated with the 
boundary to move west to east across the forecast area on 
Friday. Model guidance shows a more active pattern returning for
the weekend. 

Temperatures will vary from day to day, but remain near normal 
throughout the period with maxes in the upper 60s to upper 70s. 
Min temperatures will generally range from the mid 40s to around
60 late in the period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...Only mid and high level clouds are 
expected to move across the area tonight...thus looking at VFR 
conditions. The VFR conditions will continue on Sunday with 
little in the way of any clouds. No concerns are expected with 
regards to visibility with VFR conditions through the period. 
Only concern will be a window of low level wind shear thru 12z 
with stronger southwest flow at 2000 feet during this time 
period. This will create low level wind shear conditions during 
this time period...then mixing takes place and the area should 
see gusts in the 15 to 25 knot range at the surface from the 
southwest after 12z and continuing through much of the remaining
period.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. Breezy. Slight Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA...Chance TSRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA...Slight Chance TSRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Near record warm temperatures are expected today and tomorrow.
Here are record maximum temperatures for June 11 and 12:

                  June 11           June 12
Burlington, VT    92F (1947)        92F (1949)
Montpelier, VT    87F (2005 & 1996) 88F (1949)
Massena, NY       90F (2005)        89F (2005) 
St. Johnsbury, VT 93F (1933)        94F (1942) 
Mt. Mansfield, VT 78F (1974)        75F (2007 & 1969)

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...Neiles
CLIMATE...KGM

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