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Expires:201709072000;;007979
FPUS51 KBTV 070728
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
325 AM EDT Thu Sep 7 2017


VTZ006-072000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
325 AM EDT Thu Sep 7 2017

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. A slight chance of
thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Light and
variable winds, becoming west around 10 mph this afternoon. Chance
of rain 50 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers with a slight chance
of thunderstorms until midnight. Lows around 50. Light and variable
winds. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Light and variable winds. Chance
of rain 60 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Light and variable winds. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. 

$$


Expires:201709071100;;015153
ASUS41 KBTV 071030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU SEP 07 2017

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-071100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  58  56  93 NW3       29.79S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    55  55 100 W5        29.81R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  56  55  97 N3        29.79S FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  57 100 MISG      29.71F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    55  54  97 W7        29.76S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    DRIZZLE   56  55  99 CALM      29.79S                  
RUTLAND*       LGT RAIN  55  55 100 CALM      29.80S FOG              
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    58  55  90 W3        29.78R                  
HIGHGATE*      DRIZZLE   56  56 100 CALM      29.78F                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    55  55 100 W7        29.78R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    57  55  93 W3        29.80S FOG              
SUTTON*          N/A     54 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     55 N/A N/A NW5         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     54 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     46 N/A N/A W16         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     59  57  94 W5          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     61  59  94 NW2         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     59  57  94 E2          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;008784
FXUS61 KBTV 070759
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
359 AM EDT Thu Sep 7 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A deep upper level trough of low pressure over the Great Lakes and 
Ohio Valley will be the main driver of the North Country's weather 
today through Saturday as it pivots over the northeast. Widespread 
showers across the region this morning will become more scattered 
this afternoon and on Friday before high pressure will brings a 
return of drier and more seasonal weather this weekend into early 
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 358 AM EDT Thursday...Over the next 36 hours we finally 
will begin to see a transition in the pattern as an upper level 
trough over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley shifts into the 
Northeast, and the slow moving frontal boundary to our east 
moves further offshore. Widespread showers over the region early
this morning will taper off during the mid-morning hours 
offering a brief period of drier weather, but as the day wears 
on showers are expected to redevelop, becoming more scattered 
and convective in nature as lapse rates steepen to nearly dry 
adiabatic and some weak surface instability develops. I've kept 
the mention of slight chance of thunder in some areas, but 
overall mean mixing heights are rather shallow so the vertical 
depth of any convection will be limited. Highs continue on on 
the cool side of normal ranging through the 60s.

Going into tonight, with the loss of what little surface 
heating we get, diurnally driven showers should dissipate with 
much of the night being relatively dry outside of the 
possibility of some lake enhanced showers over southeastern St. 
Lawrence county. On Friday as upper trough moves further into 
the region, the core of the coldest air aloft shifts in with 
highs slightly cooler than Thursday. Lapse rates once again will
become sufficiently steep for instability to develop, leading 
to another round of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorm 
in the afternoon. Not looking at seeing any strong storms, but 
with freezing levels lowering to around 7000 feet and 500mb 
temps in the -20C range I wouldn't be surprised to hear some 
reports of graupel.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 358 AM EDT Thursday...The upper trough will continue to 
slowly pull across the region Friday night with scattered 
showers and ample cloud cover. The best threat of showers will 
occur Friday evening as cold pool aloft lies nearly overhead but
coverage should wane into the overnight hours with loss of 
insolation. Low temperatures fairly uniform in the 40s to around
50. By Saturday variable clouds slowly give way to partly sunny
conditions by later in the day as the upper trough pulls slowly
east of the area. There will remain a low end shot of 
lingering/scattered showers across far eastern VT counties, 
especially northeastern VT, but coverage should be much less 
than on Friday as best dynamical support will lie to our east. 
Variable clouds will persist, though skies should trend partly 
sunny across western and southern counties by afternoon as 
broad-scale subsidence slowly builds east. High temperatures to 
remain quite cool under modest cold thermal advection on light 
northwesterly flow - mainly in the 57 to 63 range with some 
customary variability.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 358 AM EDT Thursday...Large-scale ridging at the surface 
and aloft then slowly builds east into the area by Saturday 
night into early next week with a welcomed stretch of fair and 
dry weather. Skies should trend partly cloudy into Sunday, then 
mostly clear/sunny by Sunday night onward into the first half of
next Tuesday as 500 mb heights build in excess of 580dm. 
Temperatures respond in kind and slowly moderate through the 
period with highs in the 60s on Sunday climbing into the mid to 
upper 70s by next Tuesday. Pops nil. Late in the forecast period
there is some indication that the threat of showers returns to 
the region as moisture advects northeast ahead of an advancing 
upper longwave trough across the Upper Great Lakes and south 
central Canada. Time will tell.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...Variable flight conditions continue across
the region through sunrise with widespread rain gradually
tapering off. In general, conditions should remain VFR at most
terminals with brief periods of MVFR in BR and low stratus, but
IFR ceiling will persist at KMPV and develop at KRUT through 
12Z. After 12Z all terminals trend to VFR with scattered 
afternoon showers developing and perhaps an isolated 
thunderstorm. Winds light and variable overnight trend to 
southwest at 5-10 knots.

Outlook...

Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...JMG
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...Lahiff

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