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Expires:201803222000;;292492
FPUS51 KBTV 220659
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
256 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018


VTZ006-222000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
256 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers this
afternoon. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of
snow 20 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers until
midnight. Lows in the lower 20s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of
snow 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers in the
morning, then a chance of snow showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the mid 30s. North winds around 10 mph. Chance of snow 30 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20. Northwest winds around 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers.
Highs in the lower 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 15 to 20. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 15 to 20. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of rain or snow showers.
Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 

$$


Expires:201803221100;;300981
ASUS41 KBTV 221030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2018

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-221100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      24  16  71 N7        29.87R WCI  16          
MONTPELIER     FAIR      26  19  74 N5        29.81F WCI  20          
MORRISVILLE    FAIR      16  14  92 CALM      29.83F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     29  21  72 MISG      29.77F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      26  19  76 SW5       29.79S WCI  20          
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      23  17  78 N5        29.83R WCI  17          
RUTLAND*       FAIR      22  18  85 N7        29.79S WCI  13          
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    34  20  56 NE5       29.74S WCI  30          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      19  16  88 CALM      29.89S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      21  16  81 N8        29.83S WCI  12          
BENNINGTON     FAIR      28  17  63 NW3       29.76R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     16 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     23 N/A N/A SE10        N/A  WCI  12          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     21  18  86 N3          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  21  69 N20         N/A  WCI  18          

$$


Expires:No;;293784
FXUS61 KBTV 220738
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
338 AM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure situated off the East Coast will pull away from the 
region today, perhaps bringing a few wrap-around snow showers in the 
mountains today. An upper trough will swing across New York tomorrow 
and may produce scattered snow showers over the Adirondacks. 
Otherwise, surface high pressure will keep the weather dry over the 
next several days. Temperatures will be near to slightly below 
normal through the first half of the weekend before moderating to 
above normal by the middle of next week. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 338 AM EDT Thursday...Low pressure continues to spin 
off the southern New England coast this morning while high pressure 
remains firmly lodged to the north and west. The dry air associated 
with the ridge has been very hard for the low's precipitation to 
overcome; radar returns have been light with no indications of any 
snow actually reaching the ground in southeast Vermont. Radar 
signatures have actually been decreasing recently, so other than 
perhaps some light flurries, don't anticipate any snow to fall until 
a bit later today. Winds will turn to the northwest this afternoon 
as the low lifts well east of our area, and this may be enough to 
produce a few showers across the favored upslope areas of the 
Adirondacks and Greens. Little to no snow accumulation is expected. 
A weak 850 mb jet looks to develop on the backside of the departing 
low this afternoon and could see some of the higher winds mix down 
with a bit of daytime heating this afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph 
will be possible. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 30s in the 
wider valleys while the mountains will be in the lower to mid 30s. 

Better chances for precipitation arrive later tonight into Friday, 
especially over the northern Adirondacks, as a shortwave travels 
across Ontario, western NY, and PA in the northwest flow aloft.  The 
resultant lift along with increasing moisture will allow scattered 
snow showers to develop over the northern Adirondacks late tonight 
through Friday, spreading eastward into Vermont in the afternoon. 
Highs will be in the lower to mid 30s in the mountains, limiting any 
snow accumulation to less than an inch. Temperatures will be a few 
degrees warmer in the valleys, so any snow showers in these areas 
may mix with and/or change to rain for a time. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 320 AM EDT Thursday...Mid/upper level trof prevails across
the ne conus for this upcoming weekend. Temps will continue to
be below normal thru Sunday...with another modified surge of
colder air arriving late Sat into Sunday. Clouds will have an
impact on temps, for both daytime highs and overnight lows...as
recent trend of large diurnal swings will be limited this
weekend. In addition...potent s/w energy dropping south will
increase with some increasing mid level moisture and low level
upslope flow to produce terrain driven snow showers. The best
combination of moisture and forcing occurs between 06z-15z
Sunday...so have mentioned high chc pops in the mountains. Any
accumulation will be light maybe an inch or so, northern VT
mountains and parts of the NEK. Tricky temp forecast with
northerly winds both Sat/Sun and some modest low level cold air
advection with clouds. Progged 925mb temps between -6c and -8c
with coldest values in the cpv/slv maybe keep highs only in the
30s with 20s mountains Saturday and again on Sunday...which is 
now 5 to 10 degrees below normal. Expect lows in the mid teens
to mid 20s...but if more clearing develops than anticipated
these values will be 5 to 10 degrees colder.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 320 AM EDT Thursday...Large scale pattern change develops
by early next week...as downstream flow over the western
Atlantic becomes strongly blocked. Large scale models continue
to show a high over low pattern developing downstream...which
places our cwa in favorable sweet spot of building high pres
both aloft and at the surface. This pattern will result in
modifying temps by early next week...with mainly dry conditions
expected thru Tuesday. Given the deep layer from large scale
subsidence...anticipating large swings in daily temps again for
Sunday Night thru Tuesday...with a trend toward above normal
values. Progged 850mb temps btwn -2c and -4c Monday...should 
support highs mid 30s to mid 40s. 925mb and 850mb temps rise 
above 0c on Tuesday with values btwn 2 and 5c...supporting mid 
40s to l/m 50s. Based on plenty of sunshine and thermal profiles
have gone 3 to 5 degrees above superblend. Potential issues 
could be limited mixing (shallow low level inversion) with 
ridge axis directly overhead and remaining snow pack. 
Otherwise...large scale blocking pattern slowly breaks down 
midweek with a chance for mainly rain showers Weds before cooler
air arrives Thursday into Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...TAFs will remain predominantly VFR 
throughout the TAF period. Mid and high clouds will remain in 
place as a coastal low pivots offshore. This cloud cover should
be the extent of the impacts our TAF sites see from this low,
though can't rule out a few flurries at RUT through 12z this
morning. Ceilings will lower to around 4000 ft after 00z Fri as
an upper trough approaches from the eastern Great Lakes. Winds 
overnight at all TAF sites will generally be 5-10 knots from the
north, however wind speeds will pick up during the daytime 
tomorrow. Expect N to NE winds at 10-15 kts with some gusts up 
to 25 kts during the afternoon hours.

Outlook...

Friday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.
Saturday: MVFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Saturday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance
SHSN.
Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA,
Slight chance SHSN.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hastings
NEAR TERM...Hastings
SHORT TERM...Taber
LONG TERM...Taber
AVIATION...Hastings

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