Expires:201806052000;;456637 FPUS51 KBTV 050654 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York National Weather Service Burlington VT 251 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018 VTZ006-052000- Lamoille- Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe 251 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018 .TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs around 60. Southwest winds around 10 mph, becoming west this afternoon. .TONIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph until midnight, becoming light and variable. .WEDNESDAY...Cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. $$ Expires:201806051100;;465055 ASUS41 KBTV 051030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT TUE JUN 05 2018 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-051100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON MOCLDY 54 46 74 S5 29.61R MONTPELIER CLOUDY 50 44 80 VRB7 29.65R MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 49 48 97 CALM 29.62R ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 49 47 93 MISG 29.61S LYNDONVILLE* RAIN 47 46 98 SE5 29.64S MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 52 47 84 S8 29.62S RUTLAND* MOCLDY 52 46 80 SW5 29.64S SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 48 47 96 CALM 29.66S HIGHGATE* N/A N/A N/A N/A MISG N/A NEWPORT* CLOUDY 48 47 99 CALM 29.61S BENNINGTON MOCLDY 45 43 93 CALM 29.67R FOG ISLAND POND* N/A 48 N/A N/A E2 N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A 46 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 50 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 41 N/A N/A W23 N/A WCI 31 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 55 48 76 SW6 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A 54 48 82 S7 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 54 46 76 S5 N/A $$ Expires:No;;457754 FXUS61 KBTV 050721 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 321 AM EDT Tue Jun 5 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A slow-moving upper low pressure system centered across southern Quebec will bring continued cool and unsettled weather conditions to the North Country today and tonight. It appears the best chance for showers will occur this afternoon into tonight, with high temperatures only in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Additional rainfall amounts of a tenth to a quarter inch are generally expected late today into tonight. Low pressure will shift east of the region for Wednesday, bringing gradual clearing and slightly warmer conditions. Drier conditions are generally expected through the end of the week with daytime high temperatures moderating back into the 70s for highs Thursday through Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 319 AM EDT Tuesday...Vertically stacked low pressure system centered across srn Quebec remains the controlling weather feature today and tonight, with improving conditions for Wednesday as system develops into an open wave and shifts ewd. The most widespread showers are expected this afternoon into tonight as shortwave trough rotates sewd from swrn Quebec across nrn NY and VT (on SW and srn periphery of closed, quasi-stationary mid-level low over srn Quebec). In the meantime, expecting moist swly low- level flow to bring mostly cloudy conditions, but just isold showers or a few sprinkles thru this morning. The best synoptic forcing for UVV occurs 20-06Z, and should result in additional rainfall amts between 0.10-0.25" in most locations with shower activity. Activity will wane/shift southeast of the area after midnight tonight. Winds will shift into the NW and N toward this evening as trough axis shifts sewd and thru the forecast area. That said, wind speeds will generally be 10 mph or less thru the period. Low inversion tonight brings abundant low clouds thru sunrise/mid- morning on Wednesday. Should see gradual clearing thereafter with partly to mostly sunny conditions by afternoon with PBL deepening/mixing and high June sun angle. In terms of temperatures...not much warmer than yesterday with abundant cloudiness keeping today's highs in the 58-63F range (about 10 degrees below 30-year climo averages). Temperatures should fall back into the mid-upr 40s tonight, and then moderate with afternoon sun on Wednesday (62-67F for highs). && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 314 AM EDT Tuesday...The region will remain under primarily northwesterly flow Wednesday night, with a shortwave ridge transiting the area. By Thursday morning however, a surface low will track eastward into Quebec, allowing flow over the North Country to become southwesterly. We'll undergo some warm air advection under this setup as the southwesterly flow pulls in some of the warmer air that has been lingering over the central US. Clouds will increase throughout the day as we remain on the southern fringes of the weak Canadian low pressure system. 925 mb temperatures progged in the low to mid teens with a fair amount of cloud cover around support highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Thursday. By Thursday afternoon, we'll start to see some spotty showers near the International Border. Thursday night, a cold front will move through, triggering some additional spotty showers and bringing down some cooler air from northeastern Canada. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 314 AM EDT Tuesday...The long term forecast remains fairly quiet overall with no major systems on the horizon and mainly seasonal temperatures expected. The main feature of note over the northeastern US this weekend will be a stalled east-west oriented frontal boundary over southern NY and southern New England. South of the boundary will reside a fairly unstable air mass and a much better chance for precipitation. However, current thinking is that an upper low over Canada will keep the front suppressed to our south, preventing the more unstable air and precipitation from reaching our forecast area. Have continued some low chance PoPs over the southern fringes of the forecast area Saturday night to account for any potential northward shifts in the boundary, however elsewhere have restricted PoPs to slight chance or below through the weekend. The beginning of the next work week will feature a building omega block over the Continental US with a highly amplified ridge over the central US and troughing over both coasts. Temperatures over the long term should stay pretty close to seasonal averages through early next week. By mid next week however, the pattern looks to shift the warmest air from the central US further north and east, which would bring above normal temperatures to Vermont and New York. && .AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Through 12Z Wednesday...Slow moving low pressure across srn Quebec will bring a variety of aviation weather conditions to the North Country TAF sites over the next 24 hrs. Appears the remainder of this morning will be primarily dry with VFR ceilings, except localized MVFR-IFR at times at MPV/SLK with localized upslope effects. HIR TRRN OBSCD at times areawide. A mid-level shortwave trough rotates sewd around the parent low this afternoon into this evening, bringing increasing chances for rain showers at the TAF locations beginning around 18Z at KMSS, and after 20Z elsewhere. Carried prevailing -SHRA during the afternoon into the evening hrs associated with better large scale forcing. Will also see a wind shift, with winds SW 5-10kts becoming NW-N 5-10kts after 20-21Z. Trend will be toward MVFR ceilings with intervals of IFR ceilings during the overnight hours tonight with TRRN OBSCD. Outlook... Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible early. Slight chance SHRA. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Banacos NEAR TERM...Banacos SHORT TERM...RSD LONG TERM...RSD AVIATION...Banacos - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html