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Expires:201903192000;;592600
FPUS51 KBTV 190821
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
417 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2019


VTZ006-192000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
417 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2019

.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Light and variable
winds, becoming northwest around 10 mph this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then becoming mostly clear.
Lows around 16. Light and variable winds. 
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds
around 10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds
around 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow showers likely. Little or no snow
accumulation. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Rain or snow showers likely. Little or no snow
accumulation. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Snow showers likely. Lows 15 to 20. Chance of snow
70 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Snow showers likely. Highs in the upper 20s. Chance of
snow 70 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 20. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. 

$$


Expires:201903191100;;597790
ASUS41 KBTV 191030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE MAR 19 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-191100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      20  14  77 CALM      30.33R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      15   9  76 CALM      30.30S                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR       9   5  84 CALM      30.31R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     10   5  80 MISG      30.30R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR       6   1  78 CALM      30.28S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    MOCLDY    22  13  70 CALM      30.32R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    25  18  74 CALM      30.31R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    21  18  88 CALM      30.32R                  
HIGHGATE*        N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
NEWPORT*       FAIR       5   2  88 S3        30.30R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      25  20  81 SW6       30.30R WCI  18          
ISLAND POND*     N/A     -8 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      0 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A      0 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     10 N/A N/A W17         N/A  WCI  -7          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     21  12  68 NE1         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     25  18  74 N6          N/A  WCI  18          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     25  21  86 SW1         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;593256
FXUS61 KBTV 190832
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
432 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will persist over the area today bringing relatively 
dry conditions and temperatures slightly below seasonal normals. An 
upper level disturbance moving into the region later today into this 
evening could bring a few snow showers to the Northern Adirondacks 
of New York. South to southwest winds develop on Wednesday and will 
bring above normal temperatures to the region with highs in the 40s. 
The next chance for precipitation will come late Wednesday night 
into Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 432 AM EDT Tuesday...Weak shortwave trough will be 
exiting the area this morning taking with it the clouds and 
scattered light snow showers over the southern third of Vermont.
With high pressure over the area we should remain relatively 
dry for a better part of the day. However...another weak 
shortwave trough in the northwest flow aloft and the development
of weak instability will result in some light snow showers over
parts of northern New York later today into the first part of 
tonight. High temperatures today will be a degree or two warmer 
than Monday.

We will start to see the flow aloft back to the west and southwest
tonight and Wednesday. Warm air advection will result and we should
have a noticeably jump in high temperatures on Wednesday with highs
in the 40s expected. The backing flow aloft will is in response to a
developing upper level trough of low pressure. This feature will
remain well west of the area and thus no precipitation is expected
on Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 432 AM EDT Tuesday...Trends in the data suggest that the 
upper trough axis does not move into the area until Thursday. As
a result...precipitation should be delayed a bit with the first
half of Wednesday night remaining dry. Eventually the 
precipitation moves into the region late Wednesday night and 
especially on Thursday as the upper trough finally moves into 
the region. The increasing moisture Wednesday night in the 
southwest flow aloft should result in warmer overnight 
lows...generally in the upper 20s to upper 30s. Thus the larger 
valleys late Wednesday night should see precipitation in the for
of rain showers while higher elevations and eastern Vermont 
stay cold enough for snow showers. Highs on Thursday will reach 
into the 40s again and thus most areas will see rain showers 
with the highest elevations experiencing snow showers.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 432 AM EDT Tuesday...Models continue to struggle to come
into some closer agreement on the coastal low just east of the 
DELMARVA region. The ECMWF still seems to be the most robust of 
the models with surface low dragging across southern New England
leading to more projected snowfall across NEK and the northern 
Greens, while the GFS keeps the low out over the coastline and 
brings more conservative amounts over Eastern VT, though higher 
than the prior model runs. Friday does show a trough axis swings
through the region with a nice shortwave tracking through the 
region, bringing with it snow showers, mainly in the higher 
terrain and a rain-snow mix in the valleys. Overall QPF amounts 
don't look to be too significant right now, but shifting 
northwest flow mid-day Friday could lead to some overperforming 
snowfall amounts for NEK and the northern Greens through 
Saturday morning. 

The low moves off to the northeast during the day Saturday, leading 
to a rather quiet weekend, though the continued northwest flow will 
keep temperatures seasonably cool with most areas struggling to get 
above freezing. Sunday will see flow shift back to the west-southwest
and high bounce back to normal to slightly above normal.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Upper level disturbance moving across
the area early this morning will bring some clouds and light
snow showers to the area through about 10z...but VFR conditions
are expected. VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of
the period...but a few snow showers are possible this afternoon
at KSLK. However...visibilities will remain in the VFR category.
Winds will be less than 10 knots through the period.

Outlook...

Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. Chance SHSN, Chance SHRA.
Thursday: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance
SHRA, Likely SHSN.
Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance
SHSN, Chance SHRA.
Friday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Evenson

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