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Expires:201903202000;;641334
FPUS51 KBTV 200826
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
422 AM EDT Wed Mar 20 2019


VTZ006-202000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
422 AM EDT Wed Mar 20 2019

.TODAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds around
10 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds around
10 mph. 
.THURSDAY...Cloudy. A slight chance of rain or snow showers in the
morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the mid 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Rain or snow. Light snow accumulation. Lows in the
lower 30s. Southeast winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Rain or snow. Additional light snow accumulation. Highs in
the upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain. Additional light snow accumulation.
Lows in the lower 20s. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Snow. Additional light snow accumulation. Highs around
30. Chance of snow near 100 percent. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Snow likely. Lows around 20. Chance of snow
60 percent. 
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow showers.
Highs in the lower 30s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow
showers. Lows around 10 above. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 30. 

$$


Expires:201903201100;;646355
ASUS41 KBTV 201030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAR 20 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-201100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      21  11  65 CALM      30.34R                  
MONTPELIER     FAIR      10   7  87 CALM      30.35R                  
MORRISVILLE    FAIR       6   3  87 CALM      30.34S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A      9   5  84 MISG      30.35R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR       8   3  80 CALM      30.33S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      21  14  74 CALM      30.34S                  
RUTLAND*       FAIR      19  13  77 SE9       30.34S WCI   8          
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      15  12  88 CALM      30.38R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      22  12  65 S3        30.33S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      11   4  74 CALM      30.32S                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      21  16  81 CALM      30.34S                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     -6 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      1 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     18 N/A N/A W23         N/A  WCI   0          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     27  16  63 S9          N/A  WCI  17          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     27  19  74 SW13        N/A  WCI  16          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     25  16  68 S2          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;640936
FXUS61 KBTV 200817
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
417 AM EDT Wed Mar 20 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Another dry day is expected across the North Country today with
temperatures finally reaching above normal. Look for highs in 
the 40s along with a good deal of sunshine. Our next chance for
precipitation will be on Thursday with rain at the lower
elevations and snow in the mountains. Better chances for
widespread valley rain and mountain snows will come Friday into
early Saturday as a strengthening low pressure system moves into
the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 417 AM EDT Wednesday...Flow aloft backs to the west and
southwest today with warm air advection taking place. This will
allow for temperatures to finally climb above seasonal normals as
low level temperatures warm several degrees from values observed
yesterday. As a result we should see highs in the 40s today with a
good deal of sunshine.

Trends in the data suggest upstream upper trough forming to our west
will be slow to move toward our region. This means there should be a
delay in precipitation across the area with some showers getting
into parts of northern New York well after midnight tonight.
Increasing clouds and moisture within the southwest flow aloft
should keep low temperatures tonight in the mid 20s to mid 30s. The
precipitation over northern New York would therefore be a mix of
rain or snow.

Eventually the upper trough moves toward the region on Thursday and
we will see a shortwave trough also developing to our south that
will eventually move up into our region. This will help to increase
precipitation chances as the day wears on. Highs once again will be
in the 40s for precipitation to be in the form of rain...but
mountain temperatures will be in the lower to mid 30s and thus
looking at some snow. Any high elevation snow amounts will generally
be an inch or less as steadier precipitation does not move in until
the Thursday night through Saturday time period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 417 AM EDT Wednesday...Dynamic support increases 
substantially over the area Thursday night and Friday as 
shortwave trough lifts north up across the region Thursday night
followed by the upper trough moving in on Friday and eventually
forming into a closed upper system Friday night into Saturday. 
Thus looking at widespread precipitation Thursday night and much
of Friday. Temperatures Thursday night will be in the low to 
mid 30s and thus looking at a mix of rain and snow in the lower 
elevations...but snow in the mountains. At this time could see 1
to 3 inches of snow Thursday night in the mountains with an 
inch or less in the lower elevations. Enough warming takes place
on Friday with highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s expected. This
will confine any additional snowfall to the highest elevations 
with rain expected elsewhere. Eventually late in the day on 
Friday we will get on the backside of the upper circulation and 
this will set the stage for a very favorable upslope snow 
pattern Friday night into Saturday with northwest flow bringing 
colder air back into the region and create the optimal 
perpendicular flow to the terrain for additional mountain snow. 
Will be watching this situation closely as we may be needing 
headlines for this event. See extended period discussion for 
additional details.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 417 AM EDT Wednesday...While the models are slowing 
coming into closer agreement, some differences remain. Upslope 
snow showers will continue Friday night and into Saturday, with 
northern counties and higher terrains potentially seeing some 
significant overnight totals. While the GFS is more conservative,
with at few inches of snow, the ECMWF is much more aggressive, 
bringing solid advisory level snowfall through Saturday morning.

Low pressure moves off to the northeast Saturday evening, leading to
a rather quiet weekend, though the continued northwest flow will
keep temperatures seasonably cool with most areas struggling to get
above freezing. Sunday will see a quick reprieve of cold
temperatures as flow shifts back to the west-southwest and highs
bounce back to normal to slightly above normal. Monday and Tuesday
will a return below normal temperatures as next week again begins a
cold start to the week.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...VFR conditions and light winds will 
persist through the forecast period. Light northerly winds 
overnight will switch to the SSW Wednesday morning generally 
less than 10 kts. KMSS may see some gusty winds to 18 kts during
the afternoon as wind channels through the St. Lawrence Valley.

Outlook...

Thursday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Definite RA,
Definite SN, Chance SHRA.
Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Definite RA,
Definite SN.
Friday Night: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with local VFR possible.
Definite SN.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHSN.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Verasamy
AVIATION...Verasamy/Clay

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