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Expires:201907142000;;617433
FPUS51 KBTV 140830
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont and Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
426 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2019


VTZ006-142000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
426 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2019

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy this morning, then becoming partly sunny.
Patchy dense fog this morning. A 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around
10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 80s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 50 percent. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. 

$$


Expires:201907141100;;622239
ASUS41 KBTV 141030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 14 2019

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FAIR      66  63  90 CALM      29.86R                  
MONTPELIER     FOG       59  59 100 S3        29.92S VSB 1/4          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    61  60  97 CALM      29.87S FOG              
LYNDONVILLE*   FOG       60  60  97 CALM      29.78S VSB<1/4          
RUTLAND*       FAIR      62  61  96 SE7       29.89S                  
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      60  58  92 CALM      29.89R                  
HIGHGATE*      MOCLDY    69  64  85 CALM      29.86R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    62  62  98 CALM      29.87R                  
BENNINGTON     FAIR      62  60  93 CALM      29.90R FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     59 N/A N/A NE1         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     61 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     57 N/A N/A W24         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     72  63  73 W1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     72  64  78 SW9         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     66  64  94 E2          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;618044
FXUS61 KBTV 140836
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Burlington VT
436 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Northwest flow aloft develops over the area today and this will
help to return temperatures to seasonal normals today. Partly to
mostly cloudy skies are expected along the with potential for a
few showers...mainly over northeast Vermont. Plenty of sunshine
is forecast on Monday along with the start of a warming trend.
By Tuesday temperatures will be well above normal and humidity
levels will begin to increase. For the middle to latter part of
next week expect above normal temperatures along with muggy 
conditions and daily chances for showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 436 AM EDT Sunday...Today we will be transitioning to
a northwest flow aloft pattern as upper trough over eastern
Canada continues to shift east this morning. Main front remains
upstream and will not reach our area until later this morning
and afternoon. Still cannot rule out the possibility of a few
showers...mainly over the higher terrain of northern New York
and northern Vermont as moisture remains over the area and front
drops down from Canada to interact with it. High temperatures
will be in the lower 70s to lower 80s as partly to mostly cloudy
skies and cooler 925 millibar temperatures move into the area.

Quiet weather is expected tonight as high pressure builds into
the region. No precipitation is expected...skies should
clear...and lows will be in the 50s to around 60.

A warming trend begins on Monday as 925 millibar temperatures
warm a few degrees. Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid 80s
with no precipitation and plenty of sunshine as high pressure
persists over the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 436 AM EDT Sunday...Upper level ridging over the region 
gradually moves east through Tuesday. Monday night will feature 
fair and seasonal low temperatures in the 50s to most of us to 
lower 60s near BTV. These lows may occur early as the pressure 
gradient increases and temps may just be steady or rising later 
at night.


On Tuesday at the surface a weak warm front moves through bringing 
much warmer 850 mb temps up to 18C by the end of the day as upper 
level flow backs to west. Depending on cloud cover max temps will be 
pushing 90 at BTV. Although humidity and dewpoints will be on the 
rise, it will just be a taste of what's expected the rest of the 
week. Carrying just a slight chance of precip with the warm
front.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 436 AM EDT Sunday...The big story for this period is the
heat and humidity. The flow aloft becomes more westerly with 
embedded short waves Tue through Fri bringing chances of mainly 
aft/eve showers and thunderstorms as a weak front meanders 
through the northeast US. It still looks like moisture from 
Barry in the form of >2" pwats will be advected into the region 
beginning Wednesday continuing Thursday to increase the threat 
of heavy precipitation. To go along with the moisture will be 
decent abouts of instability. Whats left of Barry at the upper 
levels looks like it will pass through on Thursday enhancing the
probability of precipitation. Models in general good agreement 
with this overall scenario through Friday. In fact, decent 
agreement continues into Saturday in terms of a frontal passage 
except GFS is much cooler and drier behind the front on Saturday
while the EC is drier but not cooler. MOS supports the warmer 
EC solution. 850mb temps climb to 16-17C Tue-Thu, maybe even up 
to 18-22C by Thu/Fri which would suggest upper 80s to lower or 
even mid 90s late in the week in the valleys but it will depend 
on the timing of any shortwaves and possible convection if we 
realize the full heating potential. Most nights will be warming 
as well with muggy lows in the 60s to near 70.

Outlook...

Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance TSRA.
Thursday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA, Chance TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Sisson
LONG TERM...Sisson
AVIATION...Evenson

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