 |
 |
Expires:202003022100;;370993 FPUS51 KBTV 021120 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont National Weather Service Burlington VT 617 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2020 VTZ006-022100- Lamoille- Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe 617 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2020 .TODAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers this morning, then light rain or light snow likely this afternoon. Snow accumulation a dusting to 2 inches. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. .TONIGHT...Cloudy. Light rain until midnight, then a chance of rain showers or a slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds 15 to 20 mph, becoming west 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph in the morning, becoming light and variable. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain. Light snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Snow showers likely or a chance of rain showers. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. .FRIDAY...Cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers. Highs around 40. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows around 20. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the upper 20s. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 10 to 15. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. $$ Expires:202003021200;;371483 ASUS41 KBTV 021130 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST MON MAR 02 2020 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-021200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON MOCLDY 29 21 72 S9 29.92F WCI 20 MONTPELIER CLOUDY 21 13 71 S7 30.00F WCI 12 MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 17 13 84 S5 29.97F WCI 10 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 11 6 81 MISG 30.01F LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 10 8 89 SW5 29.98F WCI 2 MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 26 21 83 S6 29.94F WCI 19 RUTLAND* MOCLDY 28 23 81 S16 29.96F WCI 16 SPRINGFIELD FAIR 20 15 81 CALM 30.05F HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 31 23 72 S9G16 29.88F WCI 23 NEWPORT* CLOUDY 19 12 76 S9 29.94F WCI 7 BENNINGTON MOCLDY 33 17 51 VRB5 29.96F WCI 29 ISLAND POND* N/A 5 N/A N/A CALM N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A 10 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 25 N/A N/A NW23G38 N/A WCI 10 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 30 25 80 SE18G26 N/A WCI 18 COLCHESTER RF* N/A 30 27 86 S33 N/A WCI 14 DIAMOND ISL* N/A 28 25 86 S17 N/A WCI 16 $$ Expires:No;;371898 FXUS61 KBTV 021140 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 640 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2020 .SYNOPSIS... Today will be the first of several this week with light precipitation expected across much of the area, as well as above normal temperatures. Warm front lifts across the area today, spreading light rain across the region. A cold front will change the precipitation to light snow showers before ending overnight. More light rain is expected later Tuesday into Tuesday night. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 619 AM EST Monday...Some showery precipitation is evident on radar out ahead of warm frontal light rain which will move into our area this afternoon. Winds have already begun to pick up. No big changes for the 630 am update. Previous discussion follows. Warm moist air moves into the region today along a surface warm front. Warm air aloft moves into the area, then followed by warming at the surface this afternoon. Will have a chance of light snow showers this morning, then a change over to light rain by this afternoon. Northeast Kingdom will be last to changeover. High temperatures will range from the mid 30s in the Northeast Kingdom to the lower 40s across the rest of the area. Best chance for rain will be in the Saint Lawrence valley. Mainly a snow showers changing to light rain scenario, but can't rule out a brief period of sleet or freezing rain during the transition. Precipitation will come to an end overnight as surface cold front pushes east across the area. Rain will change over to light rain or snow showers before ending. Rainfall totals will range from just a few hundredths of an inch to almost half an inch in the Southern St Lawrence valley. Temperatures overnight will only dip into the upper 20s to lower 30s. Surface cold front is slow to exit to our east. Tuesday will be a changeable weather day with briefly dry conditions in the morning, but increasing chances for precipitation headed into the afternoon as a low pressure system lifts northeastward along aforementioned stalled frontal boundary. Southwesterly flow develops on Tuesday and an upper level shortwave swings through later in the day Tuesday bringing a chance for rain. Temperatures will be quite warm on the warm southwesterly flow, temperatures will reach the mid 30s to lower 40s. The Southern Champlain and Connecticut river valleys will see upper 40s to around 50. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 340 AM EST Monday...Conditions become aligned for widespread precipitation across the area Tuesday night into early Wednesday. Surge of moisture occurs within the southwest flow aloft over our area as a shortwave trough moves in from the west. Increasing dynamic support results in precipitation spreading from southwest to northeast across the area during the first half of the night before dynamic support/deeper moisture moves east of the area. Area remains in cyclonic flow aloft on Wednesday and this will keep showers around, especially in the mountains. In terms of precipitation type low temperatures will be in the 30s and thus looking at rain or snow with the far northern areas being cold enough for the best chances of accumulations. Looking at 1 to 3 inches late Tuesday night into Wednesday with less than an inch in the larger values and points south where warmer temperatures exist. Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 340 AM EST Monday...Still looking at some lingering showers over the area Wednesday night through Thursday morning, but most will be confined to the mountains. High pressure builds into the region later on Thursday bringing drier weather to the area. The flow aloft will be backing Thursday night into Friday in advance of shortwave trough digging into the Upper Midwest. Eventually this feature becomes even more amplified on Friday and eventually becomes a closed circulation off the eastern seaboard. This time yesterday there was good agreement on the evolution of this system and it appeared the chances for precipitation, mainly snow, would be increasing. But now the long range data is not in good agreement with the evolution of this system. It still looks like the trough deepens and eventually closes off...but where that occurs is in question and this will determine who gets precipitation. Will keep the mention of a chance for snow showers in the forecast later Friday into Saturday and continue to monitor. Highs Thursday and Friday will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s, but highs return to the 30s for Saturday and Sunday. && .AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Through 12Z Tuesday...As a warm front lifts across the north country today, followed by a cold front overnight, we'll have light rain changing to light snow showers before ending. Very changeable conditions over the next 24 hours. Winds have picked up out the south southwest. Some light scattered showers are out ahead of the main precipitation which will be entering the region later today. Best chance for prevailing light rain will be at MSS and SLK. Have mentioned VCSH for PBG and left out mention of precipitation at our other TAF sites for now. A strong southwesterly wind upwards of 40 kts develops near 2000 ft, especially favored during the afternoon hours, will result in strong wind shear and possibility for enhanced turbulence at all TAF sites. Towards evening, rain showers will become widespread at BTV and MPV, while heavier showers affect SLK and MSS where MVFR conditions may quickly deteriorate to IFR or LIFR due to low ceilings. Mist and fog are concerns with the combination of snow pack, temperatures near 40, and high relative humidity. Outlook... Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance RA. Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SN, Likely RA. Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN. Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN. Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHSN. Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Neiles NEAR TERM...Neiles SHORT TERM...Evenson LONG TERM...Evenson AVIATION...Neiles - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html