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Expires:202003022100;;370993
FPUS51 KBTV 021120
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
617 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2020


VTZ006-022100-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
617 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2020

.TODAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers this morning,
then light rain or light snow likely this afternoon. Snow
accumulation a dusting to 2 inches. Highs in the lower 40s. South
winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Cloudy. Light rain until midnight, then a chance of
rain showers or a slight chance of snow showers after midnight.
Little or no additional snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s.
South winds 15 to 20 mph, becoming west 10 to 15 mph after
midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph in the morning, becoming light and variable. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow or rain. Light snow accumulation. Lows in
the lower 30s. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Snow showers likely or a chance of rain showers.
Little or no additional snow accumulation. Highs in the lower
40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. 
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers. Highs
around 40. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Lows around 20. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow
showers. Highs in the upper 20s. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 10 to 15. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. 

$$


Expires:202003021200;;371483
ASUS41 KBTV 021130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON MAR 02 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-021200-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    29  21  72 S9        29.92F WCI  20          
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    21  13  71 S7        30.00F WCI  12          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    17  13  84 S5        29.97F WCI  10          
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     11   6  81 MISG      30.01F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    10   8  89 SW5       29.98F WCI   2          
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    26  21  83 S6        29.94F WCI  19          
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    28  23  81 S16       29.96F WCI  16          
SPRINGFIELD    FAIR      20  15  81 CALM      30.05F                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    31  23  72 S9G16     29.88F WCI  23          
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    19  12  76 S9        29.94F WCI   7          
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    33  17  51 VRB5      29.96F WCI  29          
ISLAND POND*     N/A      5 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     10 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     25 N/A N/A NW23G38     N/A  WCI  10          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     30  25  80 SE18G26     N/A  WCI  18          
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     30  27  86 S33         N/A  WCI  14          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     28  25  86 S17         N/A  WCI  16          

$$


Expires:No;;371898
FXUS61 KBTV 021140
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
640 AM EST Mon Mar 2 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Today will be the first of several this week with light
precipitation expected across much of the area, as well as above
normal temperatures. Warm front lifts across the area today,
spreading light rain across the region. A cold front will change
the precipitation to light snow showers before ending overnight.
More light rain is expected later Tuesday into Tuesday night. 

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 619 AM EST Monday...Some showery precipitation is evident
on radar out ahead of warm frontal light rain which will move
into our area this afternoon. Winds have already begun to pick
up. No big changes for the 630 am update. Previous discussion
follows. 

Warm moist air moves into the region today along a surface warm
front. Warm air aloft moves into the area, then followed by 
warming at the surface this afternoon. Will have a chance of 
light snow showers this morning, then a change over to light 
rain by this afternoon. Northeast Kingdom will be last to 
changeover. High temperatures will range from the mid 30s in the
Northeast Kingdom to the lower 40s across the rest of the area.
Best chance for rain will be in the Saint Lawrence valley. 
Mainly a snow showers changing to light rain scenario, but can't
rule out a brief period of sleet or freezing rain during the 
transition. Precipitation will come to an end overnight as 
surface cold front pushes east across the area. Rain will change
over to light rain or snow showers before ending. Rainfall 
totals will range from just a few hundredths of an inch to 
almost half an inch in the Southern St Lawrence valley. 
Temperatures overnight will only dip into the upper 20s to lower
30s. Surface cold front is slow to exit to our east. Tuesday 
will be a changeable weather day with briefly dry conditions in 
the morning, but increasing chances for precipitation headed 
into the afternoon as a low pressure system lifts northeastward 
along aforementioned stalled frontal boundary. Southwesterly 
flow develops on Tuesday and an upper level shortwave swings 
through later in the day Tuesday bringing a chance for rain. 
Temperatures will be quite warm on the warm southwesterly flow, 
temperatures will reach the mid 30s to lower 40s. The Southern 
Champlain and Connecticut river valleys will see upper 40s to 
around 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 340 AM EST Monday...Conditions become aligned for widespread
precipitation across the area Tuesday night into early Wednesday.
Surge of moisture occurs within the southwest flow aloft over our
area as a shortwave trough moves in from the west. Increasing
dynamic support results in precipitation spreading from southwest to
northeast across the area during the first half of the night before
dynamic support/deeper moisture moves east of the area. Area remains
in cyclonic flow aloft on Wednesday and this will keep showers
around, especially in the mountains. In terms of precipitation type
low temperatures will be in the 30s and thus looking at rain or snow
with the far northern areas being cold enough for the best chances
of accumulations. Looking at 1 to 3 inches late Tuesday night into
Wednesday with less than an inch in the larger values and points
south where warmer temperatures exist. Highs on Wednesday will be in
the upper 30s to mid 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 340 AM EST Monday...Still looking at some lingering showers
over the area Wednesday night through Thursday morning, but most
will be confined to the mountains. High pressure builds into the
region later on Thursday bringing drier weather to the area. The
flow aloft will be backing Thursday night into Friday in advance of
shortwave trough digging into the Upper Midwest. Eventually this
feature becomes even more amplified on Friday and eventually becomes
a closed circulation off the eastern seaboard. This time yesterday
there was good agreement on the evolution of this system and it
appeared the chances for precipitation, mainly snow, would be
increasing. But now the long range data is not in good agreement
with the evolution of this system. It still looks like the trough
deepens and eventually closes off...but where that occurs is in
question and this will determine who gets precipitation. Will keep
the mention of a chance for snow showers in the forecast later
Friday into Saturday and continue to monitor. Highs Thursday and
Friday will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s, but highs return to the
30s for Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... 
Through 12Z Tuesday...As a warm front lifts across the north
country today, followed by a cold front overnight, we'll have
light rain changing to light snow showers before ending. Very
changeable conditions over the next 24 hours. Winds have picked
up out the south southwest. Some light scattered showers are out
ahead of the main precipitation which will be entering the
region later today. Best chance for prevailing light rain will
be at MSS and SLK. Have mentioned VCSH for PBG and left out
mention of precipitation at our other TAF sites for now. A 
strong southwesterly wind upwards of 40 kts develops near 2000 
ft, especially favored during the afternoon hours, will result 
in strong wind shear and possibility for enhanced turbulence at 
all TAF sites. Towards evening, rain showers will become 
widespread at BTV and MPV, while heavier showers affect SLK and 
MSS where MVFR conditions may quickly deteriorate to IFR or LIFR
due to low ceilings. Mist and fog are concerns with the 
combination of snow pack, temperatures near 40, and high 
relative humidity.

Outlook...

Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SN,
Likely RA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight
chance SHSN.
Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Chance
SHSN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Neiles

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