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Expires:202006282000;;978003
FPUS51 KBTV 280826
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
423 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020


VTZ006-282000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
423 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020

.TODAY...Patchy fog this morning. Partly sunny with a chance of
showers this morning, then mostly cloudy with showers likely with
a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s.
Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms until midnight, then a chance of showers after
midnight. Lows around 60. Light and variable winds. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.MONDAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning, then
showers likely with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs around 70. Light and variable winds. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
mid 70s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain
90 percent. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs
in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance
of rain 70 percent. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. 
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. 

$$


Expires:202006281100;;982845
ASUS41 KBTV 281030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-281100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    67  61  81 S7        29.71R                  
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    59  58  96 CALM      29.77R                  
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    60  58  92 CALM      29.73R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     57  55  93 MISG      29.72R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      60  56  88 CALM      29.77R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    65  61  87 CALM      29.73S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    63  63 100 E3        29.75R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    58  56  93 CALM      29.74R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    67  65  96 CALM      29.70R                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    61  59  93 CALM      29.75S FOG              
ISLAND POND*     N/A     55 N/A N/A NE1         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     52 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     59 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     59 N/A N/A SW15        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     66  63  88 S12G20      N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     66  64  94 S17         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     64  64 100 SW6         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;978694
FXUS61 KBTV 280844
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
444 AM EDT Sun Jun 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
An unsettled weather pattern will be taking shape over the
Northeast United States today and persisting right through
Wednesday. This is in response to an upper level low pressure
system that will be sagging slowly southward from eastern Canada
and linger over the Northeast through the middle of the week.
Expect scattered to numerous showers and some thunderstorms
during the afternoon and evening hours each day with highs in
the 70s to around 80 each day.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 444 AM EDT Sunday...Composite analysis shows potential 
for some strong storms over portions of central and southern 
Vermont and southern Essex County in New York this afternoon and
evening. Surface trough and upper trough axes from 850 to 500 
mb will be oriented from southwest to northeast across the area 
later this afternoon. This will provide sufficient dynamic 
support for convection to develop over much of the area. Flow 
aloft within the trough is not that strong and much of the area 
will see deep layer shear around 15 knots. However, in the base 
of the upper troughs somewhat stronger flow will exist and 
portions of Essex County New York and the central and southern 
sections of Vermont will be in the area where deep layer shear 
increases just a bit. Most favorable shear for organized storms 
will be over southern New England where best instability will 
exist. Again our central and southern Vermont and southern Essex
County New York will see CAPE values in the 500 to 1000 J/kg 
range and this is why the threat for a few strong storms exists.
Going forecast of gusty winds and small hail for these areas 
looks good and will continue this idea. Over the remainder of 
Vermont and northern New York, CAPE values will be closer to 500
J/kg and with less shear feel pulse storms will be the mode of 
convection and will continue to mention showers likely with a 
chance of thunderstorms for these areas. Highs today will be in 
the 70s to lower 80s.

Areal coverage of showers and storms will decrease in the
evening as atmosphere becomes more stable with time. Plenty of
clouds will linger over the area and lows will generally be in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Upper low becomes established over the
area on Monday and dynamic support will be favorable once again
for fairly widespread showers and isolated storms. Slightly
cooler temperatures, highs in the 70s to around 80, and more
cloud cover will limit instability. At this point feel storms
will have a hard time getting organized enough for the
development of strong to severe convection. Total rainfall for
the today through Monday afternoon time period looks to be in
the tenth to half inch range with slightly higher amounts over
eastern Vermont. 

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 444 AM EDT Sunday...Upper level low pressure system 
remains anchored over the Northern New York and Vermont area for
Monday night and Tuesday. Showers are expected throughout the 
short term, with a chance of thunder especially Tuesday 
afternoon. Another quarter of an inch to a half an inch of rain 
is expected Monday night and Tuesday, as showery weather remains
over us under upper level low that is nearly stationary. 
Temperatures will remain mild Monday night due to clouds and 
precipitation, and then will stay slightly below seasonal 
normals for Tuesday, also due to clouds and precipitation. 

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 444 AM EDT Sunday...Mainly a persistence forecast from 
Tuesday night through early Thursday as aforementioned upper 
level low remains over the New England area. Temperatures will 
be cool with chances for showers each day. Upper low finally 
pushes east of the region on Thursday, and surface and upper 
level ridges will build over our region through most of the 
weekend. Models still indicating a weak back door cold front 
dropping through the area Thursday night. Warmest air seems to 
remain shunted to our west for the weekend, but some indications
that we'll warm up quite a bit Sat and Sun as well.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06Z Monday...MVFR/VFR ceilings expected for much of the
period with brief periods of IFR ceilings through 12z,
especially over northern New York and southern Vermont. Looking
at scattered to numerous showers between 15z and 02z with
visibilities lowering into the MVFR category at times. A few
thunderstorms are also possible. Winds will generally be 10
knots or less through the period. 

Outlook...

Monday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Scattered SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Isolated
SHRA.
Tuesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Slight chance TSRA.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Evenson
NEAR TERM...Evenson
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Evenson

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