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Expires:202010222000;;646517
FPUS51 KBTV 220736
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020


VTZ006-222000-
Lamoille-
Including the cities of Johnson and Stowe
333 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

.TODAY...Partly sunny this morning, then mostly cloudy with
scattered showers this afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s. West
winds around 10 mph this morning, becoming light and variable.
Chance of rain 30 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Light and variable winds, becoming southeast 10 to 15 mph
after midnight. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 10 to
15 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. South winds 15 to 20 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 10 to 15 mph. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 30s. 
.MONDAY...Rain likely. Highs around 50. Chance of rain
70 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of
rain 70 percent. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow.
Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow. Highs
in the mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. 

$$


Expires:202010221100;;654551
ASUS41 KBTV 221031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU OCT 22 2020

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-221100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    48  45  89 N5        30.26R                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     42  42 100 S3        30.29S FOG              
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    42  41  96 SW3       30.28R FOG              
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     45  44  97 MISG      30.25R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      46  44  91 CALM      30.27R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      46  46  99 CALM      30.26R FOG              
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    49  48  97 E3        30.26S                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    50  48  93 NW3       30.25R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      45  42  90 CALM      30.28R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      45  43  93 NW3       30.27R                  
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    57  51  80 CALM      30.27R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     36 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     39 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     45 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A W33         N/A  WCI  32          

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     54  45  71 NE1         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     54  46  76 E7          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     54  50  87 SW1         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;646952
FXUS61 KBTV 220753
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
353 AM EDT Thu Oct 22 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A surface front wavering over the Northeast will continue to be the 
driving weather feature across the North Country through Friday with 
scattered light showers today, and warm and slightly breezy 
conditions on Friday. A sharp cold front will bring a return to more 
seasonal temperatures this weekend, along with a few additional 
light showers on Saturday. A chilly but quiet day is expected for 
Sunday, before unsettled weather returns next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Thursday...The surface front which brought a fairly
widespread one to two tenths of an inch of rain to central and
northern portions of the region yesterday slipped southward again
into central/southern New England early this morning where it will
reside today. This will provide the region with some slightly cooler
temperatures than yesterday with highs only in the upper 50s north
to mid 60s south. In addition, moisture streaming out of upstream
overnight convection across the Ohio Valley looks to interact with a
lingering post- frontal trough and provide some scattered light rain
showers out of a mid-cloud deck from mid-morning to early afternoon.
Not expecting much more than a few hundreths of rainfall, so
certainly not a washout be any means but cloud cover will thicken
through the morning though so don't expect to see the sun much.

For tonight into Friday, the aforementioned front will once again
trek northward through the forecast area, reaching the international
border by early Friday morning. Overnight temps under mostly cloudy
skies and light winds will remain mild in the mid 40s to low 50s
through midnight before slowly rising towards dawn as southerly flow
increases. Friday will be much like Wednesday was in regard to the
temp profile and stability with soundings once again show 925mb
temps of +13-15C from the Champlain Valley westward and a decent low
level jet of 25-35kts developing. Low levels will be relatively
stable again, so we probably won't see full mixing to 925mb, but
think we'll perform a little better than Wednesday with highs in the
mid 60s to around 70 in the Champlain Valley and Adirondacks, and
low/mid 70s in the St. Lawrence Valley. Across eastern Vermont
though, a quasi cold air damming scenario sets up with cooler
temperatures prevailing in the upper 50s to low 60s. Winds will be
gusty as well in the Champlain Valley like Wednesday, but only in
the 15-25 mph range, except locally higher on Lake Champlain and
over Grand Isle county.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Thursday...Strong cold front still on track to move
through the area quickly, bringing little rain but much cooler air.
Greater chances for showers, totaling up to 0.2", will be in the
pre-dawn hours from the Adirondacks westward. Chances for
precipitation drop off elsewhere, especially in the shadow of the
Adirondacks and Greens in southern portions of the North Country.
Cold advection will be substantial enough to cause temperatures to
reach their maximum values in the morning hours, with early highs
ranging from the upper 40s in much of New York to low 60s in much of
southern Vermont. Combined with breezy conditions, it will be a
blustery afternoon/evening for the North Country.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 352 AM EDT Thursday...For Saturday night through Sunday, leaned
towards colder guidance in the post-frontal air mass, but lingering
low-level moisture during this time period may complicate
temperatures somewhat. The clouds will favor colder highs with
maximum temperatures in the 40s in most locations. Thinking that
generally partly cloudy skies should be the rule during the midday
hours before more, mainly high clouds overspread the area from the
west. After midnight, precipitation chances will ramp up quickly as
pressure falls signify the approach of the next low pressure system.

Temperatures will be marginally low enough, mainly in northeastern
Vermont, to support some light snow as precipitation starts in the
pre-dawn hours. However, with yet another storm track over the St.
Lawrence Valley, temperatures will quickly warm making for a
predominately rain event. While there will be additional
precipitation chances in the long term, Monday currently looks like
the best opportunity for moderately high precipitation amounts, with
northern New York once again getting the brunt of what is
potentially another 0.25" to 0.5" of rainfall.

The thermal boundary overhead will shift to our south and east
Monday night causing winds to blow from the north. This low-level
flow could provide enough cold air to change any light precipitation
back to snow in the mountains, especially likely as one gets closer
to the International Border. Otherwise, expect the cold rain on
Monday to be followed by a smaller chance of showers on Tuesday
across the North Country as the front sinks to our south and high
pressure may briefly build in. Additional widespread rain is
possible on Wednesday as the front lifts back to our north. By the
end of Wednesday, it looks a polar frontal boundary will approach
from the northwest as the weather pattern finally changes to one
where more consistent colder conditions are favored at least in the
8-14 day period (see latest Climate Prediction Center outlook).

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Through 06Z Friday...Mainly VFR conditions are expected through
the period with the exception being at KSLK where light upslope
flow beneath a subsidence inversion has developed MVFR ceilings
which will continue through most of the overnight hours. After
12Z, mid-clouds to the west stream into the region along with
some scattered light rain showers which will have no reductions
in vsby. Winds will be light and variable through the period.

Outlook...

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Monday: Mainly MVFR, with areas IFR possible. Likely SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Lahiff
NEAR TERM...Lahiff
SHORT TERM...Kutikoff
LONG TERM...Kutikoff
AVIATION...Lahiff

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