Expires:202103142000;;942558 FPUS51 KBTV 140712 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont National Weather Service Burlington VT 309 AM EDT Sun Mar 14 2021 VTZ018-142000- Eastern Addison- Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton 309 AM EDT Sun Mar 14 2021 .TODAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Snow accumulation around an inch possible. Windy with highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, increasing to 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph this afternoon. .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow showers. Little or no additional snow accumulation. Windy with lows around 1 above. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Wind chill values as low as 23 below. .MONDAY...Partly sunny in the morning, then clearing. Windy with highs around 17. Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph. Wind chill values as low as 27 below. .MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 3 above. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 10 above. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. $$ Expires:202103141100;;950783 ASUS41 KBTV 141031 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT SUN MAR 14 2021 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-141100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLEAR 31 22 69 W6 29.87F WCI 25 MONTPELIER MOCLDY 27 22 81 NW6 29.86F WCI 20 MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 31 19 61 NW12G21 29.84F WCI 22 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 25 21 85 MISG 29.81F LYNDONVILLE* LGT SNOW 25 23 93 SW5 29.80F WCI 19 MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 25 20 83 CALM 29.88F RUTLAND* CLOUDY 31 22 69 W8 29.88F WCI 23 SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 29 19 66 SW3 29.88F HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 31 19 61 W3 29.87S NEWPORT* LGT SNOW 25 23 91 NW5 29.82S WCI 20 BENNINGTON MOCLDY 31 17 56 SW5 29.90S WCI 26 ISLAND POND* N/A 23 N/A N/A NW7 N/A WCI 15 GALLUP MILLS* N/A 23 N/A N/A MISG N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLCHESTER RF* N/A 34 27 75 W15 N/A WCI 24 DIAMOND ISL* N/A 36 21 55 SW9G18 N/A WCI 29 $$ Expires:No;;943787 FXUS61 KBTV 140800 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 400 AM EDT Sun Mar 14 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Widely scattered snow showers will redevelop this afternoon in a brisk northwesterly flow. Highs will reach the low to mid 30s by midday, with temperatures slowly falling this afternoon, and then dropping quickly into the single digits for tonight. Very low wind chills are expected tonight into Monday morning. Moderate northwest winds continue on Monday with ineffective sunshine as temperatures rise only to the upper teens to lower 20s for afternoon highs. A warming trend is expected for Tuesday and Wednesday, with no significant precipitation systems expected over the next 5 to 7 days. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 345 AM EDT Sunday...A fast-moving shortwave trough south of James Bay will traverse across the North Country this afternoon. Associated height falls and forcing for ascent will combine with developing surface-based instability (SBCAPE ~100 J/kg) to produce widespread snow shower activity this afternoon. In the absence of an organizing boundary, appears snow showers will be cellular in nature, and may see brief moderate/heavy snow across especially higher terrain areas. May also see some graupel in stronger reflectivity cores. Indicated max PoPs of 70-80% across n-central and northeastern VT, and generally 30-70% elsewhere. Snow accumulations generally less than 1" across valley locations, but 2-4" are possible across the higher summits through early tonight, especially across the central and northern Green Mountains. Temperatures by mid-day will reach the low-mid 30s. Thereafter, increasing NW winds and low-level CAA will allow temperatures to slowly fall this afternoon. Increasing pressure gradient and steep surface-based lapse rates will promote increasingly gusty conditions. Looking for widespread 15-25 mph winds, with gusts 32-38 mph during much of the afternoon hours. These gusty NW winds and plummeting temperatures tonight will create areas of very low wind chill values. As a result, have issued a Wind Chill Advisory for the northern Adirondacks and Essex County VT from 05-15Z, where wind chill readings should fall into the 20 to 25 below range. Overnight lows generally -3F to +7F across the North Country. Snow shower activity will generally taper off to just a few mountain flurries by midnight. Monday will feature mostly sunny skies, but unseasonably cold conditions with 850mb temperatures of -20C to -25C at 15Z. Should see highs on Monday in the mid-teens across the northern Adirondacks and across Vermont's Northeast Kingdom, and lower 20s for the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valleys. NW winds will diminish somewhat to 10-15 mph, but temperatures will be 15-20deg below the 30-year climo mean for mid-March. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 317 AM EDT Sunday...Clear and cold weather continues Monday night with 1030 hPa surface high building atop the region. Undercut blended guidance in the Dacks/northeastern VT where deepest snow cover remains, and closer to guidance in the valleys in the absence of a snow pack - mainly +/- single digits to around 10 above. Flow turns light southerly on Tuesday as high slides east leading to a sharp warming trend by afternoon with highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 317 AM EDT Sunday...Consensus continues to build that a nice stretch of weather is in store for the region during the remainder of the forecast period. A weak wave with decaying mid- level warm advection will lift northeast through the region Tuesday night into early Wednesday with possibly a few/spotty light sprinkles or flurries, so continued lower end PoPs in the 10-20% range for this period. Otherwise, the back end of the work week is now appearing mainly dry as this morning's GFS has trended solidly into the ECMWF and Canadian camp which have shown more consistency over the past few days. This argues for another Canadian high pressure center building southward with a mainly dry frontal passage by Thursday, essentially shunting the remnants of the current high plains storm south of our region Thursday night/early Friday. The surface high center then builds atop the region by next weekend with clear skies and nil PoPs. Temperatures remain seasonably mild in the 40s for Wed/Thu, then trend cooler (upper 20s to mid 30s) for Friday behind Thursday's frontal passage before moderating nicely once again by next weekend. && .AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Through 12Z Monday...Periods of MVFR snow showers early this morning will give away to VFR conditions from 11-16Z. Thereafter, instability-driven snow shower activity will become widespread during the afternoon hours. These snow showers should result in brief periods of MVFR or IFR conditions at the TAF locations between 17-22Z, and will likely be most frequent at SLK and MPV. May see a bit of graupel in the stronger cells. West to northwest winds around 10 knots early this morning will become increasingly gusty during the daylight hours. Should see widespread NW winds 15-25kts this afternoon with gusts up to 35kts. Outlook... Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Thursday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Slight chance SHRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...Wind Chill Advisory from 1 AM to 11 AM EDT Monday for VTZ004. NY...Wind Chill Advisory from 1 AM to 11 AM EDT Monday for NYZ029>031-034. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Banacos NEAR TERM...Banacos SHORT TERM...JMG LONG TERM...JMG AVIATION...Banacos - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html