Expires:202103082100;;646797 FPUS51 KBTV 080839 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont National Weather Service Burlington VT 336 AM EST Mon Mar 8 2021 VTZ018-082100- Eastern Addison- Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton 336 AM EST Mon Mar 8 2021 .TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds around 10 mph, becoming west this afternoon. .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of freezing drizzle after midnight. Breezy with lows in the lower 20s. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph, increasing to 50 mph after midnight. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of freezing drizzle in the morning, then partly sunny in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in the morning. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the upper 30s. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy and breezy. Highs in the lower 50s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Windy with lows in the lower 40s. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Windy with highs in the upper 40s. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. $$ Expires:202103081200;;654108 ASUS41 KBTV 081131 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST MON MAR 08 2021 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-081200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLEAR 8 2 76 E3 30.42R MONTPELIER CLEAR 0 -4 83 CALM 30.38S MORRISVILLE CLEAR -2 -7 79 CALM 30.40S ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 2 -2 83 MISG 30.38R LYNDONVILLE* FAIR 1 -2 88 CALM 30.36R MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 5 1 81 CALM 30.41S RUTLAND* CLEAR 6 2 83 SE7 30.39S WCI -6 SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 8 2 76 CALM 30.39R HIGHGATE* FAIR 4 -2 77 E3 30.44R NEWPORT* FAIR -1 -4 88 CALM 30.38R BENNINGTON CLEAR 12 3 67 SW3 30.38S ISLAND POND* N/A -9 N/A N/A CALM N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A -8 N/A N/A MISG N/A LAKE EDEN* N/A -8 N/A N/A CALM N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 5 N/A N/A W16 N/A WCI -14 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURTON ISLAND* N/A 14 9 79 E1 N/A COLCHESTER RF* N/A N/A N/A N/A SE1 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 16 14 93 SE3 N/A $$ Expires:No;;646388 FXUS61 KBTV 080830 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 330 AM EST Mon Mar 8 2021 .SYNOPSIS... A weak frontal system crosses Northern New York and Vermont tonight into Tuesday bringing just a chance for some light precipitation. Warming trend commences on Wednesday on strong southerly flow, temperatures will be well above seasonal normals from Wednesday through Friday. A cold front crosses the region on Friday bringing additional light precipitation, and dropping temperatures back to near seasonal normals on Saturday, below normal on Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 329 AM EST Monday...The first half of today will feature sunny skies and light winds as high pressure crests over our area this afternoon, temperatures will rise into the upper 20s to lower 30s. Winds will pick up out of the south southwest during the afternoon as clouds also move into the the area from the west. This will be in advance of a warm front approaching from the Great Lakes area associated with a weak low pressure system which will track north of our forecast area overnight. As the low tracks north of our area, associated warm and cold fronts are dragged across our forecast area. Not a lot of moisture associated with this system, and will initially have a dry air mass in place. Best forcing will also remain north of our region, closer to parent low. Therefore have kept probability of precipitation to just a chance and mainly in the higher elevations. We dry aloft while moisture lingers at low- levels as the night progresses, so any snow showers could transition to more of a freezing drizzle, especially after midnight. Any snow accumulation would be less than an inch and limited to higher terrain, while little to no ice accretion is expected. Temperatures will likely fall early, then rise or hold steady overnight, especially from the Green Mountains westward, as a west-southwest jet proceeds the upper trough's arrival. Lows will be coldest in the Northeast Kingdom, where it will drop into the mid teens, while areas west of the Green Mountains will remain in the mid and upper 20s. Light mountain snow showers or freezing drizzle will linger into the morning hours on Tuesday. But it will be short lived as another ridge of surface high pressure will edge into our area by Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday will begin our warming trend and temperatures on Tuesday afternoon will top out in the mid 30s to lower 40s. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 329 AM EST Monday...Upper ridge builds into the region Tuesday night and Wednesday. This will promote dry weather with high pressure over the area Tuesday night and then moving east on Wednesday. This will allow for southerly flow to develop and bring above normal temperatures to the area with highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 329 AM EST Monday...Southwest flow aloft becomes established over the area Wednesday night through Thursday night. This will continue to bring above normal temperatures to the region. Temperatures will remain above freezing Wednesday night and Thursday night and highs on Thursday will be in the 50s. High temperatures will be about 20 degrees above normal on Thursday and low temperatures Wednesday night and Thursday night will be 20 to 25 degrees above normal. The weather will be dry Wednesday night, but then increasing moisture on Thursday could bring a few light rain showers to the area, especially across northern New York. Forcing will be a limiting factor. This will change Thursday night into Friday as a shortwave trough moves across eastern Canada and this will bring a cold front into the area during this time period. The threat of rain will increase during this time period, but precipitation amounts at this time look to be less than a quarter inch. Typically this would not be enough precipitation to bring about a flood concern given the extended period of snowmelt due to the above normal temperatures. Nevertheless flood concerns will need to be monitored as we could lose quite a bit of snow later this week. Some of the long range data for river levels suggest mainstem rivers in southern Vermont could reach action stage. A greater concern would exist more on smaller rivers and streams, especially with the potential for ice to break up. The front moves through the area Friday afternoon and the flow aloft turns northwest. This will bring colder air back into the region and bring the snowmelt to and end over the weekend. Looks like some shortwaves want to move down into the region and this could bring a few snow showers to the area, but precipitation chances look low and will only mention a slight chance at this time. && .AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Through 06Z Tuesday...VFR conditions will continue through this afternoon. Clear skies and light winds overnight. After 18Z, some high and mid-level clouds will gradually advance eastward with any ceilings expected to remain above 6000 feet through 00Z, then a gradual lowering through 06z to low VFR or MVFR. Winds will become steadier and out of the south or southwest after 20Z. Outlook... Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance FZDZ. Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. Slight chance RA. Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance RA. Thursday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Chance RA. Friday: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. Chance SHRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Neiles NEAR TERM...Neiles SHORT TERM...Evenson LONG TERM...Evenson AVIATION...Neiles - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html