Expires:202210311500;;372706 FPUS51 KBTV 310711 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont National Weather Service Burlington VT 308 AM EDT Mon Oct 31 2022 VTZ018-311500- Eastern Addison- Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton 308 AM EDT Mon Oct 31 2022 .TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .TONIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers until midnight, then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers after midnight. Lows around 50. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Highs around 60. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Light and variable winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. .FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. $$ Expires:202210311100;;381639 ASUS41 KBTV 311030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT MON OCT 31 2022 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-311100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLEAR 49 27 42 CALM 30.01F MONTPELIER CLEAR 34 26 72 CALM 30.06S MORRISVILLE CLEAR 30 26 85 CALM 30.04S ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 30 27 88 MISG 30.04S LYNDONVILLE* N/A 32 27 80 CALM 30.05S MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 45 29 53 CALM 30.03F RUTLAND* CLEAR 36 28 73 SE6 30.05F WCI 31 SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 32 29 88 CALM 30.07F HIGHGATE* FAIR 48 32 53 S5 30.00F NEWPORT* FAIR 34 25 70 SW5 30.04R WCI 30 BENNINGTON CLEAR 38 25 59 VRB3 30.05F MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 45 N/A N/A SW21 N/A _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS $$ Expires:No;;376464 FXUS61 KBTV 310821 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 421 AM EDT Mon Oct 31 2022 .SYNOPSIS... A very warm and mostly dry week is anticipated across the North Country as a ridge of high pressure continues. A weak disturbance with limited moisture will produce more clouds today with an isolated chance of a light rain showers tonight into Tuesday. Temperatures will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s through mid week, before warming into the mid 60s to lower 70s possible by next weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 355 AM EDT Monday...Fcst challenge is areal coverage of very light precip possible tonight into Tuesday and if any location wl measure. Water vapor shows mid/upper lvl moisture advecting acrs our cwa this morning, with initial disorganized s/w energy over northern Ohio Valley/central Great Lakes. Additional s/w energy is crntly located over the central MS River Valley and wl move into our cwa on Tues. For today, initial 5h energy wl shear apart in the confluent flow aloft, while helping to increase moisture profiles with pw values going from 0.25 to 0.75 by this evening. Just expecting intervals of mid/upper lvl clouds with first batch of energy and maybe some light virga returns over northern NY, but llvls are still very dry. Next 5h vort which is slightly stronger wl move into western PA/NY tonight and slide acrs the southern tier of NY on Tues with slightly better moisture as pws approach 1.0" However, sfc convergence is minimal and 850 to 500mb moisture fields continue to be very disorganized along with progged 850 to 700mb uvv's acrs our cwa. Have continued with schc/chc pops for tonight into Tuesday with best potential for a few sprinkles or a light shower acrs the High Peaks into the mtns of VT. Have noted soundings showing llvl moisture becoming trapped below developing subsidence inversion on Tues aftn, but depth is very shallow < 4000 feet, so not confident in drizzle potential attm. Temps are tricky today with a mild start but more mid/upper lvl clouds, so have stayed close to NBM supporting highs upper 50s to mid 60s. A mild night with clouds and areas of light showers anticipated with lows mainly in the 40s to lower 50s. No significant change in thermal profiles are noted for Tues, with highs back into the upper 50s to mid 60s anticipated. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 421 AM EDT Monday...By Tuesday night, the upper shortwave will depart eastward resulting in northwest flow across the North Country. A brief period of drizzle is possible overnight as moisture aloft quickly wanes, though it is quite possible that we see some combination of fog/low stratus instead. Overnight temperatures will be in the 40s. By Wednesday, high pressure will be firmly in place resulting in dry weather and above normal temperatures with highs in the upper 50s/low 60s. Wednesday night still looks to be the chilliest night of the week thanks to radiational cooling with lows in the 30s. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 421 AM EDT Monday...Above normal temperatures continue through the end of the week as we enter a period of prolonged dry weather and warming temperatures. This is due to ridging becoming anchored off the East Coast. The persistent southwest flow during this time along with steadily increasing winds and dry weather will allow temperatures to warm to near record levels by the end of the week. At this time, daytime high temperatures are expected in the mid 60s to low 70s with overnight lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s. The frontal system that was once progged to bring rain to the North Country next weekend is now looking to remain north of the Canadian border thanks to the strength of the Atlantic ridging. This drier pattern also supports the existence of anomalously warm temperatures through the weekend. While there is now little hope of any meaningful precipitation in the extended forecast, there is still a chance we may see some rain early next week. && .AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Through 06Z Tuesday...VFR conditions prevail at all taf sites through 00z this evening, as intervals of mid/upper level clouds streak from southwest to northeast across the region. These clouds will lower toward MVFR cigs btwn 03z-06z at MSS/SLK with broken to overcast between 5000 and 8000 feet anticipated at the other sites. Winds are light and terrain driven this morning, which result in 140@06kts at RUT, with all sites becoming south/southwest 4 to 8 knots on Monday. A light sprinkle or two is possible toward 06z Tuesday, but no obstruction to vis is anticipated attm. Outlook... Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Taber NEAR TERM...Taber SHORT TERM...Hammond LONG TERM...Hammond AVIATION...Taber - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html