Expires:202304071800;;386988 FPUS51 KBTV 071035 ZFPBTV Zone Forecast Product for Vermont National Weather Service Burlington VT 632 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2023 VTZ018-071800- Eastern Addison- Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton 632 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2023 .TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. .TONIGHT...Mostly clear until midnight, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. North winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 50s. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. .TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. $$ Expires:202304071100;;386816 ASUS41 KBTV 071030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT FRI APR 07 2023 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-071100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON PTCLDY 40 26 57 W5 30.17R TC 4 MONTPELIER CLEAR 39 22 50 VRB6 30.16S TC 4 MORRISVILLE PTCLDY 42 24 49 SW6 30.13R TC 6 ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 30 26 85 MISG 30.10S TC -1 LYNDONVILLE* N/A 37 24 58 S3 30.11S TC 3 MIDDLEBURY* FAIR 39 26 61 S3 30.19S TC 4 RUTLAND* CLEAR 41 24 51 W9 30.19S TC 5 SPRINGFIELD CLEAR 34 27 75 CALM 30.19S TC 1 HIGHGATE* FAIR 40 28 60 W6 30.16R TC 5 NEWPORT* MOCLDY 39 25 56 W14G29 30.10R WCI 31 TC 4 BENNINGTON CLEAR 40 23 50 SW6 30.23S TC 4 ISLAND POND* N/A 39 N/A N/A SW10 N/A TC 4 GALLUP MILLS* N/A 36 N/A N/A MISG N/A TC 2 LAKE EDEN* N/A 37 N/A N/A SW7 N/A TC 3 MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 23 N/A N/A W51G67 N/A WCI 1 TC -5 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLCHESTER RF* N/A 41 32 70 W13 N/A TC 5 DIAMOND ISL* N/A 43 27 52 SW14G25 N/A TC 6 $$ Expires:No;;379689 FXUS61 KBTV 070758 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 358 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2023 .SYNOPSIS... Cooler weather is expected today and Saturday after yesterday's cold frontal passage. Today will be blustery with gusty northwest winds, and there may be a few passing light snow showers or flurries across the Northeast Kingdom. Otherwise, dry conditions can be expected over the weekend and through much of next week. Sunday will see the start of a gradual warming trend with highs to be some 15 to 20 degrees above normal by mid week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 339 AM EDT Friday...A secondary cold front currently lies just to our northwest this morning and it will slowly push southward through the day today. So while we'll start out with some sunshine, clouds will increase by mid-morning as the front and its associated upper shortwave cross our region. Moisture is pretty scanty with this front, so don't anticipate much more than some passing flurries or light snow showers, mainly over the Northeast Kingdom. The bigger impact will be the cold air advection, which will help to steepen lapse rates and enhance mixing. Winds will be gusty out of the west/northwest as a result, with gusts of 25 to 35 mph expected. Mixing will also serve to lower dewpoints this afternoon; have continued with the idea of minimum relative humidities dropping into the 25 to 35 percent range. Given the gusty winds, fire weather concerns are heightened, but overall fuels remain wet, which helps to lessen the threat. Highs today will be in the mid 30s to mid 40s. The chilly weather continues tonight and right into Saturday as high pressure starts to build into our area. Winds will subside a bit this evening, but there should be just enough gradient to preclude optimal radiational cooling conditions. Still, expect lows tonight to drop into the teens and 20s. Thankfully, Saturday will see ample sunshine and lighter winds than today. Highs will be a few degrees warmer than today, mainly in the upper 30s to mid/upper 40s. Dewpoints will once again drop through the day due to mixing; widespread readings in the single digits are expected. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 341 AM EDT Friday...A very quiet period of wx is anticipated as large 1036mb high pres builds directly over our cwa. This large area of high pres wl result in very dry conditions with large diurnal swings in temps btwn overnight lows and daytime highs. For Sat night, given light winds and clear skies have trended toward the cooler side of guidance with lows ranging from the lower teens (NEK/SLK) to lower/mid 20s CPV/SLV. For highs I tried to show a large spread btwn valleys and summits, given dry airmass and steepening lapse rates with values ranging from near freezing to lower 50s depending upon elevation. Next target of opportunity, based on soundings was to lower aftn dwpts toward the NBM 10th percentile, as drier air aloft should mix toward the sfc, resulting in min rh values on Sun aftn in upper teens to upper 20s. Winds during this period wl be mainly light and trrn driven, given sfc high pres wl be directly overhead, so not anticipating any fire wx headlines attm. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 341 AM EDT Friday...Little change in guidance with high confidence of above normal temperatures and dry conditions prevailing for most of next week. The only weather of note, is a minor backdoor cool front on Tues into Weds, but latest guidance shows best advection staying north of our cwa. In addition, a spot sprinkle is possible associated with some increasing mid lvl moisture, but measurable qpf is not anticipated with this feature. The next concern wl be potential for slightly stronger 850mb winds to mix toward the sfc late Tues into Weds, supporting localized higher gusts in the 15 to 25 mph. These winds, combined with near critical min rh's could provide us with some fire wx concerns for Tues/Weds time frame next week, especially acrs lower elevations where snow melt has occurred and fuels wl be drying under mostly sunny and warm conditions. Have trended dwpts toward the NBM 10th percentile for most of next week, given drier air aloft and potential for some mixing toward the sfc. Also, have trended toward the warmest guidance, supporting highs upper 50s to mid 60s Tues, well into the 60s to near 70F on Weds, and upper 60s to mid 70s on Thurs. We will continue to monitor trends and make necessary adjustments to winds/rh's as confidence increases on the potential for mixing for the Tues/Weds time frame. Otherwise, expecting a dry and very warm week ahead, associated with large dome of high pres parked acrs the eastern CONUS. && .AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Through 06Z Saturday...Conditions to remain mainly VFR through the TAF period. Mid/high clouds streaming overhead through 13z, then scattered to broken low cloud deck will develop thereafter, mainly 3500-5000 ft, though KEFK will have ceilings right around 3000 ft. West/southwest winds 5 to 10 kt will turn more toward the northwest through early Friday morning. Winds will increase sharply by 12z, with speeds 10-15 kt with gusts around 25 kt. Winds will subside after 00z. Outlook... Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Hastings NEAR TERM...Hastings SHORT TERM...Taber LONG TERM...Taber AVIATION...Hastings/Neiles - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html