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999
FPUS51 KBTV 170711
ZFPVT

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
311 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

VTZ013-014-171315-
BENNINGTON-WINDHAM-
311 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 MPH OR LESS. CHANCE OF
RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTHWEST WIND LESS THAN 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 50 TO 55.
CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.$$

VTZ001-002-005-009-171315-
GRAND ISLE-FRANKLIN-CHITTENDEN-ADDISON-
INCLUDING ST ALBANS...BURLINGTON...SOUTH BURLINGTON...WINOOSKI...
VERGENNES
311 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH AROUND 50. SOUTH WIND
10 MPH OR LESS BECOMING WEST. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOW
AROUND 40. LIGHT WEST WIND.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.
$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-171315-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING NEWPORT...BARRE...MONTPELIER
311 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW
IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5
TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO
40. LIGHT WIND. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH AROUND 50.
$$

VTZ011-012-171315-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
311 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST
WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO
40. LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH 50 TO 55.
$$




                          National Weather Service

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 170527
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
130 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

"TIRED OF THE SAME THING EVERYDAY"...WELL GET USE TO IT AS NOT MANY
CHGS XPCTD IN CRNT WX PTRN THRU ERLY NXT WEEK.

BIG PIX: WEAKENING VERT STACKED SYSTEM WL CONT TO MV ACRS FA TDY AND
GET BLENDED INTO MARATIMES SYSTEM AND CONT DOMINANT CYCLONIC FLOW
AND EAST COAST TROF INTO ERLY NXT WK.  THE WETTEST DAY (EVERYTHING
IS RELATIVE) WL LKLY BE TDY AS UPR LVL SYSTEM MVS ACRS FA.

CRNT/SHORT TERM: DECENT PVA AND LIFT AHD OF SFC SYSTEM ACCOUNTING FOR
BAND OF -SHRA ACRS HEART OF FA. THEREAFTER...NOT MUCH ACTVTY UNTIL
BACK ACRS OH RVR VLY UNDER H5 TROF AXIS. THIS WL MV ACRS FA LATE
AFTN/EVE WITH SOME DESTABILIZATION FM SUBTLE DAYTIME HEATING.

DRIER PERIOD APPEARS LATE TNGT AND SUNDAY. HWVR...WITH AXIS OF NXT
MINOR S/W MVG TOWARD NRN NY AND SFC TROF ACRS NRN NY...WUD SUSPECT
MORE -SHRA ACTVTY TO DVLP.

FCST DILEMMA: TIMING OF -SHRA ACTVTY IN THESE SITUATIONS ARE USUALLY
TRICKY AT BEST AND SOMETIMES FUTILE. MEANWHILE...DON/T WANT TO
PORTRAY A "WASHED OUT" WKND.  SO...TDY WITH CLOSE PROXIMITY OF
CLOSED UPR LOW WL NOT MENTION TIMING.  HWVR...WL TRY TO TIME SUN
ACTVTY.

INITIAL WORKZONES VIA ADMBTV AVBL ARD 2/215 AM.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW


NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 170127
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
930 PM EDT FRI APR 16 1999

RADAR AND SATL IMAGERY HIGHLIGHT AREA OF RN SHWRS MOVG ACRS OUR FA
ATTM ALTHO WL TAPERING OFF TO A MORE SCT NATURE OVRNGT. WL LEAVE
CAT SHWRS NE VT AND LIKELY MST OTHER AREAS. THIS AREA OF SHWRS ASOCD
WITH WK WAA AND SHRT WV MOVG ACRS SRN NEW ENG OVRNGT. DECENT DRY SLOT
WITH THIS SYS NOTED ACRS ERN PA/SE NY IN SATL IMAGERY. FURTHER W MORE
SHWRS OVR PA/OH HEADED FOR NY OVRNGT ASOCD WITH UPR LO.

MODELS MOVE THIS H/5 LO ACRS ERN GRTLKS OVRNGT AND INTO NRN NY SAT
MRNG. THEREAFTER...THIS SYS OPENS UP AS IT MOVS ACRS THE AREA SAT NGT
WITH AXIS E OF OUR FA DURG SUN. HOWEVER ANOTHER VORT DROPPING DOWN
BACKSIDE OF TROF FM NRN GRTLKS RGN SUN WL MAINTAIN CYC FLO ALFT
ACRS OUR AREA...WITH A GOOD DEAL OF MSTR RMNG ACRS THE RGN.

BASED ON THIS...PDS OF RN HV OR WL TAPER OFF TO SHWRS REST OF TNGT
AND TRIED TO REFLECT THIS IN ZONES. SHWRS LKLY SAT AND SCT/CHC
SHWRS SAT NGT/SUN. CUD BE SOME WET SNW MXD IN ACRS ADIRONDACKS/NE
VT OVRNGT AND SAT.

SEE NO REASON TO CHG PREV FCSTR'S EXPECTED TEMPS THRU FCST PD.

.BTV...NONE.

SFH


NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 161907
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
308 PM EDT FRI APR 16 1999

RADAR LOOP SHOWING FIRST BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS APPROACHING ST
LAWRENCE COUNTY ATTM...WHILE FURTHER EAST BAND OF SHOWERS
APPROACHING VT DRYING UP AS DEW PTS STILL QUITE LOW.  COMPOSITE
RADAR LOOP SHOWING MORE BAND OF SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS PA AND OH
ATTM...SO WILL GO WITH CAT POPS TONIGHT...AND LIKELY POPS ON SAT.
WITH DEW PTS STILL QUITE LOW WE COULD SEE SOME SNOW MIXED IN AT
TIMES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TONIGHT...AS EVAPORATIVE COOLING
SHOULD LOWER TEMPS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN FOR A PERIOD
OF WET SNOW AT TIMES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TONIGHT.

MODELS SIMILIAR IN TAKING CLOSED UPR LOW OVER THE LOWER GRTLKS
AND OPENING IT UP.  AS UPR TROF AXIS MOVES FURTHER EAST THIS WILL
LEAD TO DYNAMICAL COOLING ALOFT...WITH THE CHC OF SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MTS. THRU THE
PERIOD.  UPR TROF MOVE OFF THE CST BY 12Z SUN.  HOWEVER...PLENTY OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEFT IN PLACE AND WITH COLDER AIR ALOFT THE
POTENTIAL FOR A CHC OF SHOWERS THRU EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WITH CLOUD COVER IN PLACE THRUT THE WEEKEND HAVE FOLLOWED AVN FAN
MIN TEMPS FOR TONIGHT AND SAT NIGHT.  NGM MOS MIN TEMPS LOOK TOO
COOL GIVEN THE FACT THAT THERE WILL BE ABUNDANT CLD COVER
AROUND.  HAVE ALSO LOWERED MAX TEMPS FOR THIS SAME REASON...AS
BOTH AVN FAN AND NGM MOS TEMPS LOOK A LTL TOO WARM...GIVEN CLD COVER.


.BTV...NONE.

WGH


NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 161431
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1030 AM EDT FRI APR 16 1999

FCST AREA UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ATTM...SO WL BOOST MAX TEMPS UP A
TAD ACROSS MOST OF THE ZONES FOR THIS AFTN.  CLDS TO INCREASE THIS
AFTN...WITH RAIN TO DEVELOP LATE ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES.  HAVE ALSO
MADE SOME ADJUSTEMNTS IN WND SPDS ACROSS SEVERAL OF THE ZONES FOR
THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT.  LEADING EDGE OF SOLID CLD COVER ON SAT
LOOP CORRESPONDING TO 70 PERCENT RH ON AFOS GRAPHICS I25 AND I2D AT
12Z.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH


NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [1]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


999
ASUS51 KALB 171002
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT APR 17 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-171100-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    41   38   89  S5      29.56S
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    35   35  100  CALM    29.59S
RUTLAND         N/A      39   36   89  SE6     29.57R
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      36   35   96  CALM    29.56S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    38   37   96  CALM    29.61R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    38   37   96  CALM    29.57S
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    41   36   82  SW5     29.59S

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$




                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                       3:45PM, Friday, April 16, 1999
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: James Longmuir_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   This Evening/Tonight: Mostly sunny for the remainder of the afternoon
   with increasing clouds by nightfall. Rain showers will start to
   develop after midnight and may change to snow showers on the higher
   terrain as lows drop into the upper 20's in Granby to the middle 30's
   in St. Johnsbury. Winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 MPH.

   Saturday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. It will be cooler with
   highs only in the upper 40's to near 50 by afternoon and winds from
   the southeast at 5-10 MPH.

   Saturday Night: Remaining mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers
   about the area. Some showers may mix with some wet snow as
   temperatures drop into the mid to upper 30's in most areas.

   Sunday: Mostly cloudy once again with some scattered rain showers
   throughout the Northeast Kingdom. It will be a bit milder with highs
   in the lower 50's and overnight lows in the upper 30's to near 40.

                             Extended Forecast

   Monday: Mostly cloudy with some light rain showers. Highs will be in
   the low to mid 50's and lows near 40.

   Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with the clouds starting to break up by
   evening. Highs near 55 and lows near 40.

   Wednesday: The sun returns with partly cloudy skies and highs pushing
   60. Overnight lows will be in the lower 40's.

                            Forecast Discussion


   After a few nice days with sunny skies and mild temperatures, all nice
   things must come to an end, in Vermont anyway. A high pressure over
   Maine has been keeping our skies sunny and temperatures mild over the
   past few days, but now its time for the high pressure to move on. A
   low pressure over Indiana will quickly fill its place with cloudy
   skies and some precipitation. Clouds have already moved into the
   southern Vermont with some rain showers and these rain showers will be
   pushing into the Northeast Kingdom by tonight. Some areas may see some
   wet snow as overnight temperatures drop to near 30 in the higher
   elevations, but most of the valleys should keep the rain. This will be
   a slow moving system with the clouds and precipitation hanging around
   for the weekend and the start of next week. The sun may return on
   Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday with temperatures back to near 60 by
   mid-week.

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