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190
FPUS51 KBTV 140803
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-141500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
400 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

.TODAY...SHOWERS LIKELY.  A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH AROUND
80.  SOUTH WIND 10 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY.
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.  LOW 55 TO 60.  NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10
MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 55 TO 60.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 75 TO 80.
.TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND
80.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-141500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
400 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

.TODAY...SHOWERS LIKELY.  A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH 75 TO
80.  SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  AREAS OF FOG.
LOW AROUND 60.  LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY.
BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY DURING THE AFTERNOON.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE 70S.
.TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS 55 TO 60. HIGHS 75 TO
80.

$$

VTZ011-012-141500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
400 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

.TODAY...SHOWERS LIKELY.  A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH IN THE
LOWER 80S.  SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  AREAS
OF FOG.  LOW 60 TO 65.  LIGHT NORTH WIND.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY.
HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 55 TO 60.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH AROUND 80.
.TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND
80.

$$

NYZ026-027-141500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
400 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGH IN THE MID 70S.  SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR.  LOW 50 TO 55.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND
80.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-141500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
400 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

.TODAY...SHOWERS LIKELY.  A CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH AROUND
70.  SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.  CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  PATCHY FOG.  LOW 50 TO 55.  LIGHT WIND.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 50 TO 55.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 70 TO 75.
.TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS 75 TO
80.

$$

WGH





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     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 140752
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
350 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE ST LAWRENCE VLY ATTM...WITH MODELS
MOVING THE FRONT SEWD ACROSS THE FCST AREA TODAY...AND THEN
INTO SRN NEW ENG TONIGHT.  THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS SRN NEW ENG
ON SUN...AS SEVERAL WAVES OF LOW PRES FORM ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE
NEWD.  HOWEVER...MODELS SHOWING MOST OF THE PRECIP SHOULD BE SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE FCST AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY...AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRES
BLDS SLOWLY EASTWARD.  WILL LEAVE A CHC OF SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN AND
SOUTHERN VT ZONES THRU EARLY SUN...BUT IMPROVING DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  WILL DROP MENTION OF ANY PRECIP ACROSS ST LAWRENCE VLY
TONIGHT.  HIGH PRES WILL BLD ACROSS FCST AREA SUN NIGHT AND MON.

HAVE FOLLOWED NGM MOS TEMPS AND POPS THRU THE PERIOD.

WORK ZONES UNDER ALBADMBTV IN AFOS/AWIPS.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 140153
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
952 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 1999

PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH PREFRONTAL TROUGH HAS ALL BUT MOVED
OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA.  SOME RAIN STILL LINGERING OVER THE
NORTHEAST KINGDOM...BUT SHOULD BE ALL BUT GONE BY ZONE ISSUANCE.
WHILE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WAS IN THE FORM OF RAIN ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA...CONVECTION DID DEVELOP OVER RUTLAND AND WINDSOR
COUNTIES.  SPOTTERS REPORTS INDICATED LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS...BUT NO WIND OR HAIL.  DAY SHIFT MADE A GOOD CALL ON THE
AREAL COVERAGE OF THE PRECIPITATION EARLIER IN THE NIGHT.  WITH
PREFRONTAL TROUGH SHIFTING EAST OF THE AREA...BREAK IN THE ACTION
IS SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.  WARMING TOPS ON CONVECTION NOTED
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN ONTARIO WITH ACTIVITY
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ACTUAL FRONT WHICH WILL BE SLOW TO PUSH EAST OVERNIGHT.  HOWEVER...
LAPS ANALYSIS OF LIFTED INDEX SHOWS SOME INSTABILITY OVER CENTRAL
NEW YORK AND NOW STARTING TO SEE SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION
REDEVELOPING.  WITH INSTABILITY SOMEWHAT LIMITED  AND FRONT
REMAINING WELL WEST OF THE AREA...AREAL COVERAGE OF ANY ADDITIONAL
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE SCATTERED.  THUS WILL ADJUST ZONE WORDING
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
DEW POINTS HAVE COME UP IN RESPONSE TO THE RAIN...SO FOG SHOULD
DEVELOP ALL AREAS.  WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED A BIT AND WILL REMOVE ANY
MENTION OF BREEZY CONDITIONS.

REMAINDER OF FORECAST LOOKS REAL GOOD WITH SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
FRONT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  THUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE REDEVELOPING AS THE MORNING WEARS ON.  SEE NO NEED FOR ANY
CHANGES TO THE GOING FORECAST BEYOND THE FIRST PERIOD.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 131911
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
307 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 1999

SHORT WAVE/WEAK WARM FRONT WITH ORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS MOVING
ACROSS NORTH COUNTRY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME BREAKS WITH OCCASIONAL
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE WARM SECTOR TONIGHT. DEEPEST
MOISTURE IS IN THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH PRECIP WATER VALUES 1.5 TO
2.0 INCHES.

GRADIENT INCREASING SO 20 TO 30 KTS ON LAKE CHAMPLAIN AND LAKE WIND
ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT.

TOMORROW COLD FRONT EASES SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND SHOULD
BRING AN END TO STEADY PRECIP AT MSS. HOWEVER, CONVERGENCE AND
FRONTOGENESIS GOING ON ALL DAY IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND VERMONT. ETA
SEEMS CORRECT WITH KEEPING PRECIP GOING ALL DAY. OTHER MODELS
PRETTY MUCH IN AGREEMENT.  CATEGORICAL POPS WITH LITTLE DIURNAL
CHANGE IN TEMPS(70S).  PRECIP TOTALS SHOULD BE GENERALLY 1 INCH OR
MORE ESPECIALLY ADIRONDACKS AND VERMONT. AVN AND NGM SHOW AS MUCH
AS 2 INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VT.

SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. NOT REAL SURE HOW FAR SOUTH WAVY FRONT
PROGRESSESS BUT SHOULD BE IN OR JUST SOUTH OF OUR FA.
SO BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP SOUTH WITH LITTLE OR NO PRECIP MSS. HAVE
KEPT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY UNTIL UPPER TROF
MOVES EAST OF THE REGION.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST WITH WARMING TEMPS
TUE AND WED. PROBABLY A WARM FRONT IN THERE BUT NOT CONFIDENT
ENOUGH TO PUT CHANC OF PRECIP IN WITH RIDGING ALOFT. WENT WITH
ENSEMBLE MEANS WHICH ARE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. IF THERE IS MORE
SUN TEMPS COULD BE 5 OR SO DEGREES WARMER.

WORKZONES AVBL IN ADMBTV.

.BTV...NONE.

SISSON





     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/emwinnoaa.htm
   2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


612
ASUS51 KALB 141003
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-141100-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    74   68   82  S12     29.66R
MONTPELIER     PTCLDY    72   65   79  SW9     29.74R
RUTLAND         N/A      72   64   76  S5      29.73R
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      74   70   87  CALM    29.68R
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    71   68   90  S6      29.75R
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    69   68   97  CALM    29.70R  FOG
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    69   68   97  CALM    29.76R

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$



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