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128
FPUS51 KBTV 230821
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
420 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-231500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
420 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

.TODAY...RAIN...TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  HIGH 45 TO 50.  LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST AROUND
10 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 40.  LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WIND.  CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.  SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.  HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 30.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  HIGH 40 TO 45.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 25 TO 35. HIGH IN
THE 40S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-231500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
420 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

.TODAY...RAIN...TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.  LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS...EXCEPT OCCASIONAL SNOW
SHOWERS ABOVE 2500 FEET.  LOW 35 TO 40.  LIGHT WIND.  CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...EXCEPT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY ABOVE
2500 FEET.  HIGH IN THE MID 40S.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  HIGH NEAR 40.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH
AROUND 40.

$$

VTZ011-012-231500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
420 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

.TODAY...RAIN...TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  HIGH 45 TO 50.  LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST AROUND
10 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...EXCEPT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY
ABOVE 2500 FEET.  LOW AROUND 40.  LIGHT WIND.  CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY...WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS...EXCEPT SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 2500 FEET.  HIGH 45 TO 50.  CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 30.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  HIGH 40 TO 45.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 25 TO 35. HIGH IN
THE 40S.

$$

NYZ026-027-231500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
420 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

.TODAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN.  HIGH 45 TO 50.  SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH BY AFTERNOON.  CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR
100 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 40.  LIGHT WEST WIND.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS LATE.  HIGH
IN THE MID 40S.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  HIGH 40 TO 45.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 25 TO 35.  HIGH
IN THE 40S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-231500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
420 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

.TODAY...RAIN...MAY MIX WITH SNOW ON THE HIGHER PEAKS...TAPERING OFF
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  HIGH 40 TO 45.  LIGHT
WIND BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.
LIGHT WIND.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.  HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S.  CHANCE OF
SNOW 70 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 20 TO 25.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 35 TO 40.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH 35 TO
40.

$$

WGH





                          National Weather Service
     Click for - [1]Internet problems during major weather? EMWIN live
               weather broadcast information available here.

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 230813
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
412 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

SAT LOOP SHOWING AREA OF COLD CLOUD TOPS MOVG NORTHWARD AHEAD OF
SHRTWV ROTATING AROUND UPR LOW.  THIS WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE FCST AREA THRU EARLY AFTERNOON...AND THEN
TAPER OFF TO SCT SHOWERS.  UPR LOW OVER GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE SEWD
TODAY AND THEN REFORM OVER NRN ME BY TONIGHT.  NGM MOS AND FAN POPS
IN CATEGORICAL RANGE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND HAVE FOLLOWED THIS.
TEMPS WILL NOT VARY MUCH THRU THE PERIOD AS SKIES WILL REMAIN
CLOUDY...SO WILL FOLLOW NGM MOS TEMPS THGRU THE PERIOD.

BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW FCST AREA SHOULD BE PRIMARILY RAIN TODAY.
HAVE MENTIONED SOME SNOW IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FT FOR TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY...EXCEPT SHOULD BE ALL SNOW IN ADIRONDACKS ON SUNDAY.
BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT COLDER AIR WILL NOT REACH THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT...SO HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY RAIN
SHOWERS SUNDAY...AND HAVE MENTIONED SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ON SUNDAY.  HAVE GONE WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN ALL ZONES
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT...AS AVN SHOWING A SHRTWV DROPPING SEWD ACROSS
THE FCST AREA SUN NIGHT.

AVN ALSO SHOWING A RIDEGE OF HIGH PRES TO BLD INTO FCST AREA ON
MONDAY.  CURRENT EXTENDED FCST HAS A CHC OF SNOW SHOWERS ON MON...
BUT AVN FAN POPS LOW FOR MON.  MAY TAKE OUT CHC OF SNOW
SHOWERS ON MON.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 230133
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
930 PM EDT FRI OCT 22 1999

SATL IMAGERY SHWS WELL DEFINED UPR LOW SPINNING E OF GEORGIAN BAY.
FNTL BNDRY CUTTING ACRS ERN LK ONT/W NY BUT WL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS
EWD AS UPR FLOW PARALLEL.  RSLT WL BE CONT OF RA/SHWRS OVRNGT ACRS
RGN.

COMP RDR SHWS 2 N-S BANDS OF RA AHD OF FNT...ONE ACRS NW NY AND THE
OTHER ACRS E NY/W VT.  AS FNT SLOWLY PUSHES EWD STEADIER RA WL RCH
CT VLY WITH PCPN BCMG MORE SHWRY W ZNS AFT FROPA.  RA WL BE ENHANCED
LT TNGT/ERLY SAT...ESP E ZNS AS SIG S/WV ROTATES NE ARND UPR LOW.
WV IMAGERY SHWS THIS S/WV CRNTLY MOVG INTO VA AND HAS LGTG ASSCD
WITH IT BUT XPCT THUNDER WL BE CONFINED TO SNE CLOSER TO VORT TRACK.
RA WL DMNSH BY MIDDAY SAT AS S/WV MVS NE.  CRNT FCST HAS THIS CVRD
WELL SO WL NOT DEVIATE MCH.

CORE OF COLDEST AIR ALF MVS ACRS RGN LT SAT INTO SUN RSLTG IN STEEP
MID LVL LPS RATES WHICH WL KEEP SHWRY PCPN GOING THRU THE WKEND.
MAY GET COLD ENUF FOR SOME SNW OVR HIR ELEV OF ADRNDCKS DURG SAT
BUT SNDGS SUGGEST ANY SNW WL LKLY HOLD OFF TIL SAT NGT OVR HIR TRRN
WITH SOME SNW SHWRS PSBLY RCHG VLY FLOOR LTR SUN AS A REINFORCG SHOT
OF COLD AIR MVS IN.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 221924
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 PM EDT FRI OCT 22 1999

COMPLEX WEATHER SCENARIO NEXT 72 HOURS...BUT ETA/AVN SHOWING VERY
GOOD RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY.  INITIAL COLD FRONT TO SLOWLY ADVANCE
EASTWARD ACROSS UPSTATE NEW YORK OVERNIGHT...WITH STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS DIMINISHING AND BECOMING WEST EARLY SATURDAY.  COLD ADVECTION
SLOW TO FILTER INTO OUR AREA WITH COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE
UPPER LOW AND PUSHING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH SUNDAY.
THEREFORE DON'T SEE AN ABRUPT CHANGEOVER TO SNOW IN ANY OF THE
ZONES...BUT WILL TRANSITION THE CHANGE DURING THE SATURDAY NIGHT
PERIOD.  PLENTY OF COLD AIR ALOFT (-28C AT 500 MB) WILL POUR OVER THE
AREA IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR.  THIS WILL PROVIDE STEEP
LAPSE RATES FOR SHOWERS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...IN BETWEEN
INITIAL PRECIP TONIGHT AND THE WRAPAROUND BAND EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY.

3 TO 5 DAY...TURNING MUCH COLDER SUNDAY NIGHT BUT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
FOLLOWS TO REINFORCE THE COLD AIR ON MONDAY.  WILL KEEP GOING
FORECAST OF CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER
CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW.  MODELS INDICATING RIDGING TUESDAY...THEN
THERE'S SOME EVIDENCE OF ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ON WEDNESDAY WITH SOME
WARM ADVECTION PRECIP IMPLIED.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [2]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


287
ASUS51 KALB 231003
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-231100-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  45   44   96  NW8     29.42F
MONTPELIER     LGT RAIN  44   44  100  NW5     29.42F
RUTLAND         N/A      45   45  100  CALM    29.38F  VSB 1/2
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      45   45  100  CALM    29.38F
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  46   45   96  CALM    29.38F
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  45   44   96  CALM    29.41F
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  44   43   96  W10     29.39F

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      5:00 Pm, Friday October 22, 1999
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Jason Dollard_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Tonight: Cloudy and windy with rain developing around midnight. Lows
   will be in the mid to upper 40's with winds out of the South at 5 to
   10 mph.

   Saturday: Cloudy with rain for much of the day, but it will be
   tapering off to light scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs will
   be in the mid 40's with winds out of the Southwest at 5 to 10 mph.

   Saturday Night: Cloudy with scattered rain showers. Winds will be out
   of the Northwest at 10 to 15 mph, so we will have cooler air working
   its way in. As a result, we may see that rain turn into a mix of rain
   and snow with all snow in the higher elevations. Overnight lows will
   be in the low to mid 30's.

   Sunday: A cool and windy day for the Northeast. We will have cloudy
   skies with scattered rain showers and possibly scattered snow showers
   depending on how warm temperatures get during the day. Highs will be
   in the upper 30's near 40, with lows in the upper 20's to lower 30's.
   Winds will be out of the Northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

                             Extended Forecast

   Monday: A cool cloudy day with the chance of scattered snow showers
   early, then things start to clear out and improve slightly. Highs will
   be in the upper 30's with lows in the low to mid 20's.

   Tuesday: Partly cloudy skies early, but mostly cloudy late as a cold
   front moves near the region. Highs will be in the low to mid 40's with
   lows in the low to mid 20's.

   Wednesday: Mostly cloudy skies with the chance of scattered rain
   showers early and possibly snow showers in the high country as a cold
   front grazes the Northeast Kingdom. Highs will be in the upper 30's
   right near 40 with lows in the lower 20's.

                            Forecast Discussion


   Clouds continue to work their way into the region today out ahead of a
   cold front that is now in Western New York. This front and its
   associated low pressure center in Southen Canada will plague our
   weather for most of the weekend. The rains will start late tonight
   around midnight and continue into much of Saturday. Rain may be heavy
   at times, so do be carefull if driving. Saturday and into Saturday
   night, the rains will be lighter than what we saw earlier in the day
   as that area of low pressure and its cold front continue to slowly
   move out of the region. Any rain Saturday night and into Sunday might
   change over to a mix of rain and snow or all snow, especially in the
   higher elevations. The reason for this is that the counter-clockwise
   wind flow around our low pressure center will help bring some much
   cooler Canadian air into the region which will help keep temperatures
   near or below freezing. The unsettled weather diminishes Sunday
   afternoon, but we may see some lingering rain showers or snow flurries
   Sunday night and into very early Monday. Then we have to watch for
   Tuesday night and into Wednesday as our next weather maker will be
   knocking on our door.

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