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193
FPUS51 KBTV 250802
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-251500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
400 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH
45 TO 50.  NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH
BY AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 35 TO 40.  SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  BREEZY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.  CHANCE OF RAIN
40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW 35 TO 40.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE 30S.  HIGH
IN THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH AROUND 50.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-251500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
400 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN
THE MID 40S.  NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 30 TO 35.  LIGHT SOUTH WIND.
.TUESDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE IN THE DAY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.  CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER
30S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH
IN THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW 25 TO 35.  HIGH IN THE 40S.

$$

VTZ011-012-251500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
400 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH
AROUND 50.  NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 30 TO 35.  CALM.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 30 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE 30S.  HIGH
IN THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE LOWER 30S.  HIGH 50 TO 55.

$$

NYZ026-027-251500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
400 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH
AROUND 50.  NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 35 TO 40.  SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.  CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH
IN THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW 25 TO 35.  HIGH AROUND 50.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-251500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
400 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 40
TO 45.  NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW AROUND 30.  LIGHT WIND.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  HIGH AROUND 50.  CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW AROUND 30.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  LOW 25 TO 30.  HIGH IN
THE 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH IN THE 40S.

$$

WGH





                          National Weather Service
     Click for - [1]Internet problems during major weather? EMWIN live
               weather broadcast information available here.

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 250758
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
356 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS FCST AREA ATTM...BUT CLEARING WORKING ITS
WAY SEWD ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE VLY.  WILL START OUT FCST AS MOSTLY
CLOUDY EARLY AND THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  TONIGHT...A WARM
FRONT BEGINS TO SET UP OVER AREA WITH CLOUDS MOVG SEWD FROM
CANADA...SO WILL GO WITH PARTLY CLOUDY FOR TONIGHT.  TEMPS
WILL NOT BE AS COLD TONIGHT ACROSS FCST AREA...AS MODELS
SHOW WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT WILL DEVELOP ACROSS FCST AREA AFT 00Z.
FAN AND MOS TEMPS IN AGREEMENT FOR TEMPS IN THE 50S ON TUESDAY
AHEAD OF A STG SHRTWV APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
ETA GIVING NO PRECIP ACROSS FCST AREA TUES...WHILE NGM...AVN AND
CANADIAN GEM MODEL ALL SHOW MEASURABLE PRECIP ACROSS FCST AREA BY
LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH QUITE LIGHT.  INTERESTINGLY...AVN
FAN POPS LOWER THAN NGM MOS POPS FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

AVN FAN AND NGM MOS TEMPS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT THRU THE PERIOD AND
FOLLOWED.  HAVE LEANED TOWARDS THE HIGHER NGM MOS POPS THRU THE
PERIOD.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 250045
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
842 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 1999

LONGER LOOP OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ENTIRE FORECAST AREA IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  TAIL END OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE
NORTHERN HALF OF MAINE.  THIS HAS HELPED TO PRODUCE SOME SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  RECEIVED A
REPORT FROM WEST DANVILLE IN NORTHEAST VERMONT OF SOME SNOW
FLURRIES WITH OFF AND ON FLURRIES IN LAKE PLACID AND SARANAC LAKE.
DRIER AIR UPSTREAM BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT.  ALREADY SEEING THE CLOUD SHIELD ERODING OVER THE SOUTH
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF QUEBEC THIS EVENING.  GOING FORECAST HAS
EXCELLENT TREND ON RELATIVELY CLOUDY CONDITIONS OVER THE FORECAST
AREA TO START WITH GRADUAL CLEARING LATE.  WILL ONLY HAVE TO MAKE
VERY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO FIRST PERIOD TIMING USING MIDNIGHT AS THE
TURNING POINT WHEN CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO START DIMINISHING.
HOWEVER...IDEAS FROM DAY SHIFT WILL STILL REMAIN IN TACT.
TEMPERATURE AND WIND FORECASTS LOOK REAL GOOD TOO AND SEE NO NEED TO
MAKE ANY CHANGES THERE.

REMAINDER OF FORECAST LOOKS REAL GOOD AS WELL WITH DRY DAY FOR
MONDAY.  HOWEVER THERE SHOULD STILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS AROUND.
NEXT UPSTREAM TROUGH SHARPENS UP JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES COME
TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVES QUICKLY INTO NEW ENGLAND.  WITH
DRIER AIR OVER THE AREA AND RELATIVELY QUICK MOVEMENT OF THE
SYSTEM...ANY LIGHT PRECIPITATION THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.  ONCE AGAIN...THIS SCENARIO
COVERED WELL IN GOING FORECAST.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV BY 850 PM

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 241916
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
313 PM EDT SUN OCT 24 1999

SFC CYCLONIC FLOW TO BECOME MORE ANTI-CYCLONIC WITH TIME ACRS FA
THRU 12Z MON. WK SFC RIDGE NOSES IN FROM THE WEST ON MON. NEXT
CLIPPER SYS TO SLIDE DOWN ACRS ONT AND INTO WESTERN QUE ON
MON/MON NITE. ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYS WILL BE SWEEPING ACRS THE
GREAT LKS REGION ON MON NITE.

PROBS ARE WHEN DO THE CLDS ROLL OUT OF HERE AND WHETHER OR NOT TO
INCLUDE ANY PCPN FOR TUE.

PLENTY OF PESKY LOW CLDS/MOISTURE AROUND FA ATTM. EVEN A FEW WEAK
RETURNS ON KCXX 88D RIGHT NOW MOVING ACRS THE ADIRONDACKS/CENTRAL
VT. SLK/MPV/MVL ALL HAVE HAD ON AGAIN/OFF AGAIN -SHRASN TDY. SAT PIX
SHOW A FEW BREAKS OVR EASTERN NEW YORK...WITH EVEN A FEW BREAKS OF
SUN OUT THE WINDOW HERE AT BTV THIS AFT.

NO CURRENT RUC TO LOOK AT IN N-AWIPS...BUT THIS LOW LVL MOISTURE
(AOB H85) SHUD HANG AROUND THRU 12Z MON ACRS THE NORTH COUNTRY. 12Z
ETA CLD PRODUCT SHOWS THIS NICELY.

H5 L/W TROF TO MOV OFF THE NEW ENG COAST TONITE. WTR VAP LOOP SHOWS
SECONDARY S/W TROF DIVING SE ACRS QUE (TO THE SE OF JAMES BAY). THIS
FEATURE FORECAST BY THE ETA TO JUST BARELY CLIP NE VT 00Z-06Z TIME
FRAME TONIGHT AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN ME.

H85 WAA STARTS 06Z MON AND CONTINUES THROUGH 09Z TUE...MAXING OUT AT
AROUND 00Z TUE. 1000-850MB LAPSE RATES ARE HIGH FOR THE 12Z-18Z MON
TIME FRAME. ANY CLEARING THAT WE SEE LATE TONIGHT MAY END UP
FILLING IN DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS TOMORROW WITH SOME CU/SC.

ETA/CANADIAN GEM SHOWS LT PCPN ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE ST LAW VLY BY
AROUND 12Z TUE. 925MB TEMPS/BUFKIT SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT ANY PCPN
THAT FALLS ON TUE WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RA. 12Z AVN HAS STRONG H5
TROF MOVING IN ACRS NORTHERN NY FROM THE NW BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND 00Z
WED. MOST OF THE DYNAMIX/MOISTURE WITH THIS SYS WILL BE UP IN
CANADA...BUT FEEL THAT A LOW CHC POP FOR NORTHERN ZONES IS IN ORDER
WITH SFC FRONTAL PASSAGE BY LATE IN THE DAY TUE.

DIDN/T END UP STRAYING TOO FAR FROM MOS TEMPS IN THE SHORT TERM.

THIS THINKING PRETTY MUCH IN LINE WITH CURRENT FORECAST. BASICALLY
JUST ADDED SOME MORE CLDS TO THE TONIGHT/MONDAY FORECAST AND LEFT
OUT ANY -SHRA FROM SRN VT ON TUE.

IN THE EXTENDED...ZONAL FLOW BRINGS THE WEATHER SYSTEMS IN FAST AND
FURIOUS. WED...NEXT CLIPPER SYS MOVES OUT AS A HI PRESS RIDGE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. THU...ANOTHER FRONTAL SYS MOVES THROUGH FROM THE
WEST AS YET ANOTHER STORM TRACKS ACROSS CANADA. THICKNESSES
INDICATE A CHANCE FOR EITHER RA OR SN THEN. BIG HI PRESS FOR FRI.

WORK ZONES ON THE STREET. REAL ZONES IN A WHILE AFTER A FEW TWEAKS
AND A LOOK AT 17Z LAMP DATA/12Z AVN MOS.

BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [2]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


020
ASUS51 KALB 251003
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-251100-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    35   24   64  NW12    30.02R  WCI 21
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    30   21   69  W12     30.01R  WCI 14
RUTLAND         N/A      36   25   64  NW6     29.99R
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      32   22   66  CALM    29.97R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    36   23   59  VRB6    30.00R
MORRISVILLE    FLURRIES  32   21   63  NW9     30.01R  WCI 20
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    33   24   69  VRB6    30.01R  WCI 27

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      10:45PM Sunday October 24, 1999
                     STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Daryl Caver_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Tonight: Skies will begin clearing after midnight. Lows will be in the
   upper 20's to the low 30's.

   Monday: Will have a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will be gusty. High's
   will be in the upper 40's to near 50.

   Monday Night: Clouds will be on the increase. Lows will be in the
   upper 20's to lower 30's.

   Tuesday: A mostly cloudy day with a slight chance of some rain late.
   Highs will be in the upper 40's to near 50. Lows will be in the low to
   mid 30's.

                             Extended Forecast

   Wednesday: It will clear out once again leaving us with a partly sunny
   day. Highs in the mid to upper 40's. Lows in the mid 30's.

   Thursday: Once again clouds will be on the increase. A chance of some
   scattered rain or snow showers during the day. Highs will be in the
   mid to upper 40's. Lows will be in the upper 20's to lower 30's.

   Friday: Clouds will begin to clear out once again, leaving us with a
   partly sunny day. Highs will be in the mid to upper 40's and lows will
   be near 30.

                            Forecast Discussion


   A weak trough moves in on Tuesday bringing usa slight chance of some
   rain. Thursday a cold front moves across Northern New England bringing
   us a chance of scattered rain or snow showers. The rest of the week it
   will remain dry and it will also be cloudy and sunny throughout the
   week. Wednesday is the best day for any outdoor activities.

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