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260
FPUS51 KBTV 260805
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-261500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BECOMING BREEZY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTH WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 35 TO 40.  SOUTHWEST WIND BECOMING
NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 40S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 50 TO 55.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH AROUND 50.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-261500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.  SOUTHWEST WIND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  A CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES.  LOW IN
THE MID 30S. LIGHT WIND.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 40S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH AROUND 50.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW 25 TO 35.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S.

$$

VTZ011-012-261500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.  SOUTHWEST WIND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.  LIGHT WIND.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  HIGH AROUND 50.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE LOWER 30S.  HIGH 50 TO 55.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

NYZ026-027-261500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BECOMING BREEZY.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.  WEST WIND 5 TO 10
MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 40S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH AROUND 50.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW 25 TO 35.  HIGH AROUND 50.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW AROUND 30.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-261500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
400 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BECOMING BREEZY.  HIGH AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  A CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES.  LOW IN
THE LOWER 30S.  LIGHT WIND.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 20S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 45 TO 50.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 20S.  HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S.

$$

WGH





                          National Weather Service
     Click for - [1]Internet problems during major weather? EMWIN live
               weather broadcast information available here.

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 260743
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
340 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

SAT LOOP SHOWING VORT MAX JUST N OF THE GREAT LAKES ATTM OVG E...
WITH JUST HIGH CLDS EXTENDING S AND E OF THE VORT MAX INTO NEW ENG.
ETA/NGM SHOWING NO MEASURABLE PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND GIVEN
THAT THERE ARE ONLY HIGH CLDS S OF THE VORT MAX...WILL DROP
MENTION OF SPRINKLES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE ZONES.  WILL
GO WITH PARTLY SUNNY FOR TODAY...AND PARTLY CLOUDY FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRES TO BLD ACROSS THE FCST AREA ON WED.

HAVE FOLLOWED NGM MOS TEMPS THRU THE PERIOD.

ON EXTENDED...NEW AVN THRU 72 HRS HAS THE NEXT SHRTWV AND VORT MAX
FOR THU MOVG E ACROSS CANADA...WITH ANY MEASURABLE PRECIP FOR THU
CONFINED TO CANADA.  THIS NEXT SYSTEM ALSO APPEARS TO BE
STARVED FOR MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE BORDER...SO WILL DROP MENTION OF
SHOWERS ON EXTENDED FCST FOR THU AND GO WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES.
HAVE ALSO RAISED MAX TEMPS FOR THU INTO THE 50S PER NEW AVN FAN
GUIDANCE.  THE NEXT SYSTEM FOR THU SHOULD BRING SIMILIAR MAX TEMPS
FOR THU JUST LIKE WE WILL SEE FOR TODAY.

WINDS SHOULD PICK UP TODAY AS LOW LEVEL INVERSION IS BROKEN
LATER THIS MORNING...SO WILL PUT UP A LAKE WIND ADIVISORY FOR LAKE
CHAMPLAIN FOR TODAY.

.BTV...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FOR LAKE CHAMPLAIN FOR TODAY.

WGH





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 260100
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
857 PM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

BAND OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH 850 MB WARM AIR ADVECTION HAS EITHER
DIMINISHED OR MOVED EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA.  THIS CAN BEST BE
SEEN IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN LIFTS
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA.  THUS SKIES HAVE BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR ALL
AREAS AND UPSTREAM CLOUDS ARE NOTHING MORE THAN SOME HIGH CLOUDS.
GOING FORECAST HAD TREND OF SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AND SEE NO
REASON TO DEVIATE FROM THAT THINKING.  NOW THAT AREA IS IN THE WARM
SECTOR...SURFACE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST.  WARMER AIR IS NOT TOO
FAR AWAY BASED ON 00Z SURFACE ANALYSIS.  TEMPERATURES ARE GENERALLY
IN THE 40S OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK AND THIS AIR TO
EVENTUALLY ADVECT INTO THE FORECAST AREA.  BUFKIT SOUNDING DATA
SHOWS LOW LEVEL INVERSION TO EVENTUALLY BE OVERCOME BY AMOUNT OF
WARMER AIR JUST OFF THE SURFACE.  THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN WINDS OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING...
ESPECIALLY IN THE ST. LAWRENCE AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS.  WILL
INDICATE THIS TREND IN RISING TEMPERATURES TOWARD MORNING.

DESPITE POTENT LOOK TO SHORTWAVE TROUGH JUST NORTH OF THE UPPER
MIDWEST...MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM.  PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES REMAIN LESS THAN SIX TENTHS OF AN INCH.  THUS IT WILL TAKE
DYNAMIC FORCING TO HELP GENERATE MOISTURE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE
PRECIPITATION.  AS SHORTWAVE WEAKENS WITH TIME AS IT MOVES EAST...
STRONGEST FORCING REMAINS NORTH OF THE BORDER. THUS NORTHERN TIER OF
ZONES SHOULD SEE ANY POTENTIAL FOR SOME VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION.
DAY SHIFT FORECAST DEFINITELY HAS RIGHT IDEA WITH ANY PRECIPITATION
ESSENTIALLY BEING IN THE FORM OF SPRINKLES. SEE NO NEED FOR ANY
CHANGES BEYOND THE FIRST PERIOD...AND THOSE CHANGES WILL BE VERY
MINOR.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV BY 900 PM

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.





     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 251926
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
323 PM EDT MON OCT 25 1999

COORD WITH YUL.

SO MUCH FOR OUR NICE MONDAY WX. A FEW FLURRIES REPORTED AT
SLK/MVL/BTV AND PROLLY ALSO AT OUR WANAKENA MESONET STATION. HAVE
HANDLED THESE WITH THE STF.

NOTED THAT IN THE CANADIAN YUL AREA FORECAST THE POPS WERE DROPPED
DOWN A CATEGORY. THIS DUE TO TO THEIR THINKING THE STORM FOR TUE/TUE
NITE WILL BE TRACKING A LIL FURTHER TO THE NORTH. ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS
CRANKED OUT BY THEIR MODELS FOR THE U.S. SIDE OF THE BORDER.

WK SFC RIDGE TO MOVE EAST ACRS EASTERN NEW ENG AND EASTERN CANADA
TONITE AS SFC LO PRESS TRACKS ACRS ONT AND INTO WESTERN QUE. THIS LOW
TO MOVE ACRS QUE ON TUE...AS A WK (AND SO FAR DRY) FRONTAL SYS
SWEEPS ACRS FA LATER ON TUE. 2NDARY TROF ROTATES DOWN ACRS FA ON TUE
NITE. BIG RIDGE OF HI PRESS BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST FOR WED. STRONG
H5 TROF TO MOVE DOWN ACRS ONT TONITE AND INTO FA ON TUE...BEFORE
SWINGING OUT TO THE EAST ON TUE NITE.

PROBS ARE WHETHER THERE/LL BE ANY MEASURABLE PCPN FROM THIS NEXT
SYS. PTYPE COULD ALSO BE A PROB ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE FNT.

TODAY/S LOW/MID LVL CLOUDINESS TRACKING NE ACRS FA ATTM. SHUD
CLEAR THROUGH THE BTV AREA BY AROUND 21-22Z TIME FRAME. WILL HOLD
ZONES TILL THE LAST MIN TO ALLOW FOR CLEARING TO MOVE ACRS AS
MUCH AS THE FA AS POSSIBLE. EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FA SHUD SEE SOME
SUN (FINALLY) EARLIER ON TUE BEFORE THE CLDS COME BACK IN.

ETA/NGM KEEP THE DEEP MOISTURE (1000-500MB) AND MEASURABLE PCPN
ASSOCIATED WITH FRONTAL SYS TUE NORTH OF THE BORDER. IT JUST BRUSHES
OUR BORDER ZONES BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z WED.

LOTS OF LOW LVL (AOB H85) MOISTURE PRESENT IN THE NGM/ETA BOTH AHEAD
(AND ESPECIALLY BEHIND) THE FRONT...FROM 12Z TUE ONWARD. FA WILL BE
UNDER WAA THRU 12Z TUE AS WELL...WITH THE MAX WAA OCCURRING NORTH OF
THE BORDER.

AM NOT COMFORTABLE WITH LACK OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYS SO
FAR...SO HAVE GONE FOR ONLY SPRINKLES IN THE VLYS AND A LOW CHC POP
FOR -SHRA IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAIN ZONES. QPF VERY LOW...SO ANY PCPN
THAT FALLS WON/T BE MUCH TO WRITE HOME ABOUT. BEST CHC FOR PCPN
SHUD BE IN THE MOUNTAINS DUE TO OROGRAPHY...IF ANYWHERE. CHAMP VLY
MAY GET DOWNSLOPED TOMORROW AS WELL. FRONT TO MOVE THRU THE CHAMP VLY
JUST BEFORE 00Z WED. SOUTHERN VT ZONES DEFINITELY STILL WILL SEE NO
PCPN AT ALL.

BY THE TIME THE COLDER AIR GETS INTO THE FA LATER ON TUE NITE...THE
PCPN SHUD BE OVER...SO NO CHC FOR ANY LITE SN SEEN ATTM. 925MB WET
BULB/AIR TEMPS START TO FALL BELOW 0 DEG C BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z WED.
ANY LES TO STAY TO THE SOUTH OF FA WITH FLOW ALOFT BEING W-NW.

IN THE EXTENDED...ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH FROM THE
WEST FOR THU. THICKNESSES INDICATE JUST A CHC FOR RA. HI PRESS FOR
FRI...AND THIS HI TO MOVE OUT TO THE EAST OF THE FA DURING THE DAY ON
SAT. STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW OF AIR ACRS FA ON SAT.

WORK ZONES GONE. REAL ZONES TO FOLLOW AFTER A FEW TWEAKS.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [2]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


168
ASUS51 KALB 261002
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 26 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-261100-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    45   30   55  S17G23  29.89F
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    38   30   73  S8      29.96F
RUTLAND         N/A      36   28   72  SE13    29.96S
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      28   26   92  CALM    29.95F
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    27   25   92  CALM    30.03S
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    29   28   96  CALM    29.92F
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    30   28   92  CALM    30.00R

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$




                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      10:45PM Monday October 25, 1999
                     STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Daryl Caver_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Tonight: There will be a few clouds in the area otherwise it looks to
   be a mostly clear night. There is a chance of some patchy fog. Lows
   will be in the upper teens in the colder hollows to the mid 20's
   elsewhere.

   Tuesday: Will start out with a mostly sunny day. Winds will start to
   pick up and becoming out of the south at 5-15 mph. Highs in the low to
   mid 50's.

   Tuesday Night: Clouds will be on the increase once again as a trough
   moves through. There will be a chance of some scattered rain or snow
   showers late in the evening. Lows will be in the low to mid 30's.

   Wednesday: Any precipitation will end by the morning. Clouds will
   begin moving out leaving us with a partly sunny day. Highs in the mid
   to upper 40's and lows in the mid 20's to low 30's.

                             Extended Forecast

   Thursday: Clouds will once again re-enter the picture as a cold front
   begins moving in. That will bring us a chance of some rain or snow.
   Highs in the mid to upper 40's and lows in the mid to upper 20's.

   Friday: Skies will begin to clear out, leaving us with a partly sunny
   day. Highs will be in the upper 40's to around 50. Lows will be in the
   mid 20's to lower 30's

   Saturday: A beautiful day with mostly sunny skies. Highs will be in
   the lower 50's and lows in the 30's.

                            Forecast Discussion


   A trough currently located in the Great Lakes will begin pushing into
   the area on Tuesday however by the time it arrives it will have
   weakened some bringing some chance at some scattered rain or snow
   showers however the main thing it will bring us is cloudy skies. On
   Thursday a weak cold front moves in bringing us more clouds and some
   more rain or snow. After having a somewhat dismal week we can look
   forward to a great start to the weekend. Friday and Saturday look to
   be great days, especially on Saturday for any outdoor activities. This
   is good news because Lyndon Institute plays St Johnsbury Academy in
   football on Saturday. This will be the last time these two teams meet
   this century and it looks to be a great, warm sunny day so get out to
   the game and enjoy the action.

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