1st and foremost I am not a meteorologist, it's an avocation for me. That
being said, a few
comments concerning global warming: (1) our ability to physically observe
the earth's climate
directly  has only been availabale since that first geosynchronous
satellites were launched.
As well the sophistication of those "birds" has only recently evolved to
the point where they
are able to provide the level of data necessary to understand a complex,
non-linear, chaotic
system such as the weather on a global scale. It is possible that
meteoroligical cycles may
be decadal at least and perhaps longer, which means to make an assesment
that WE are the cause of
global warming  after a very short period of observation of a much longer
term cycle, may be
a spurious assumption.  there are too many relationships in the atmosphere
which are not well
understood---the NAO not the least.  I would not jump to conclusions about
this winter so
quickly or global warming for that matter.  The most advancesd10 to 15 day
models frequently are
useless beyong days 5 or 6 of their runs, thus I would be scientifically
skeptical of forecasts
which proport to accurate for months in advance, let alone years.
Just my opinion
Jim Kane

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